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We present neural mixture distributional regression (NMDR), a holistic framework to estimate complex finite mixtures of distributional regressions defined by flexible additive predictors. Our framework is able to handle a large number of…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-15 David Rügamer , Florian Pfisterer , Bernd Bischl

Deep Material Networks (DMNs) are structure-preserving, mechanistic machine learning models that embed micromechanical principles into their architectures, enabling strong extrapolation capabilities and significant potential to accelerate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Xiaolong He , Haoyan Wei , Wei Hu , Henan Mao , C. T. Wu

Survival analysis aims to estimate a time-to-event distribution from data with censored observations. Many existing methods either impose structural assumptions on the hazard function or discretize the time axis, which may limit flexibility…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Stanislav R. Kirpichenko , Andrei V. Konstantinov , Lev V. Utkin

In the context of survival analysis, data-driven neural network-based methods have been developed to model complex covariate effects. While these methods may provide better predictive performance than regression-based approaches, not all…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-23 Jesse Islam , Maxime Turgeon , Robert Sladek , Sahir Bhatnagar

A class of multivariate mixed survival models for continuous and discrete time with a complex covariance structure is introduced in a context of quantitative genetic applications. The methods introduced can be used in many applications in…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-06 Rafael Pimentel Maia , Per Madsen , Rodrigo Labouriau

With the rapid development of Deep Learning, more and more applications on the cloud and edge tend to utilize large DNN (Deep Neural Network) models for improved task execution efficiency as well as decision-making quality. Due to memory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Jingran Shen , Nikos Tziritas , Georgios Theodoropoulos

Deep neural networks tend to underestimate uncertainty and produce overly confident predictions. Recently proposed solutions, such as MC Dropout and SDENet, require complex training and/or auxiliary out-of-distribution data. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-14 Akib Mashrur , Wei Luo , Nayyar A. Zaidi , Antonio Robles-Kelly

This work aims to implement Long Short-Term Memory mixture density networks (LSTM-MDNs) for Value-at-Risk forecasting and compare their performance with established models (historical simulation, CMM, and GARCH) using a defined backtesting…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-03 Nico Herrig

Reinforcement learning algorithms typically consider discrete-time dynamics, even though the underlying systems are often continuous in time. In this paper, we introduce a model-based reinforcement learning algorithm that represents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Lenart Treven , Jonas Hübotter , Bhavya Sukhija , Florian Dörfler , Andreas Krause

Deep neural network (DNN) models have achieved phenomenal success for applications in many domains, ranging from academic research in science and engineering to industry and business. The modeling power of DNN is believed to have come from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Beomseok Seo , Lin Lin , Jia Li

Accurate demand forecasting is crucial for optimizing supply chain management. Traditional methods often fail to capture complex patterns from seasonal variability and special events. Despite advancements in deep learning, interpretable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Md Abrar Jahin , Asef Shahriar , Md Al Amin

Recent interest in human dynamics has stimulated the investigation of the stochastic processes that explain human behaviour in various contexts, such as mobile phone networks and social media. In this paper, we extend the stochastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-23 Trevor Fenner , Mark Levene , George Loizou

In the realm of Mobility-on-Demand (MoD) systems, the forecasting of rider demand is a cornerstone for operational decision-making and system optimization. Traditional forecasting methodologies primarily yield point estimates, thereby…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Xiaoming Li , Hubert Normandin-Taillon , Chun Wang , Xiao Huang

There has been increasing interest in modelling survival data using deep learning methods in medical research. Current approaches have focused on designing special cost functions to handle censored survival data. We propose a very different…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-12 Lili Zhao , Dai Feng

Despite the huge success of deep neural networks (NNs), finding good mechanisms for quantifying their prediction uncertainty is still an open problem. Bayesian neural networks are one of the most popular approaches to uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-01 Agustinus Kristiadi , Sina Däubener , Asja Fischer

Spiking Neural Networks (SNNs) have incorporated more biologically-plausible structures and learning principles, hence are playing critical roles in bridging the gap between artificial and natural neural networks. The spikes are the sparse…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Xiang Cheng , Tielin Zhang , Shuncheng Jia , Bo Xu

We introduce a model-based image reconstruction framework with a convolution neural network (CNN) based regularization prior. The proposed formulation provides a systematic approach for deriving deep architectures for inverse problems with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-06-06 Hemant Kumar Aggarwal , Merry P. Mani , Mathews Jacob

Predicting smartphone users activity using WiFi fingerprints has been a popular approach for indoor positioning in recent years. However, such a high dimensional time-series prediction problem can be very tricky to solve. To address this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Weizhu Qian , Fabrice Lauri , Franck Gechter

Learning continuous-time dynamics on complex networks is crucial for understanding, predicting and controlling complex systems in science and engineering. However, this task is very challenging due to the combinatorial complexities in the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-19 Chengxi Zang , Fei Wang

Network security is a critical concern in the digital landscape of today, with users demanding secure browsing experiences and protection of their personal data. This study explores the dynamic integration of Machine Learning (ML)…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Pablo Benlloch , Oscar Romero , Antonio Leon , Jaime Lloret