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We study linear chance-constrained problems where the coefficients follow a Gaussian mixture distribution. We provide mixed-binary quadratic programs that give inner and outer approximations of the chance constraint based on piecewise…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Shibshankar Dey , Sanjay Mehrotra , Anirudh Subramanyam

This work focuses on the temporal average of the backward Euler--Maruyama (BEM) method, which is used to approximate the ergodic limit of stochastic ordinary differential equations with super-linearly growing drift coefficients. We give the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Diancong Jin

As context windows in large language models continue to expand, it is essential to characterize how attention behaves at extreme sequence lengths. We introduce token-sample complexity: the rate at which attention computed on $n$ tokens…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Léa Bohbot , Cyril Letrouit , Gabriel Peyré , François-Xavier Vialard

Motivated by statistical inference problems in high-dimensional time series data analysis, we first derive non-asymptotic error bounds for Gaussian approximations of sums of high-dimensional dependent random vectors on hyper-rectangles,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Jinyuan Chang , Xiaohui Chen , Mingcong Wu

Choosing models from a hypothesis space is a frequent task in approximation theory and inverse problems. Cross-validation is a classical tool in the learner's repertoire to compare the goodness of fit for different reconstruction models.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-02-24 Felix Bartel , Ralf Hielscher

We derive a scale-free bound on the density of the maximum of a centered Gaussian vector. The basic bound is non-uniform, depends logarithmically on the dimension, and allows any covariance matrix. When the largest marginal variance is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-29 Suhas Vijaykumar

Recent advances in center-based clustering continue to improve upon the drawbacks of Lloyd's celebrated $k$-means algorithm over $60$ years after its introduction. Various methods seek to address poor local minima, sensitivity to outliers,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-28 Debolina Paul , Saptarshi Chakraborty , Swagatam Das , Jason Xu

This paper studies quasi Bayesian estimation and uncertainty quantification for an unknown function that is identified by a nonparametric conditional moment restriction. We derive contraction rates for a class of Gaussian process priors.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-08 Sid Kankanala

In this work, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of integral functionals of stationary Gaussian random fields as the integration domain tends to be the whole space. More precisely, using the Wiener chaos expansion and Malliavin-Stein…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Leonardo Maini , Maurizia Rossi , Guangqu Zheng

This paper derives central limit and bootstrap theorems for probabilities that sums of centered high-dimensional random vectors hit hyperrectangles and sparsely convex sets. Specifically, we derive Gaussian and bootstrap approximations for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-09 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato

We prove the large-dimensional Gaussian approximation of a sum of $n$ independent random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^d$ together with fourth-moment error bounds on convex sets and Euclidean balls. We show that compared with classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-03 Xiao Fang , Yuta Koike

We present a straightforward formulation of Stein's method for the semicircular distribution, specifically designed for the analysis of non-commutative random variables. Our approach employs a non-commutative version of Stein's heuristic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Mario Díaz , Arturo Jaramillo

This manuscript studies the Gaussian approximation of the coordinate-wise maximum of self-normalized statistics in high-dimensional settings. We derive an explicit Berry-Esseen bound under weak assumptions on the absolute moments. When the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Woonyoung Chang , Kenta Takatsu , Konrad Urban , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

We consider stochastic optimization problems with the dual tasks of (i) effectively finding the optimizer and (ii) reliably conducting statistical inference for the optimal objective function value. We find that classical simulation…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Yuhang Wu , Zeyu Zheng , Yingfei Wang , Guangyu Zhang , Zuohua Zhang , Chu Wang

Let $Y$ be a nonnegative random variable with mean $\mu$ and finite positive variance $\sigma^2$, and let $Y^s$, defined on the same space as $Y$, have the $Y$ size biased distribution, that is, the distribution characterized by…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-20 Subhankar Ghosh , Larry Goldstein

This work studies the convergence and finite sample approximations of entropic regularized Wasserstein distances in the Hilbert space setting. Our first main result is that for Gaussian measures on an infinite-dimensional Hilbert space,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-16 Minh Ha Quang

Folklore belief holds that metastable wells in low-temperature statistical mechanics models exhibit high-temperature behavior. We make this rigorous in the exponential random graph model (ERGM) through the lens of concentration of measure.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Vilas Winstein

In this paper, we study fluctuations of conditionally centered statistics of the form $$N^{-1/2}\sum_{i=1}^N c_i(g(\sigma_i)-\mathbb{E}_N[g(\sigma_i)|\sigma_j,j\neq i])$$ where $(\sigma_1,\ldots ,\sigma_N)$ are sampled from a dependent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Nabarun Deb

The construction of confidence intervals for the mean of a bounded random variable is a classical problem in statistics with numerous applications in machine learning and virtually all scientific fields. In particular, obtaining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Václav Voráček , Francesco Orabona

We study the discrepancy between the distribution of a vector-valued functional of i.i.d. random elements and that of a Gaussian vector. Our main contribution is an explicit bound on the convex distance between the two distributions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Mikołaj J. Kasprzak , Giovanni Peccati
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