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Time series, as frequently the case in neuroscience, are rarely stationary, but often exhibit abrupt changes due to attractor transitions or bifurcations in the dynamical systems producing them. A plethora of methods for detecting such…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-05 Hazem Toutounji , Daniel Durstewitz

Change points in real-world systems mark significant regime shifts in system dynamics, possibly triggered by exogenous or endogenous factors. These points define regimes for the time evolution of the system and are crucial for understanding…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Ioanna-Yvonni Tsaknaki , Fabrizio Lillo , Piero Mazzarisi

The problem of joint sequential detection and isolation is considered in the context of multiple, not necessarily independent, data streams. A multiple testing framework is proposed, where each hypothesis corresponds to a different subset…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Anamitra Chaudhuri , Georgios Fellouris

This paper deals with the problem of asymptotically optimal detection of changes in regime-switching stochastic models. We need to divide the whole obtained sample of data into several sub-samples with observations belonging to different…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-25 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

In this work we propose an adaptive multilevel version of subset simulation to estimate the probability of rare events for complex physical systems. Given a sequence of nested failure domains of increasing size, the rare event probability…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-13 Daniel Elfverson , Robert Scheichl , Simon Weissmann , F. Alejandro DiazDelaO

We propose an algorithm for an optimal adaptive selection of points from the design domain of input random variables that are needed for an accurate estimation of failure probability and the determination of the boundary between safe and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-06-30 Aleksei Gerasimov , Miroslav Vořechovský

Process monitoring and control requires detection of structural changes in a data stream in real time. This article introduces an efficient sequential Monte Carlo algorithm designed for learning unknown changepoints in continuous time. The…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-29 Melissa J. M. Turcotte , Nicholas A. Heard

The detection of hidden two-dimensional Gauss-Markov random fields using sensor networks is considered. Under a conditional autoregressive model, the error exponent for the Neyman-Pearson detector satisfying a fixed level constraint is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Youngchul Sung , H. Vincent Poor , Heejung Yu

This paper presents the Real-time Adaptive and Interpretable Detection (RAID) algorithm. The novel approach addresses the limitations of state-of-the-art anomaly detection methods for multivariate dynamic processes, which are restricted to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-07 Marek Wadinger , Michal Kvasnica

We study the problem of detecting and locating change points in high-dimensional Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models, whose transition matrices exhibit low rank plus sparse structure. We first address the problem of detecting a single change…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-01 Peiliang Bai , Abolfazl Safikhani , George Michailidis

It is quite common that the structure of a time series changes abruptly. Identifying these change points and describing the model structure in the segments between these change points is of interest. In this paper, time series data is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-18 Lijing Ma , Andrew Grant , Georgy Sofronov

Fault detection is crucial in industrial systems to prevent failures and optimize performance by distinguishing abnormal from normal operating conditions. Data-driven methods have been gaining popularity for fault detection tasks as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Han Sun , Kevin Ammann , Stylianos Giannoulakis , Olga Fink

Changepoint detection is commonly formulated by minimizing the sum of in-sample losses to quantify the model's overall fit. However, for flexible modeling procedures -- especially those involving high-dimensional parameter spaces or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Chengde Qian , Guanghui Wang , Zhaojun Wang , Changliang Zou

Modern data collecting methods and computation tools have made it possible to monitor high-dimensional processes. In this article, Phase II monitoring of high-dimensional processes is investigated when the available number of samples…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-24 Mohsen Ebadi , Shojaeddin Chenouri , Stefan H. Steiner

Anomaly detection methods can be very useful in identifying unusual or interesting patterns in data. A recently proposed conditional anomaly detection framework extends anomaly detection to the problem of identifying anomalous patterns on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Michal Valko , Milos Hauskrecht

We propose a novel and efficient method, that we shall call TopRank in the following paper, for detecting change-points in high-dimensional data. This issue is of growing concern to the network security community since network anomalies…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-18 Céline Lévy-Leduc , François Roueff

Anomaly detection methods are part of the systems where rare events may endanger an operation's profitability, safety, and environmental aspects. Although many state-of-the-art anomaly detection methods were developed to date, their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Marek Wadinger , Michal Kvasnica

With the wider availability of sensor technology, a number of Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) systems are deployed to monitor civil infrastructure. The continuous monitoring provides valuable information about the structure that can help…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Monica Arul , Ahsan Kareem

Internet of Things (IoT) systems increasingly operate in environments where devices must respond in real time while managing fluctuating resource constraints, including energy and bandwidth. Yet, current approaches often fall short in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Shubham Vaishnav , Praveen Kumar Donta , Sindri Magnússon

Machine learning models are essential tools in various domains, but their performance can degrade over time due to changes in data distribution or other factors. On one hand, detecting and addressing such degradations is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Florian Heinrichs
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