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A new class of graphical models capturing the dependence structure of events that occur in time is proposed. The graphs represent so-called local independences, meaning that the intensities of certain types of events are independent of some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-11 Vanessa Didelez

Characteristic imsets are 0-1 vectors which correspond to Markov equivalence classes of directed acyclic graphs. The study of their convex hull, named the characteristic imset polytope, has led to new and interesting geometric perspectives…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-22 Benjamin Hollering , Joseph Johnson , Irem Portakal , Liam Solus

Identifying controlled direct effects (CDEs) is crucial across numerous scientific domains. While existing methods can identify these effects from causal directed acyclic graphs (DAGs), the true DAG is often unknown in practice. Essential…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Timothée Loranchet , Charles K. Assaad

Probabilistic independence can dramatically simplify the task of eliciting, representing, and computing with probabilities in large domains. A key technique in achieving these benefits is the idea of graphical modeling. We survey existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Fahiem Bacchus , Adam J. Grove

We consider the problem of estimating the marginal independence structure of a Bayesian network from observational data, learning an undirected graph we call the unconditional dependence graph. We show that unconditional dependence graphs…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-22 Danai Deligeorgaki , Alex Markham , Pratik Misra , Liam Solus

The causal relationships among a set of random variables are commonly represented by a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG), where there is a directed edge from variable $X$ to variable $Y$ if $X$ is a direct cause of $Y$. From the purely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-18 Ali AhmadiTeshnizi , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash

A directed acyclic graph (DAG) is the most common graphical model for representing causal relationships among a set of variables. When restricted to using only observational data, the structure of the ground truth DAG is identifiable only…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-09-12 AmirEmad Ghassami , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash , Kun Zhang

Theory of graphical models has matured over more than three decades to provide the backbone for several classes of models that are used in a myriad of applications such as genetic mapping of diseases, credit risk evaluation, reliability and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-13 Henrik Nyman , Johan Pensar , Timo Koski , Jukka Corander

Several types of graphs with different conditional independence interpretations --- also known as Markov properties --- have been proposed and used in graphical models. In this paper we unify these Markov properties by introducing a class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-12 Steffen Lauritzen , Kayvan Sadeghi

Learning the structure of dependence relations between variables is a pervasive issue in the statistical literature. A directed acyclic graph (DAG) can represent a set of conditional independences, but different DAGs may encode the same set…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-15 Federico Castelletti , Stefano Peluso

In graphical modelling, a bi-directed graph encodes marginal independences among random variables that are identified with the vertices of the graph. We show how to transform a bi-directed graph into a maximal ancestral graph that (i)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-03-25 Mathias Drton , Thomas S. Richardson

In this paper, we first develop a new family of conjugate prior distributions for the cell parameters of discrete graphical models Markov with respect to a set P of moral directed acyclic graphs with skeleton a given decomposable graph G.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-02 Helene Massam , Jacek Wesolowski

Dependency knowledge of the form "x is independent of y once z is known" invariably obeys the four graphoid axioms, examples include probabilistic and database dependencies. Often, such knowledge can be represented efficiently with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Tom S. Verma , Judea Pearl

Directed acyclic graphical models, or DAG models, are widely used to represent complex causal systems. Since the basic task of learning such a model from data is NP-hard, a standard approach is greedy search over the space of directed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Liam Solus , Yuhao Wang , Caroline Uhler

In mixed graphs, there are both directed and undirected edges. An extension of acyclicity to this mixed-graph setting is known as maximally ancestral graphs. This extension is of considerable interest in causal learning in the presence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Petr Ryšavý , Pavel Rytíř , Xiaoyu He , Georgios Korpas , Jakub Mareček

We propose a method for inferring the conditional independence graph (CIG) of a high-dimensional Gaussian vector time series (discrete-time process) from a finite-length observation. By contrast to existing approaches, we do not rely on a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-28 Alexander Jung

Directed Gaussian graphical models are statistical models that use a directed acyclic graph (DAG) to represent the conditional independence structures between a set of jointly normal random variables. The DAG specifies the model through…

Commutative Algebra · Mathematics 2022-08-08 Pratik Misra , Seth Sullivant

In this paper, we unify the Markov theory of a variety of different types of graphs used in graphical Markov models by introducing the class of loopless mixed graphs, and show that all independence models induced by $m$-separation on such…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2014-03-13 Kayvan Sadeghi , Steffen Lauritzen

We develop terminology and methods for working with maximally oriented partially directed acyclic graphs (maximal PDAGs). Maximal PDAGs arise from imposing restrictions on a Markov equivalence class of directed acyclic graphs, or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-20 Emilija Perković , Markus Kalisch , Maloes H. Maathuis

A graphical model encodes conditional independence relations via the Markov properties. For an undirected graph these conditional independence relations can be represented by a simple polytope known as the graph associahedron, which can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-08 Fatemeh Mohammadi , Caroline Uhler , Charles Wang , Josephine Yu