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Accurate spatiotemporal modeling of conditions leading to moderate and large wildfires provides better understanding of mechanisms driving fire-prone ecosystems and improves risk management. We here develop a joint model for the occurrence…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-15 Jonathan Koh , François Pimont , Jean-Luc Dupuy , Thomas Opitz

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

Given a sequence of sets, where each set contains an arbitrary number of elements, the problem of temporal sets prediction aims to predict the elements in the subsequent set. In practice, temporal sets prediction is much more complex than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Le Yu , Leilei Sun , Bowen Du , Chuanren Liu , Hui Xiong , Weifeng Lv

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is a challenging task because of the complexity of real-world human social behaviors and uncertainty of the future motion. For the first issue, existing methods adopt fully connected topology for modeling…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-07-25 Lidan Zhang , Qi She , Ping Guo

Stochastic diffusion is the noisy and uncertain process through which dynamics like epidemics, or agents like animal species, disperse over a larger area. Understanding these processes is becoming increasingly important as we attempt to…

Predicting future frames for a video sequence is a challenging generative modeling task. Promising approaches include probabilistic latent variable models such as the Variational Auto-Encoder. While VAEs can handle uncertainty and model…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Lluis Castrejon , Nicolas Ballas , Aaron Courville

Each year, wildfires destroy larger areas of Spain, threatening numerous ecosystems. Humans cause 90% of them (negligence or provoked) and the behaviour of individuals is unpredictable. However, atmospheric and environmental variables…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Helena Liz-López , Javier Huertas-Tato , Jorge Pérez-Aracil , Carlos Casanova-Mateo , Julia Sanz-Justo , David Camacho

Reliable 4D aircraft trajectory prediction, whether in a real-time setting or for analysis of counterfactuals, is important to the efficiency of the aviation system. Toward this end, we first propose a highly generalizable efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-01 Yulin Liu , Mark Hansen

Intense wildfires impact nature, humans, and society, causing catastrophic damage to property and the ecosystem, as well as the loss of life. Forecasting wildfire front propagation is essential in order to support fire fighting efforts and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-28 Myungsoo Yoo , Christopher K. Wikle

In this paper, we consider the problem of learning prediction models for spatiotemporal physical processes driven by unknown partial differential equations (PDEs). We propose a deep learning framework that learns the underlying dynamics and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-04 Priyabrata Saha , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

Wildfire propagation is a highly stochastic process where small changes in environmental conditions (such as wind speed and direction) can lead to large changes in observed behaviour. A traditional approach to quantify uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-04 Andrew Bolt , Conrad Sanderson , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

In video prediction tasks, one major challenge is to capture the multi-modal nature of future contents and dynamics. In this work, we propose a simple yet effective framework that can efficiently predict plausible future states. The key…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-06 Jingwei Xu , Huazhe Xu , Bingbing Ni , Xiaokang Yang , Trevor Darrell

Wildfires pose a significant natural disaster risk to populations and contribute to accelerated climate change. As wildfires are also affected by climate change, extreme wildfires are becoming increasingly frequent. Although they occur less…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Assaf Shmuel , Teddy Lazebnik , Oren Glickman , Eyal Heifetz , Colin Price

California's wildfire season keeps getting worse over the years, overwhelming the emergency response teams. These fires cause massive destruction to both property and human life. Because of these reasons, there's a growing need for accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Shashank Bhardwaj

Generative adversarial models (GANs) continue to produce advances in terms of the visual quality of still images, as well as the learning of temporal correlations. However, few works manage to combine these two interesting capabilities for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-01 Gereon Fox , Ayush Tewari , Mohamed Elgharib , Christian Theobalt

UAVs are playing an increasingly important role in the field of wilderness rescue by virtue of their flexibility. This paper proposes a fusion of UAV vision technology and satellite image analysis technology for active wildfires detection…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Chang Liu , Tamas Sziranyi

Wildfires are destructive and inflict massive, irreversible harm to victims' lives and natural resources. Researchers have proposed commissioning unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) to provide firefighters with real-time tracking information;…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Esmaeil Seraj , Andrew Silva , Matthew Gombolay

Wildfires can be devastating, causing significant damage to property, ecosystem disruption, and loss of life. Forecasting the evolution of wildfire boundaries is essential to real-time wildfire management. To this end, substantial attention…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Myungsoo Yoo , Christopher K. Wikle

Predicting future frames of video sequences is challenging due to the complex and stochastic nature of the problem. Video prediction methods based on variational auto-encoders (VAEs) have been a great success, but they require the training…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-29 Yizhou Zhou , Chong Luo , Xiaoyan Sun , Zheng-Jun Zha , Wenjun Zeng

With climate change intensifying fire weather conditions globally, accurate seasonal wildfire forecasting has become critical for disaster preparedness and ecosystem management. We introduce FireCastNet, a novel deep learning architecture…