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Smooth power generation from solar stations demand accurate, reliable and efficient forecast of solar energy for optimal integration to cater market demand; however, the implicit instability of solar energy production may cause serious…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-02 Farah Shahid , Aneela Zameer , Mudasser Afzal , Muhammad Hassan

Solar flares are the most explosive phenomena in the solar system and the main trigger of the events' chain that starts from Coronal Mass Ejections and leads to geomagnetic storms with possible impacts on the infrastructures at Earth.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-03 Chiara Curletto , Paolo Massa , Valeria Tagliafico , Cristina Campi , Federico Benvenuto , Michele Piana , Andrea Tacchino

Forecasting the weather is an increasingly data intensive exercise. Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models are becoming more complex, with higher resolutions, and there are increasing numbers of different models in operation. While the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-17 Charlie Kirkwood , Theo Economou , Henry Odbert , Nicolas Pugeault

There is recent interest in using model hubs, a collection of pre-trained models, in computer vision tasks. To utilize the model hub, we first select a source model and then adapt the model for the target to compensate for differences.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Jens Schreiber , Bernhard Sick

Atmospheric predictability research has long held that the limit of skillful deterministic weather forecasts is about 14 days. We challenge this limit using GraphCast, a machine-learning weather model, by optimizing forecast initial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-30 P. Trent Vonich , Gregory J. Hakim

Spatio-temporal problems exist in many areas of knowledge and disciplines ranging from biology to engineering and physics. However, solution strategies based on classical statistical techniques often fall short due to the large number of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-15 Emil B. Iversen , Rune Juhl , Jan K. Møller , Jan Kleissl , Henrik Madsen , Juan M. Morales

Knowledge about the background solar wind plays a crucial role in the framework of space weather forecasting. In-situ measurements of the background solar wind are only available for a few points in the heliosphere where spacecraft are…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-12-05 C. Gressl , A. M. Veronig , M. Temmer , D. Odstrcil , J. A. Linker , Z. Mikic , P. Riley

In a growing renewable based energy system, accurate and reliable wind power forecasts are crucial for grid stability, balancing supply and demand and market risk management. Even though short-term weather forecasts have been thoroughly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Eloi Lindas , Yannig Goude , Philippe Ciais

Improving irradiance forecasting is critical to further increase the share of solar in the energy mix. On a short time scale, fish-eye cameras on the ground are used to capture cloud displacements causing the local variability of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Quentin Paletta , Joan Lasenby

Erroneous GNSS positioning, failures in spacecraft operations and power outages due to geomagnetically induced currents are severe threats originating from space weather. Having knowledge of potential impacts on modern society in advance is…

Space Physics · Physics 2021-06-29 Carsten Baumann , Aoife E. McCloskey

This study progresses solar flare prediction research by presenting a full-disk deep-learning model to forecast $\geq$M-class solar flares and evaluating its efficacy on both central (within $\pm$70$^\circ$) and near-limb (beyond…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-08-31 Chetraj Pandey , Anli Ji , Trisha Nandakumar , Rafal A. Angryk , Berkay Aydin

Solar flares, especially the M- and X-class flares, are often associated with coronal mass ejections (CMEs). They are the most important sources of space weather effects, that can severely impact the near-Earth environment. Thus it is…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-02 Hewei Zhang , Qin Li , Yanxing Yang , Ju Jing , Jason T. L. Wang , Haimin Wang , Zuofeng Shang

The Met Office Space Weather Operations Centre produces 24/7/365 space weather guidance, alerts, and forecasts to a wide range of government and commercial end users across the United Kingdom. Solar flare forecasts are one of its products,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-11-22 Sophie A. Murray , Suzy Bingham , Michael Sharpe , David R. Jackson

Deep learning models have gained increasing prominence in recent years in the field of solar pho-tovoltaic (PV) forecasting. One drawback of these models is that they require a lot of high-quality data to perform well. This is often…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-13 Joris Depoortere , Johan Driesen , Johan Suykens , Hussain Syed Kazmi

The volume of data being collected in solar physics has exponentially increased over the past decade and with the introduction of the $\textit{Daniel K. Inouye Solar Telescope}$ (DKIST) we will be entering the age of petabyte solar data.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-10 John A. Armstrong , Lyndsay Fletcher

A crucial challenge to successful flare prediction is forecasting periods that transition between "flare-quiet" and "flare-active". Building on earlier studies in this series (Barnes et al. 2016; Leka et al. 2019a,b) in which we describe…

Six time series related to atmospheric phenomena are used as inputs for experiments offorecasting with singular spectrum analysis (SSA). Existing methods for SSA parametersselection are compared throughout their forecasting accuracy…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Teodor Knapik , Adolphe Ratiarison , Hasina Razafindralambo

Feature tracking and recognition are increasingly common tools for data analysis, but are typically implemented on an ad-hoc basis by individual research groups, limiting the usefulness of derived results when selection effects and…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-06-23 C. E. DeForest , H. J. Hagenaar , D. A. Lamb , C. E. Parnell , B. T. Welsch

To manage and maintain large-scale cellular networks, operators need to know which sectors underperform at any given time. For this purpose, they use the so-called hot spot score, which is the result of a combination of multiple network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-19 Joan Serrà , Ilias Leontiadis , Alexandros Karatzoglou , Konstantina Papagiannaki

Data mining is a popular concept of mined necessary data from a large set of data. Data mining using clustering is a powerful way to analyze data and gives prediction. In this paper non structural time series data is used to forecast daily…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-01-27 Ratul Dey Sanjay Chakraborty Lopamudra Dey