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We study the statistical distribution of the closest encounter between observations computed along different trajectories of a mixing dynamical system. At the limit of large trajectories, the distribution is of Gumbel type and depends on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-04-29 Théophile Caby

Assessing the significance of alignment scores of optimally aligned DNA or amino acid sequences can be achieved via the knowledge of the score distribution of random sequences. But this requires obtaining the distribution in the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-08-24 Pascal Fieth , Alexander K. Hartmann

We study analytically and numerically the extreme value distribution of observables defined along the temporal evolution of a dynamical system. The convergence to the Gumbel law of observable recurrences gives information on the fractal…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Théophile Caby , Davide Faranda , Sandro Vaienti , Pascal Yiou

The gapped local alignment score of two random sequences follows a Gumbel distribution. If computers could estimate the parameters of the Gumbel distribution within one second, the use of arbitrary alignment scoring schemes could increase…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-04 Yonil Park , Sergey Sheetlin , John L. Spouge

A discrete version of the Gumbel (Type I) extreme value distribution has been derived by using the general approach of discretization of a continuous distribution. Important distributional and reliability properties have been explored. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-29 Subrata Chakraborty , Dhrubajyoti Chakravarty

Usual estimation methods for the parameters of extreme values distribution employ only a few values, wasting a lot of information. More precisely, in the case of the Gumbel distribution, only the block maxima values are used. In this work,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-02-22 Rubén Gómez González , M. Isabel Parra , Francisco Javier Acero , Jacinto Martín

We consider asymptotic distributions of maximum deviations of sample covariance matrices, a fundamental problem in high-dimensional inference of covariances. Under mild dependence conditions on the entries of the data matrices, we establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-05 Han Xiao , Wei Biao Wu

Deep sequence models are receiving significant interest in current machine learning research. By representing probability distributions that are fit to data using maximum likelihood estimation, such models can model data on general…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-09 Kristian Løvland , Bjarne Grimstad , Lars Struen Imsland

A popular method for sampling from high-dimensional distributions is the \emph{Gibbs sampler}, which iteratively resamples sites from the conditional distribution of the desired measure given the values of the other coordinates. It is…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Jason Gaitonde , Elchanan Mossel

The study of chaotic systems, where rare events play a pivotal role, is essential for understanding complex dynamics due to their sensitivity to initial conditions. Recently, tools from large deviation theory, typically applied in the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-06 Lucianno Defaveri , Naftali R. Smith

The Gumbel model is a very popular statistical model due to its wide applicability for instance in the course of certain survival, environmental, financial or reliability studies. In this work, we have introduced a bimodal generalization of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-22 Cira E. G. Otiniano , Roberto Vila , Pedro C. Brom , Marcelo Bourguignon

In this paper we perform an analytical and numerical study of Extreme Value distributions in discrete dynamical systems that have a singular measure. Using the block maxima approach described in Faranda et al. [2011] we show that,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-06-14 Davide Faranda , Valerio Lucarini , Giorgio Turchetti , Sandro Vaienti

Extreme value theory is part and parcel of any study of order statistics in one dimension. Our aim here is to consider such large sample theory for the maximum distance to the origin, and the related maximum "interpoint distance," in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-30 Sreenivasa Rao Jammalamadaka , Svante Janson

A new unimodal distribution family indexed by the mode and three other parameters is derived from a mixture of a Gumbel distribution for the maximum and a Gumbel distribution for the minimum. Properties of the proposed distribution are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Qingyang Liu , Xianzheng Huang , Haiming Zhou

The problem of drawing samples from a discrete distribution can be converted into a discrete optimization problem. In this work, we show how sampling from a continuous distribution can be converted into an optimization problem over…

Computation · Statistics 2015-01-27 Chris J. Maddison , Daniel Tarlow , Tom Minka

We provide a general bound on the Wasserstein distance between two arbitrary distributions of sequences of Bernoulli random variables. The bound is in terms of a mixing quantity for the Glauber dynamics of one of the sequences, and a simple…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-12 Gesine Reinert , Nathan Ross

This paper presents a sharp approximation of the density of long runs of a random walk conditioned on its end value or by an average of a functions of its summands as their number tends to infinity. The conditioning event is of moderate or…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-14 Michel Broniatowski , Virgile Caron

Using an associated branching process as the basis of our approximation, we show that typical inter-point distances in a multitype random intersection graph have a defective distribution, which is well described by a mixture of translated…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-01 A. D. Barbour , G. Reinert

This article develops a method to construct the optimal sequential test for monitoring the changes in the distribution of finite observation sequences with a general dependence structure. This method allows us to prove that different…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-01 Dong Han , Fugee Tsung , Jinguo Xian

We give a systematic development of the application of matrix norms to rapid mixing in spin systems. We show that rapid mixing of both random update Glauber dynamics and systematic scan Glauber dynamics occurs if any matrix norm of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-06 Martin Dyer , Leslie Ann Goldberg , Mark Jerrum
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