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We introduce a new, non-parametric method to infer deprojected 3D mass profiles $M(r)$ of galaxy clusters from weak gravitational lensing observations. The method assumes spherical symmetry and a moderately small convergence, $\kappa…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-20 Tobias Mistele , Amel Durakovic

The development of external evaluation criteria for soft clustering (SC) has received limited attention: existing methods do not provide a general approach to extend comparison measures to SC, and are unable to account for the uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Andrea Campagner , Davide Ciucci , Thierry Denœux

This work aims at making a comprehensive contribution in the general area of parametric inference for discretely observed diffusion processes. Established approaches for likelihood-based estimation invoke a time-discretisation scheme for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos , Matthew M. Graham

Variational approaches to approximate Bayesian inference provide very efficient means of performing parameter estimation and model selection. Among these, so-called variational-Laplace or VL schemes rely on Gaussian approximations to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-17 Jean Daunizeau

The recently developed semi-parametric generalized linear model (SPGLM) offers more flexibility as compared to the classical GLM by including the baseline or reference distribution of the response as an additional parameter in the model.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-09 Entejar Alam , Peter Müller , Paul J. Rathouz

We conduct non-asymptotic analysis on the mean-field variational inference for approximating posterior distributions in complex Bayesian models that may involve latent variables. We show that the mean-field approximation to the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-06 Wei Han , Yun Yang

A family of parsimonious shifted asymmetric Laplace mixture models is introduced. We extend the mixture of factor analyzers model to the shifted asymmetric Laplace distribution. Imposing constraints on the constitute parts of the resulting…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-05 Brian C. Franczak , Paul D. McNicholas , Ryan P. Browne , Paula M. Murray

We study the problem of estimating a distribution over a finite alphabet from an i.i.d. sample, with accuracy measured in relative entropy (Kullback-Leibler divergence). While optimal bounds on the expected risk are known, high-probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Jaouad Mourtada

Probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) is a key component in the extended tool-chain required for efficient management of smart energy grids. Neural networks are widely considered to achieve improved prediction performances, supporting highly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-12 Alessandro Brusaferri , Matteo Matteucci , Stefano Spinelli , Andrea Vitali

We introduce a location statistic for distributions on non-linear geometric spaces, the diffusion mean, serving as an extension and an alternative to the Fr\'echet mean. The diffusion mean arises as the generalization of Gaussian maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-06 Benjamin Eltzner , Pernille Hansen , Stephan F. Huckemann , Stefan Sommer

Probabilistic Latent Tensor Factorization (PLTF) is a recently proposed probabilistic framework for modelling multi-way data. Not only the common tensor factorization models but also any arbitrary tensor factorization structure can be…

Computation · Statistics 2014-09-30 Beyza Ermis , Y. Kenan Yılmaz , A. Taylan Cemgil , Evrim Acar

A new method for analyzing high-dimensional categorical data, Linear Latent Structure (LLS) analysis, is presented. LLS models belong to the family of latent structure models, which are mixture distribution models constrained to satisfy the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Mikhail Kovtun , Igor Akushevich , Kenneth G. Manton , H. Dennis Tolley

We benchmark the robustness of maximum likelihood based uncertainty estimation methods to outliers in training data for regression tasks. Outliers or noisy labels in training data results in degraded performances as well as incorrect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Deebul S. Nair , Nico Hochgeschwender , Miguel A. Olivares-Mendez

We consider the problem of statistical inference for the S distribution and introduce new minimum distance estimators for the four parameters of the S distribution using Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Cramer-von Mises and related distance metrics.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Sergej V. Aksenov , Michael A. Savageau

The Laplace approximation is sometimes not sufficiently accurate for smoothing parameter estimation in generalized additive mixed models. A novel estimation strategy is proposed that solves this problem and leads to estimates exhibiting the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Alex Stringer

Let $M$ be a compact, connected Riemannian manifold whose Riemannian volume measure is denoted by $\sigma$. Let $f: M \rightarrow \mathbb{R}$ be a non-constant eigenfunction of the Laplacian. The random wave conjecture suggests that in…

Spectral Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Bo'az Klartag

In this paper, we study the maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters of the multivariate and matrix variate symmetric Laplace distributions through group actions. The multivariate and matrix variate symmetric Laplace distributions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-31 Pooja Yadav , Tanuja Srivastava

We study the problem of predicting numeric labels that are constrained to the integers or to a subrange of the integers. For example, the number of up-votes on social media posts, or the number of bicycles available at a public rental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Bas Maat , Peter Bloem

We consider some aspects of a standard model employed in studies of many-body localization: interacting spinless fermions with quenched disorder, for non-zero filling fraction, here on $d$-dimensional lattices. The model may be recast as an…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2019-01-10 Staszek Welsh , David E. Logan

A new family of distributions indexed by the class of matrix variate contoured elliptically distribution is proposed as an extension of some bimatrix variate distributions. The termed \emph{multimatrix variate distributions} open new…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-07 José A. Díaz-García , Francisco J. Caro-Lopera