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The self-similar analysis of time series is generalized by introducing the notion of scenario probabilities. This makes it possible to give a complete statistical description for the forecast spectrum by defining the average forecast as a…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 V. I. Yukalov , S. Gluzman

For regression models, most of existing specification tests can be categorized into the class of local smoothing tests and of global smoothing tests. Compared with global smoothing tests, local smoothing tests can only detect local…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-18 Lingzhu Li , Lixing Zhu

This paper develops a general asymptotic theory of local polynomial (LP) regression for spatial data observed at irregularly spaced locations in a sampling region $R_n \subset \mathbb{R}^d$. We adopt a stochastic sampling design that can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Daisuke Kurisu , Yasumasa Matsuda

We develop correlated random measures, random measures where the atom weights can exhibit a flexible pattern of dependence, and use them to develop powerful hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric models. Hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-10 Rajesh Ranganath , David Blei

Wavelets provide the flexibility to analyse stochastic processes at different scales. Here, we apply them to multivariate point processes as a means of detecting and analysing unknown non-stationarity, both within and across data streams.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-04 Edward A. K. Cohen , Alexander J. Gibberd

Univariate marked Hawkes processes are used to model a range of real-world phenomena including earthquake aftershock sequences, contagious disease spread, content diffusion on social media platforms, and order book dynamics. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Louis Davis , Conor Kresin , Boris Baeumer , Ting Wang

The literature on time series of functional data has focused on processes of which the probabilistic law is either constant over time or constant up to its second-order structure. Especially for long stretches of data it is desirable to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-21 Anne van Delft , Michael Eichler

Random point patterns are ubiquitous in nature, and statistical models such as point processes, i.e., algorithms that generate stochastic collections of points, are commonly used to simulate and interpret them. We propose an application of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-03-04 Soran Jahangiri , Juan Miguel Arrazola , Nicolás Quesada , Nathan Killoran

A common problem in data analysis is the separation of signal and background. We revisit and generalise the so-called $sWeights$ method, which allows one to calculate an empirical estimate of the signal density of a control variable using a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-24 Hans Dembinski , Matthew Kenzie , Christoph Langenbruch , Michael Schmelling

We discuss the conditions under which Scan Statistics can be fruitfully implemented to signal a departure from the underlying probability model that describes the experimental data. It is shown that local perturbations (``bumps'' or…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-10-02 F. Terranova

In this paper, we propose a modified version of ranked set sample which allows for the incorporation of more information in the inference procedure at almost no cost. This procedure is studied for the location-scale family using a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-21 Mohd Alodat , Ayman Baklizi

In supervised learning, automatically assessing the quality of the labels before any learning takes place remains an open research question. In certain particular cases, hypothesis testing procedures have been proposed to assess whether a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Weisong Yang , Rafael Poyiadzi , Niall Twomey , Raul Santos Rodriguez

We investigate the task of local marking for locally implementable unitary operations. In this setting, multipartite quantum unitary channels, chosen randomly from a known set, are distributed among spatially separated parties without…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-10 Adil Imam , Satyaki Manna

We introduce a class of proper scoring rules for evaluating spatial point process forecasts based on summary statistics. These scoring rules rely on Monte-Carlo approximations of expectations and can therefore easily be evaluated for any…

The concept of randomized measurements on individual particles has proven to be useful for analyzing quantum systems and is central for methods like shadow tomography of quantum states. We introduce $\textit{collective}$ randomized…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-08-12 Satoya Imai , Géza Tóth , Otfried Gühne

We can, and should, do statistical inference on simulation models by adjusting the parameters in the simulation so that the values of {\em randomly chosen} functions of the simulation output match the values of those same functions…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-18 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

Standard geostatistical models assume second order stationarity of the underlying Random Function. In some instances, there is little reason to expect the spatial dependence structure to be stationary over the whole region of interest. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-04 Francky Fouedjio , Nicolas Desassis , Jacques Rivoirard

The theory of dependency graphs is a powerful toolbox to prove asymptotic normality of sums of random variables. In this article, we introduce a more general notion of weighted dependency graphs and give normality criteria in this context.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-18 Valentin Féray

Marginal imputation, which consists of imputing each item requiring imputation separately, is often used in surveys. This type of imputation procedures leads to asymptotically unbiased estimators of simple parameters such as population…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-04 Hélène Chaput , Guillaume Chauvet , David Haziza , Laurianne Salembier , Julie Solard

We study online change point detection for multivariate inhomogeneous Poisson point process time series. This setting arises commonly in applications such as earthquake seismology, climate monitoring, and epidemic surveillance, yet remains…