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We propose a framework for modeling uncertainty where both belief and doubt can be given independent, first-class status. We adopt probability theory as the mathematical formalism for manipulating uncertainty. An agent can express the…

Databases · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Laks V. S. Lakshmanan , Fereidoon Sadri

Interventions on model-internal states are fundamental operations in many areas of AI, including model editing, steering, robustness, and interpretability. To facilitate such research, we introduce $\textbf{pyvene}$, an open-source Python…

This work offers a broad perspective on probabilistic modeling and inference in light of recent advances in probabilistic programming, in which models are formally expressed in Turing-complete programming languages. We consider a typical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-20 Lawrence M. Murray , Thomas B. Schön

Large language models (LLMs) have proven to be highly effective for solving complex reasoning tasks. Surprisingly, their capabilities can often be improved by iterating on previously generated solutions. In this context, a reasoning plan…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-05 MohammadHossein Bateni , Vincent Cohen-Addad , Yuzhou Gu , Silvio Lattanzi , Simon Meierhans , Christopher Mohri

Despite widespread adoption, machine learning models remain mostly black boxes. Understanding the reasons behind predictions is, however, quite important in assessing trust, which is fundamental if one plans to take action based on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-08-10 Marco Tulio Ribeiro , Sameer Singh , Carlos Guestrin

We introduce TyXe, a Bayesian neural network library built on top of Pytorch and Pyro. Our leading design principle is to cleanly separate architecture, prior, inference and likelihood specification, allowing for a flexible workflow where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-04 Hippolyt Ritter , Theofanis Karaletsos

Pythonic code is idiomatic code that follows guiding principles and practices within the Python community. Offering performance and readability benefits, Pythonic code is claimed to be widely adopted by experienced Python developers, but…

Automated decision making is used routinely throughout our everyday life. Recommender systems decide which jobs, movies, or other user profiles might be interesting to us. Spell checkers help us to make good use of language. Fraud detection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-15 Alexander Jung , Pedro H. J. Nardelli

A recent developing trend in clustering is the advancement of algorithms that not only identify clusters within data, but also express and capture the uncertainty of cluster membership. Evidential clustering addresses this by using the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Armel Soubeiga , Violaine Antoine

The increasing amount of available data, computing power, and the constant pursuit for higher performance results in the growing complexity of predictive models. Their black-box nature leads to opaqueness debt phenomenon inflicting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Hubert Baniecki , Wojciech Kretowicz , Piotr Piatyszek , Jakub Wisniewski , Przemyslaw Biecek

Ever since the Multilayered Perceptron was first introduced the connectionist community has struggled with the concept of uncertainty and how this could be represented in these types of models. This past decade has seen a lot of effort in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-14 Lewis Belcher , Johan Gudmundsson , Michael Green

Many applications of intelligent systems require reasoning about the mental states of agents in the domain. We may want to reason about an agent's beliefs, including beliefs about other agents; we may also want to reason about an agent's…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Brian Milch , Daphne Koller

Despite widespread success in language understanding and generation, large language models (LLMs) exhibit unclear and often inconsistent behavior when faced with tasks that require probabilistic reasoning. In this work, we present the first…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Mobina Pournemat , Keivan Rezaei , Gaurang Sriramanan , Arman Zarei , Jiaxiang Fu , Yang Wang , Hamid Eghbalzadeh , Soheil Feizi

$\textit{Pymc-learn}$ is a Python package providing a variety of state-of-the-art probabilistic models for supervised and unsupervised machine learning. It is inspired by $\textit{scikit-learn}$ and focuses on bringing probabilistic machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-05 Daniel Emaasit

Inductive reasoning is a core problem-solving capacity: humans can identify underlying principles from a few examples, which robustly generalize to novel scenarios. Recent work evaluates large language models (LLMs) on inductive reasoning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Ruocheng Wang , Eric Zelikman , Gabriel Poesia , Yewen Pu , Nick Haber , Noah D. Goodman

Applying automated reasoning tools for decision support and analysis in law has the potential to make court decisions more transparent and objective. Since there is often uncertainty about the accuracy and relevance of evidence,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Inga Ibs , Nico Potyka

The role of uncertainty in data management has become more prominent than ever before, especially because of the growing importance of machine learning-driven applications that produce large uncertain databases. A well-known approach to…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Efthymia Tsamoura , Jaehun Lee , Jacopo Urbani

Today, artificial intelligence systems driven by machine learning algorithms can be in a position to take important, and sometimes legally binding, decisions about our everyday lives. In many cases, however, these systems and their actions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Kacper Sokol , Raul Santos-Rodriguez , Peter Flach

The overarching goal of Explainable AI is to develop systems that not only exhibit intelligent behaviours, but also are able to explain their rationale and reveal insights. In explainable machine learning, methods that produce a high level…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-06 Xiuyi Fan , Siyuan Liu , Thomas C. Henderson

Latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) is an important hierarchical Bayesian model for probabilistic topic modeling, which attracts worldwide interests and touches on many important applications in text mining, computer vision and computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-08-14 Jia Zeng