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We propose a new method for spatio-temporal forecasting on arbitrarily distributed points. Assuming that the observed system follows an unknown partial differential equation, we derive a continuous-time model for the dynamics of the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Marten Lienen , Stephan Günnemann

PDE discovery shows promise for uncovering predictive models of complex physical systems but has difficulty when measurements are sparse and noisy. We introduce a new approach for PDE discovery that uses two Rational Neural Networks and a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-20 Robert Stephany , Christopher Earls

Sequential change-point detection plays a critical role in numerous real-world applications, where timely identification of distributional shifts can greatly mitigate adverse outcomes. Classical methods commonly rely on parametric density…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-23 Wenbin Zhou , Liyan Xie , Zhigang Peng , Shixiang Zhu

Online detection of changes in stochastic systems, referred to as sequential change detection or quickest change detection, is an important research topic in statistics, signal processing, and information theory, and has a wide range of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-12 Liyan Xie , Shaofeng Zou , Yao Xie , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Understanding the training dynamics of deep learning models is perhaps a necessary step toward demystifying the effectiveness of these models. In particular, how do data from different classes gradually become separable in their feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-13 Jiayao Zhang , Hua Wang , Weijie J. Su

Neural ordinary differential equations (NODE) have been proposed as a continuous depth generalization to popular deep learning models such as Residual networks (ResNets). They provide parameter efficiency and automate the model selection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-24 Srinivas Anumasa , P. K. Srijith

Online detection of instantaneous changes in the generative process of a data sequence generally focuses on retrospective inference of such change points without considering their future occurrences. We extend the Bayesian Online Change…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Diego Agudelo-España , Sebastian Gomez-Gonzalez , Stefan Bauer , Bernhard Schölkopf , Jan Peters

Neural networks inspired by differential equations have proliferated for the past several years. Neural ordinary differential equations (NODEs) and neural controlled differential equations (NCDEs) are two representative examples of them. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Sheo Yon Jhin , Heejoo Shin , Seoyoung Hong , Solhee Park , Noseong Park

To detect anomalies in real-world graphs, such as social, email, and financial networks, various approaches have been developed. While they typically assume static input graphs, most real-world graphs grow over time, naturally represented…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Jongha Lee , Sunwoo Kim , Kijung Shin

Clinical time series data from electronic health records and medical registries offer unprecedented opportunities to understand patient trajectories and inform medical decision-making. However, leveraging such data presents significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Muhammad Aslanimoghanloo , Ahmed ElGazzar , Marcel van Gerven

Many real-world systems, such as moving planets, can be considered as multi-agent dynamic systems, where objects interact with each other and co-evolve along with the time. Such dynamics is usually difficult to capture, and understanding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Zijie Huang , Yizhou Sun , Wei Wang

The paper proposes a systematic framework for building data-driven stochastic differential equation (SDE) models from sparse, noisy observations. Unlike traditional parametric approaches, which assume a known functional form for the drift,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-18 Arnab Ganguly , Riten Mitra , Jinpu Zhou

Recent work in deep learning focuses on solving physical systems in the Ordinary Differential Equation or Partial Differential Equation. This current work proposed a variant of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) that can learn the hidden…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Mansura Habiba , Barak A. Pearlmutter

In this paper, we consider the problem of learning prediction models for spatiotemporal physical processes driven by unknown partial differential equations (PDEs). We propose a deep learning framework that learns the underlying dynamics and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-04 Priyabrata Saha , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

We present an algorithm for the efficient sampling of conditional paths of stochastic differential equations (SDEs). While unconditional path sampling of SDEs is straightforward, albeit expensive for high dimensional systems of SDEs,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Panagiotis Stinis

This paper introduces a novel learning-based Stochastic Hybrid System (LSHS) approach for detecting and classifying various contingencies in modern power systems. Specifically, the proposed method is capable of identifying hidden…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-24 Erfan Mehdipour Abadi , Hamid Varmazyari , Masoud H. Nazari

We consider the problem of detecting multiple changepoints in large data sets. Our focus is on applications where the number of changepoints will increase as we collect more data: for example in genetics as we analyse larger regions of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 R. Killick , P. Fearnhead , I. A. Eckley

We introduce a novel framework for uncertainty quantification of solution operators associated with stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). Although SPDEs play a central role in modeling complex physical systems under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Phuoc-Toan Huynh , Richard Archibald , Feng Bao

Change-point detection (CPD) is crucial for identifying abrupt shifts in data, which influence decision-making and efficient resource allocation across various domains. To address the challenges posed by the costly and time-intensive data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Hao Zhao , Rong Pan

This study addresses the challenges in parameter estimation of stochastic differential equations driven by non-Gaussian noises, which are critical in understanding dynamic phenomena such as price fluctuations and the spread of infectious…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-08 Shuaiyu Li , Yang Ruan , Changzhou Long , Yuzhong Cheng