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Accurate models are essential for design, performance prediction, control, and diagnostics in complex engineering systems. Physics-based models excel during the design phase but often become outdated during system deployment due to changing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Zihan Liu , Prashant N. Kambali , C. Nataraj

Exploring the intersection of deterministic and stochastic dynamics, this paper delves into Lagrangian discovery for conservative and non-conservative systems under stochastic excitation. Traditional Lagrangian frameworks, adept at…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Tapas Tripura , Satyam Panda , Budhaditya Hazra , Souvik Chakraborty

Stochastic dynamic models have been extensively used for the description of processes with uncertainties arising in the operations research, behavioral sciences, and many other application areas. A large class of the problems from these…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Thi Kim Thoa Thieu , Roderick Melnik

The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

Learning continuous-time stochastic dynamics is a fundamental and essential problem in modeling sporadic time series, whose observations are irregular and sparse in both time and dimension. For a given system whose latent states and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Yingru Liu , Yucheng Xing , Xuewen Yang , Xin Wang , Jing Shi , Di Jin , Zhaoyue Chen

Stochastic contraction analysis is a recently developed tool for studying the global stability properties of nonlinear stochastic systems, based on a differential analysis of convergence in an appropriate metric. To date, stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-04-02 Quang-Cuong Pham , Jean-Jacques Slotine

Effectively modeling phenomena present in highly nonlinear dynamical systems whilst also accurately quantifying uncertainty is a challenging task, which often requires problem-specific techniques. We present a novel, domain-agnostic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-26 Thomas M. McDonald , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Closure modeling - the statistical modeling of missing dynamics in the natural sciences and engineering - is a growing and active area of research. Existing methods for closure modeling are often computationally prohibitive, lack…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Eric Crislip , Mohammad Khalil , Teresa Portone , Oksana Chkrebtii , Kyle Neal

We introduce a flexible, scalable Bayesian inference framework for nonlinear dynamical systems characterised by distinct and hierarchical variability at the individual, group, and population levels. Our model class is a generalisation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-03 Geoffrey Roeder , Paul K. Grant , Andrew Phillips , Neil Dalchau , Edward Meeds

We present an approach for synthesising observational data with elastodynamic finite element models by extending the statistical finite element method (statFEM) framework. The proposed formulation adopts a Bayesian filtering approach to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Igor Kavrakov , Yaswanth Sai Jetti , Ahmet Oguzhan Yuksel , Fehmi Cirak

Many complex systems operating far from the equilibrium exhibit stochastic dynamics that can be described by a Langevin equation. Inferring Langevin equations from data can reveal how transient dynamics of such systems give rise to their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-01 Mikhail Genkin , Owen Hughes , Tatiana A. Engel

In data-driven modeling of spatiotemporal phenomena careful consideration often needs to be made in capturing the dynamics of the high wavenumbers. This problem becomes especially challenging when the system of interest exhibits shocks or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-28 Alec J. Linot , Joshua W. Burby , Qi Tang , Prasanna Balaprakash , Michael D. Graham , Romit Maulik

High-fidelity models are essential for accurately capturing nonlinear system dynamics. However, simulation of these models is often computationally too expensive and, due to their complexity, they are not directly suitable for analysis,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-05 E. Javier Olucha , Rajiv Singh , Amritam Das , Roland Tóth

This paper formulates a variational approach for treating observational uncertainty and/or computational model errors as stochastic transport in dynamical systems governed by action principles under nonholonomic constraints. For this…

Classical Physics · Physics 2018-10-23 Darryl D Holm , Vakhtang Putkaradze

Heterogeneity and uncertainty in a composite microstructure lead to either computational bottlenecks if modeled rigorously or to solution inaccuracies in the stress field and failure predictions if approximated. Although methods suitable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Emil Pitz , Kishore Pochiraju

Clinical time series data from electronic health records and medical registries offer unprecedented opportunities to understand patient trajectories and inform medical decision-making. However, leveraging such data presents significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Muhammad Aslanimoghanloo , Ahmed ElGazzar , Marcel van Gerven

We present Neural Stochastic Contraction Metrics (NSCM), a new design framework for provably-stable robust control and estimation for a class of stochastic nonlinear systems. It uses a spectrally-normalized deep neural network to construct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Hiroyasu Tsukamoto , Soon-Jo Chung , Jean-Jacques E. Slotine

Surrogate Data Analysis (SDA) is a statistical hypothesis testing framework for the determination of weak chaos in time series dynamics. Existing SDA procedures do not account properly for the rich structures observed in stock return…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Alexandros Leontitsis , Constantinos E. Vorlow

New technologies for recording the activity of large neural populations during complex behavior provide exciting opportunities for investigating the neural computations that underlie perception, cognition, and decision-making. Nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-30 Yuan Zhao , Il Memming Park

Model reduction techniques have emerged as a powerful paradigm across different fronts of scientific computing. Despite their success, the provided tools and methodologies remain limited if high-dimensional dynamical systems subject to…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-05 Noé Stauffer , Hossein Gorji , Ivan Lunati