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In this paper, we develop a novel large volatility matrix estimation procedure for analyzing global financial markets. Practitioners often use lower-frequency data, such as weekly or monthly returns, to address the issue of different…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Sung Hoon Choi , Donggyu Kim

Several approaches for predicting large volatility matrices have been developed based on high-dimensional factor-based It\^o processes. These methods often impose restrictions to reduce the model complexity, such as constant eigenvectors or…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-02 Sung Hoon Choi , Donggyu Kim

This paper deals with the estimation of a high-dimensional covariance with a conditional sparsity structure and fast-diverging eigenvalues. By assuming sparse error covariance matrix in an approximate factor model, we allow for the presence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-15 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao , Martina Mincheva

We proposed a general Principal Orthogonal complEment Thresholding (POET) framework for large-scale covariance matrix estimation based on an approximate factor model. A set of high level sufficient conditions for the procedure to achieve…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-31 Jianqing Fan , Han Liu , Weichen Wang

Elliptical factor models play a central role in modern high-dimensional data analysis, particularly due to their ability to capture heavy-tailed and heterogeneous dependence structures. Within this framework, Tyler's M-estimator (Tyler,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Xinyue Xu , Huifang Ma , Hongfei Wang , Long Feng

This paper proposes a robust, shocks-adaptive portfolio in a large-dimensional assets universe where the number of assets could be comparable to or even larger than the sample size. It is well documented that portfolios based on…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-04 Qingliang Fan , Ruike Wu , Yanrong Yang

Large-scale matrix data has been widely discovered and continuously studied in various fields recently. Considering the multi-level factor structure and utilizing the matrix structure, we propose a multilevel matrix factor model with both…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-24 Yuteng Zhang , Yongchang Hui , Junrong Song , Shurong Zheng

High-dimensional compositional data arise naturally in many applications such as metagenomic data analysis. The observed data lie in a high-dimensional simplex, and conventional statistical methods often fail to produce sensible results due…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-19 Yuanpei Cao , Wei Lin , Hongzhe Li

We propose a new estimator of high-dimensional spot volatility matrices satisfying a low-rank plus sparse structure from noisy and asynchronous high-frequency data collected for an ultra-large number of assets. The noise processes are…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-12 Degui Li , Oliver Linton , Haoxuan Zhang

Portfolio allocation with gross-exposure constraint is an effective method to increase the efficiency and stability of selected portfolios among a vast pool of assets, as demonstrated in Fan et al (2008). The required high-dimensional…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-29 Jianqing Fan , Yingying Li , Ke Yu

This paper develops a dynamic factor model in which common level and volatility factors evolve jointly, allowing conditional means and variances to interact endogenously within a large-information setting. The joint evolution of these…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-07 Haroon Mumtaz , Sofia Velasco

We introduce a high-dimensional factor model with time-varying loadings. We cover both stationary and nonstationary factors to increase the possibilities of applications. We propose an estimation procedure based on two stages. First, we…

As an essential step towards computer creativity, automatic poetry generation has gained increasing attention these years. Though recent neural models make prominent progress in some criteria of poetry quality, generated poems still suffer…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-03-16 Xiaoyuan Yi , Ruoyu Li , Cheng Yang , Wenhao Li , Maosong Sun

Local volatility is an important quantity in option pricing, portfolio hedging, and risk management. It is not directly observable from the market; hence calibrations of local volatility models are necessary using observable market data.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-18 Kai Yin , Anirban Mondal

We suggest two classes of multivariate GARCH--models which are both easy to estimate and perform well in forecasting the covariance matrix of more than one hundred stocks. We apply methods from random matrix theory (RMT) to determine the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Reese , B. Rosenow

High dimensionality comparable to sample size is common in many statistical problems. We examine covariance matrix estimation in the asymptotic framework that the dimensionality $p$ tends to $\infty$ as the sample size $n$ increases.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv

This study investigates whether international equity markets systematically price global macroeconomic risks. The empirical analysis is conducted using monthly excess returns for ten G20 countries over the period 2000-2024. A Dynamic Factor…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-30 Vivek Mishra

This paper develops an inferential theory for state-varying factor models of large dimensions. Unlike constant factor models, loadings are general functions of some recurrent state process. We develop an estimator for the latent factors and…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-20 Markus Pelger , Ruoxuan Xiong

Several novel statistical methods have been developed to estimate large integrated volatility matrices based on high-frequency financial data. To investigate their asymptotic behaviors, they require a sub-Gaussian or finite high-order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-15 Minseok Shin , Donggyu Kim , Jianqing Fan

Building upon factor decomposition to overcome the curse of dimensionality inherent in multivariate volatility processes, we develop a factor model-based multivariate stochastic volatility (fMSV) framework. We propose a two-stage estimation…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-24 Benjamin Poignard , Manabu Asai
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