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Designing video prediction models that account for the inherent uncertainty of the future is challenging. Most works in the literature are based on stochastic image-autoregressive recurrent networks, which raises several performance and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-08-10 Jean-Yves Franceschi , Edouard Delasalles , Mickaël Chen , Sylvain Lamprier , Patrick Gallinari

This paper presents a novel approach in wildfire prediction through the integration of multisource spatiotemporal data, including satellite data, and the application of deep learning techniques. Specifically, we utilize an ensemble model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Ayoub Jadouli , Chaker El Amrani

Being able to predict what may happen in the future requires an in-depth understanding of the physical and causal rules that govern the world. A model that is able to do so has a number of appealing applications, from robotic planning to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-04-05 Alex X. Lee , Richard Zhang , Frederik Ebert , Pieter Abbeel , Chelsea Finn , Sergey Levine

With climate change expected to exacerbate fire weather conditions, the accurate anticipation of wildfires on a global scale becomes increasingly crucial for disaster mitigation. In this study, we utilize SeasFire, a comprehensive global…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-10 Dimitrios Michail , Lefki-Ioanna Panagiotou , Charalampos Davalas , Ioannis Prapas , Spyros Kondylatos , Nikolaos Ioannis Bountos , Ioannis Papoutsis

We propose a Bayesian stochastic cellular automata modeling approach to model the spread of wildfires with uncertainty quantification. The model considers a dynamic neighborhood structure that allows neighbor states to inform transition…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-07 Nicholas Grieshop , Christopher K. Wikle

Due to climate change, the extreme wildfire has become one of the most dangerous natural hazards to human civilization. Even though, some wildfires may be initially caused by human activity, but the spread of wildfires is mainly determined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Qijun Chen , Shaofan Li

Wildfires increasingly threaten human life, ecosystems, and infrastructure, with events like the 2025 Palisades and Eaton fires in Los Angeles County underscoring the urgent need for more advanced prediction frameworks. Existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Haowen Xu , Sisi Zlatanova , Ruiyu Liang , Ismet Canbulat

Wildfire prediction has become increasingly crucial due to the escalating impacts of climate change. Traditional CNN-based wildfire prediction models struggle with handling missing oceanic data and addressing the long-range dependencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Dayou Chen , Sibo Cheng , Jinwei Hu , Matthew Kasoar , Rossella Arcucci

Wildfire forecasting is of paramount importance for disaster risk reduction and environmental sustainability. We approach daily fire danger prediction as a machine learning task, using historical Earth observation data from the last decade…

Generative models that can model and predict sequences of future events can, in principle, learn to capture complex real-world phenomena, such as physical interactions. However, a central challenge in video prediction is that the future is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-13 Manoj Kumar , Mohammad Babaeizadeh , Dumitru Erhan , Chelsea Finn , Sergey Levine , Laurent Dinh , Durk Kingma

Wildfire is an important system process of the earth that occurs across a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. A variety of methods have been used to predict wildfire phenomena during the past century to better our understanding of…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-24 S. W. Taylor , Douglas G. Woolford , C. B. Dean , David L. Martell

Climate change is expected to aggravate wildfire activity through the exacerbation of fire weather. Improving our capabilities to anticipate wildfires on a global scale is of uttermost importance for mitigating their negative effects. In…

Predicting the future in real-world settings, particularly from raw sensory observations such as images, is exceptionally challenging. Real-world events can be stochastic and unpredictable, and the high dimensionality and complexity of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-03-07 Mohammad Babaeizadeh , Chelsea Finn , Dumitru Erhan , Roy H. Campbell , Sergey Levine

Stochastic video prediction models take in a sequence of image frames, and generate a sequence of consecutive future image frames. These models typically generate future frames in an autoregressive fashion, which is slow and requires the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-23 Ananya Kumar , S. M. Ali Eslami , Danilo J. Rezende , Marta Garnelo , Fabio Viola , Edward Lockhart , Murray Shanahan

Predicting future frames of a video is challenging because it is difficult to learn the uncertainty of the underlying factors influencing their contents. In this paper, we propose a novel video prediction model, which has…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Xi Ye , Guillaume-Alexandre Bilodeau

Predicting future frames of a video sequence has been a problem of high interest in the field of Computer Vision as it caters to a multitude of applications. The ability to predict, anticipate and reason about future events is the essence…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-04 Jasmeen Kaur , Sukhendu Das

Uncertainty plays a key role in future prediction. The future is uncertain. That means there might be many possible futures. A future prediction method should cover the whole possibilities to be robust. In autonomous driving, covering…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-28 Adil Kaan Akan

Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

Accurate video prediction by deep neural networks, especially for dynamic regions, is a challenging task in computer vision for critical applications such as autonomous driving, remote working, and telemedicine. Due to inherent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Kazuki Kotoyori , Shota Hirose , Heming Sun , Jiro Katto

As wildfires are expected to become more frequent and severe, improved prediction models are vital to mitigating risk and allocating resources. With remote sensing data, valuable spatiotemporal statistical models can be created and used for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-30 Alissa Chavalithumrong , Hyung-Jin Yoon , Petros Voulgaris
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