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In this paper we investigate the potential for persuasion arising from the quantum indeterminacy of a decision-maker's beliefs, a feature that has been proposed as a formal expression of well-known cognitive limitations. We focus on a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-25 Vladimir I. Danilov , Ariane Lambert-Mogiliansky

This paper is concerned with online targeted advertising on social networks. The main technical task we address is to estimate the activation probability for user pairs, which quantifies the influence one user may have on another towards…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Tsuyoshi Idé , Keerthiram Murugesan , Djallel Bouneffouf , Naoki Abe

Sales pipeline analysis is fundamental to proactive management of an enterprize's sales pipeline and critical for business success. In particular, win propensity prediction, which involves quantitatively estimating the likelihood that…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2015-02-24 Junchi Yan , Min Gong , Changhua Sun , Jin Huang , Stephen M. Chu

We consider a Bayesian persuasion or information design problem where the sender tries to persuade the receiver to take a particular action via a sequence of signals. This we model by considering multi-phase trials with different…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-11-24 Shih-Tang Su , Vijay G. Subramanian , Grant Schoenebeck

In this paper, we present a study on personalized emphasis framing which can be used to tailor the content of a message to enhance its appeal to different individuals. With this framework, we directly model content selection decisions based…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-01 Tao Ding , Shimei Pan

Estimating the persuasiveness of messages is critical in various applications, from recommender systems to safety assessment of LLMs. While it is imperative to consider the target persuadee's characteristics, such as their values,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Sejun Park , Yoonah Park , Jongwon Lim , Yohan Jo

While traditional recommendation techniques have made significant strides in the past decades, they still suffer from limited generalization performance caused by factors like inadequate collaborative signals, weak latent representations,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Jianghao Lin , Jiaqi Liu , Jiachen Zhu , Yunjia Xi , Chengkai Liu , Yangtian Zhang , Yong Yu , Weinan Zhang

Explainability and interpretability are two critical aspects of decision support systems. Within computer vision, they are critical in certain tasks related to human behavior analysis such as in health care applications. Despite their…

Vision-Language Models (VLMs) are increasingly deployed in consumer applications where users seek recommendations about products, dining, and services. We introduce Hidden Ads, a new class of backdoor attacks that exploit this…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Duanyi Yao , Changyue Li , Zhicong Huang , Cheng Hong , Songze Li

While small businesses are increasingly turning to online crowdfunding platforms for essential funding, over 40% of these campaigns may fail to raise any money, especially those from low socio-economic areas. We utilize the latest…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-16 Teng Ye , Jingnan Zheng , Junhui Jin , Jingyi Qiu , Wei Ai , Qiaozhu Mei

Analyzing interaction data provides an opportunity to learn about users, uncover their underlying goals, and create intelligent visualization systems. The first step for intelligent response in visualizations is to enable computers to infer…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Shayan Monadjemi , Roman Garnett , Alvitta Ottley

As advertisers increasingly shift their budgets toward digital advertising, accurately forecasting advertising costs becomes essential for optimizing marketing campaign returns. This paper presents a comprehensive study that employs various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Fynn Oldenburg , Qiwei Han , Maximilian Kaiser

The task of computational advertising is to select the most suitable advertisement candidate from a set of possible options. The candidate is selected in such a way that the user is most likely to positively react to it: click and perform…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2017-12-11 Alexey Grigorev

Online advertising has typically been more personalized than offline advertising, through the use of machine learning models and real-time auctions for ad targeting. One specific task, predicting the likelihood of conversion (i.e.\ the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Conor O'Brien , Arvind Thiagarajan , Sourav Das , Rafael Barreto , Chetan Verma , Tim Hsu , James Neufield , Jonathan J Hunt

We explore the promises and challenges of employing sequential decision-making algorithms -- such as bandits, reinforcement learning, and active learning -- in law and public policy. While such algorithms have well-characterized performance…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-11-30 Peter Henderson , Ben Chugg , Brandon Anderson , Daniel E. Ho

We study public persuasion when a sender communicates with a large audience that can fact-check at heterogeneous costs. The sender commits to a public information policy before the state is realized, but any verifiable claim she makes after…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-07 Georgy Lukyanov , Samuel Safaryan

The success of machine learning algorithms generally depends on data representation, and we hypothesize that this is because different representations can entangle and hide more or less the different explanatory factors of variation behind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-24 Yoshua Bengio , Aaron Courville , Pascal Vincent

User behaviour targeting is essential in online advertising. Compared with sponsored search keyword targeting and contextual advertising page content targeting, user behaviour targeting builds users' interest profiles via tracking their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-01-12 Weinan Zhang , Lingxi Chen , Jun Wang

Through case studies, we demonstrate how multiverse analysis can strengthen the robustness and transparency of computational social science findings against alternative methodological decisions. We conduct multiverse analyses of three…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-05-20 Maximilian Linde , Jun Sun , Paul Balluff , Danica Radovanović , Chung-hong Chan

Bayesian Persuasion is proposed as a tool for social media platforms to combat the spread of misinformation. Since platforms can use machine learning to predict the popularity and misinformation features of to-be-shared posts, and users are…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Safwan Hossain , Andjela Mladenovic , Yiling Chen , Gauthier Gidel