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Understanding variable dependence, particularly eliciting their statistical properties given a set of covariates, provides the mathematical foundation in practical operations management such as risk analysis and decision-making given…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Yunyun Wang , Tatsushi Oka , Dan Zhu

Expectile bears some interesting properties in comparison to the industry wide expected shortfall in terms of assessment of tail risk. We study the relationship between expectile and expected shortfall using duality results and the link to…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-04 Samuel Drapeau , Mekonnen Tadese

A regression method for proportional, or fractional, data with mixed effects is outlined, designed for analysis of datasets in which the outcomes have substantial weight at the bounds. In such cases a normal approximation is particularly…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-23 Colman Humphrey , Dan Swingley

In this paper, we propose a class of low-rank panel quantile regression models which allow for unobserved slope heterogeneity over both individuals and time. We estimate the heterogeneous intercept and slope matrices via nuclear norm…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-21 Yiren Wang , Liangjun Su , Yichong Zhang

Due to the dynamic nature of financial markets, maintaining models that produce precise predictions over time is difficult. Often the goal isn't just point prediction but determining uncertainty. Quantifying uncertainty, especially the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-06 Mingshu Li , Bhaskarjit Sarmah , Dhruv Desai , Joshua Rosaler , Snigdha Bhagat , Philip Sommer , Dhagash Mehta

This paper studies a fixed-design residual bootstrap method for the two-step estimator of Francq and Zako\"ian (2015) associated with the conditional Expected Shortfall. For a general class of volatility models the bootstrap is shown to be…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-11-29 Alexander Heinemann , Sean Telg

Quantile regression (QR) is now widely used to analyze the effect of covariates on the conditional distribution of a response variable. It provides a more comprehensive picture of the relationship between a response and covariates compared…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Wenwu Gao , Dongyi Zheng , Hanbing Zhu

We develop an estimation methodology for a factor model for high-dimensional matrix-valued time series, where common stochastic trends and common stationary factors can be present. We study, in particular, the estimation of (row and column)…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-06 Rong Chen , Simone Giannerini , Greta Goracci , Lorenzo Trapani

Quantile is an important measure in finance and quality assessment in service industry. In this paper, we model the temporal and cross-sectional interactive effect of the quantiles of large-dimensional time series by a latent quantile…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 He Yong , Kong Xin-Bing , Yu Long , Zhao Peng

Neural Posterior Estimation methods for simulation-based inference can be ill-suited for dealing with posterior distributions obtained by conditioning on multiple observations, as they tend to require a large number of simulator calls to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Tomas Geffner , George Papamakarios , Andriy Mnih

In this paper, we address the inference problem in high-dimensional linear expectile regression. We transform the expectile loss into a weighted-least-squares form and apply a de-biased strategy to establish Wald-type tests for multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Xiang Li , Yu-Ning Li , Li-Xin Zhang , Jun Zhao

We investigate an empirical quantile estimation approach to solve chance-constrained nonlinear optimization problems. Our approach is based on the reformulation of the chance constraint as an equivalent quantile constraint to provide…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Fengqiao Luo , Jeffrey Larson

Estimating the structures at high or low quantiles has become an important subject and attracted increasing attention across numerous fields. However, due to data sparsity at tails, it usually is a challenging task to obtain reliable…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-08 Yingying Zhang , Yuefeng Si , Guodong Li , Chil-Ling Tsai

Estimation of quantiles is one of the most fundamental real-time analysis tasks. Most real-time data streams vary dynamically with time and incremental quantile estimators document state-of-the art performance to track quantiles of such…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-15 Hugo Lewi Hammer , Anis Yazidi , Håvard Rue

We study the properties of Expected Shortfall from the point of view of financial risk management. This measure --- which emerges as a natural remedy in some cases where Value at Risk (VaR) is not able to distinguish portfolios which bear…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Carlo Acerbi , Claudio Nordio , Carlo Sirtori

We provide an elementary proof of the dual representation of Expected Shortfall on the space of integrable random variables over a general probability space. Unlike the results in the extant literature, our proof only exploits basic…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-27 Martin Herdegen , Cosimo Munari

A statistical estimation model with qualitative input provides a mechanism to fuse human intuition in the form of qualitative information into a statistical model. We investigate the statistical properties of this model and devise a…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-21 Seksan Kiatsupaibul , Pariyakorn Maneekul

The causal inference literature frequently focuses on estimating the mean of the potential outcome, whereas quantiles of the potential outcome may carry important additional information. We propose a unified approach, based on the inverse…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-16 Chao Cheng , Fan Li

Plausible identification of conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) may rely on controlling for a large number of variables to account for confounding factors. In these high-dimensional settings, estimation of the CATE requires…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-18 Adam Baybutt , Manu Navjeevan

In this article, we consider an imputation method to handle missing response values based on semiparametric quantile regression estimation. In the proposed method, the missing response values are generated using the estimated conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-15 Senniang Chen , Cindy L Yu