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Accurate projections of wind energy potential under climate change are critical for effective long-term energy planning. While previous studies have highlighted the value of multi-model ensembles, they often fall short in capturing the full…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-02 Andrea Lira-Loarca , Francesco Ferrari , Andrea Mazzino

While it is expected that the large-scale tropical circulation should undergo some changes in a warmer climate, it remains an open question whether its characteristic features, such as the Hadley cell, the intertropical convergence zone, or…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-25 Tim Marino , Michael P. Byrne , Corentin Herbert

Studying the impact of climate change on precipitation is constrained by finding a way to evaluate the evolution of precipitation variability over time. Classical approaches (feature-based) have shown their limitations for this issue due to…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-25 Mohamed Djallel Dilmi , Laurent Barthès , Cécile Mallet , Aymeric Chazottes

Traditional approaches for comparing global climate models and observational data products typically fail to account for the geographic location of the underlying weather station data. For modern high-resolution models, this is an oversight…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-03 Mark D. Risser , Michael F. Wehner

In order to explore the effects of climate change on atmospheric convection and the water cycle, we develop and analyse an extension of the Rainy-B\'enard model, which is itself a moist version of the Rayleigh-B\'enard model of dry…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-09 Gregory N. Dritschel , Steven M. Tobias , Douglas J. Parker , Lorenzo Tomassini

Ensembles of regional-global climate model combinations show substantial spread in projected wind and solar resources. Using 31 RCM-GCM pairs, we quantify the sources of this spread with a spatially and seasonally resolved variance…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-23 Nina Effenberger , Reto Knutti

To study the complexity of hot Jupiter atmospheres revealed by observations of increasing quality, we have adapted the UK Met Office global circulation model (GCM), the Unified Model (UM), to these exoplanets. The UM solves the full 3D…

We present the CIENS dataset, which contains ensemble weather forecasts from the operational convection-permitting numerical weather prediction model of the German Weather Service. It comprises forecasts for 55 meteorological variables…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-08-07 Sebastian Lerch , Benedikt Schulz , Reinhold Hess , Annette Möller , Cristina Primo , Sebastian Trepte , Susanne Theis

Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecasts are issued by human forecasters who evaluate spatio-temporal observations (e.g., satellite imagery) and model output (e.g., numerical weather prediction, statistical models) to produce forecasts…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-01 Trey McNeely , Galen Vincent , Rafael Izbicki , Kimberly M. Wood , Ann B. Lee

Mode coupling theory (MCT) appears to explain several, though not all, aspects of the glass transition in colloids (particularly when short-range attractions are present). Developments of MCT, from rational foundations in statistical…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 M. E. Cates , C. B. Holmes , M. Fuchs , O. Henrich

Climate change affects ocean temperature, salinity and sea level, impacting monsoons and ocean productivity. Future projections by Global Climate Models based on shared socioeconomic pathways from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-09 Abhishek Pasula , Deepak N. Subramani

Reliable regional climate information is essential for assessing the impacts of climate change and for planning in sectors such as renewable energy; yet, producing high-resolution projections through coordinated initiatives like CORDEX that…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-09 Nina Effenberger , Maxim Samarin , Maybritt Schillinger , Reto Knutti

The Sun becomes brighter with time, but Earth's climate is roughly temperate for life during its long-term history; for early Earth, this is known as the Faint Young Sun Problem (FYSP). Besides the carbonate-silicate feedback, recent…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-07 Mingyu Yan , Jun Yang , Yixiao Zhang , Han Huang

Stochastic schemes, designed to represent unresolved sub-grid scale variability, are frequently used in short and medium-range weather forecasts, where they are found to improve several aspects of the model. In recent years, the impact of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-02-19 K. Strommen , P. A. G. Watson , T. N. Palmer

Results from Juno's microwave radiometer indicate non-uniform mixing of ammonia vapor in Jupiter's atmosphere down to tens of bars, far beneath the cloud level. Helioseismic observations suggest solar convection may require narrow,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-28 S. Markham , T. Guillot , C. Li

Current techniques for predicting climate change are mainly based on "massive" deterministic numerical modeling. However, the ocean-atmosphere system is a so-called "complex system", made up of a large number of interacting elements. We…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-05-31 Francois Louchet

We present a publicly available library of model atmospheres with radiative-convective equilibrium Pressure-Temperature ($P$-$T$) profiles fully consistent with equilibrium chemical abundances, and the corresponding emission and…

We explore possibilities of improving the spatial structure of NOx emissions employed in a continental scale chemistry transport model (CTM) by using satellite measurements of nitrogen dioxide and ground-based observations of near surface…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 I. B. Konovalov , M. Beekmann , A. Richter , J. P. Burrows

Accurate regional climate forecast calls for high-resolution downscaling of Global Climate Models (GCMs). This work presents a deep-learning-based multi-model evaluation and downscaling framework ranking 32 Coupled Model Intercomparison…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Parthiban Loganathan , Elias Zea , Ricardo Vinuesa , Evelyn Otero

Atmospheric monitoring is an integral part of the design of the Cherenkov Telescope Array (CTA), as atmospheric conditions affect the observations by Imaging Atmospheric Cherenkov Telescopes (IACT) in multiple ways. The variable optical…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-01-22 Jan Ebr , Tomasz Bulik , Lluis Font , Markus Gaug , Petr Janecek , Jakub Jurysek , Dusan Mandat , Stanislav Stefanik , Laura Valore , George Vasileiadis
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