Related papers: Parameter estimation of discretely observed intera…
We propose a novel projection-based particle method for solving the McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations. Our approach is based on a projection-type estimation of the marginal density of the solution in each time step. The…
We prove the existence of solutions of a cross-diffusion parabolic population problem. The system of partial differential equations is deduced as the limit equations satisfied by the densities corresponding to an interacting particles…
In this paper, we introduce a new algorithm for rare event estimation based on adaptive importance sampling. We consider a smoothed version of the optimal importance sampling density, which is approximated by an ensemble of interacting…
We consider in this work the convergence of a split-step Euler type scheme (SSM) for the numerical simulation of interacting particle Stochastic Differential Equation (SDE) systems and McKean-Vlasov Stochastic Differential Equations…
In this article we consider static Bayesian parameter estimation for partially observed diffusions that are discretely observed. We work under the assumption that one must resort to discretizing the underlying diffusion process, for…
We show that observing the trajectories of confined particles in a thermal equilibrium state yields an estimate on the free-space diffusion coefficient. For generic trapping potentials and interactions between particles, the estimate comes…
Based on a class of moderately interacting particle systems, we establish a quantitative approximation for density-dependent McKean-Vlasov SDEs and the corresponding nonlinear, nonlocal PDEs. The SDE is driven by both Brownian motion and…
We study a sequential system of interacting diffusions in which particle $i$ interacts only with its predecessors through the empirical measure $\mu_t^{i-1}$, yielding a directed, non-exchangeable mean-field approximation of a…
This work develops a particle system addressing the approximation of McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (SDEs). The novelty of the approach lies in involving low discrepancy sequences nontrivially in the construction of a…
We consider a system of stochastic interacting particles in $\mathbb{R}^d$ and we describe large deviations asymptotics in a joint mean-field and small-noise limit. Precisely, a large deviations principle (LDP) is established for the…
We investigate a McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equation with an additive common noise and in which the interaction is through the conditional expectation. We show that, in the presence of an additive individual noise, existence and…
We revisit the problem of estimating the parameters of a partially observed diffusion process, consisting of a hidden state process and an observed process, with a continuous time parameter. The estimation is to be done online, i.e. the…
In various practical situations, we encounter data from stochastic processes which can be efficiently modelled by an appropriate parametric model for subsequent statistical analyses. Unfortunately, the most common estimation and inference…
A general method is proposed which allows one to estimate drift and diffusion coefficients of a stochastic process governed by a Langevin equation. It extends a previously devised approach [R. Friedrich et al., Physics Letters A 271, 217…
Cross-sectional observations from a dynamical system can be modeled via steady-state distributions of Markov processes. The major challenge is then to determine whether the process parameters can be identified and estimated from the…
We derive a stochastic partial differential equation that describes the fluctuating behaviour of reaction-diffusion systems of N particles, undergoing Markovian, unary reactions. This generalises the work of Dean [J. Phys. A: Math. and…
We propose a novel non-parametric learning paradigm for the identification of drift and diffusion coefficients of multi-dimensional non-linear stochastic differential equations, which relies upon discrete-time observations of the state. The…
This paper investigates neutral-type McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations in which the drift and diffusion coefficients depend on both the segment process and its distribution. Under a one-sided Lipschitz condition on the drift…
We consider stochastic systems of interacting particles or agents, with dynamics determined by an interaction kernel which only depends on pairwise distances. We study the problem of inferring this interaction kernel from observations of…
We consider a hidden Markov model, where the signal process, given by a diffusion, is only indirectly observed through some noisy measurements. The article develops a variational method for approximating the hidden states of the signal…