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This paper proposes a new approach for analyzing seismic accelerograms using the evolutionary Power Spectral Density function (ePSDF). The accelerogram of an earthquake can be accurately modeled and simulated from its spectrogram, based on…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-03-22 Bañales Isaías , Christen J. Andrés , Josué Tago

Epistemic uncertainty in probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) is commonly addressed through a logic-tree framework that combines weighted alternative models to characterize the range of plausible hazard outcomes. Implicit in this…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-03 Davide Zaccagnino , Didier Sornette

This paper introduces a stochastic simulator for seismic uncertainty quantification, which is crucial for performance-based earthquake engineering. The proposed simulator extends the recently developed dimensionality reduction-based…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-09-27 Jungho Kim , Ziqi Wang

Surrogate modeling of costly mathematical models representing physical systems is challenging since it is typically not possible to create a large experimental design. Thus, it is beneficial to constrain the approximation to adhere to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Lukáš Novák , Himanshu Sharma , Michael D. Shields

As an integral part of assessing the seismic performance of structures, the probabilistic seismic demand-intensity relationship has been widely studied. In this study, the phenomenon of heteroscedasticity in probabilistic seismic demand…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-19 Libo Chen

Ground-motion prediction equations (GMPE) are essential in probabilistic seismic hazard studies for estimating the ground motions generated by the seismic sources. In low seismicity regions, only weak motions are available in the lifetime…

Deformation analyses of tailings dams under dynamic conditions require using earthquake records as input loading. Moreover, these records must represent the local seismicity, expressed by ground motion power indicators denominated intensity…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-11-21 Nicolas A. Labanda , Roberto J. Cier , Mauro G. Sottile

Earthquake-induced secondary ground failure hazards, such as liquefaction and landslides, result in catastrophic building and infrastructure damage as well as human fatalities. To facilitate emergency responses and mitigate losses, the U.S.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-04-19 Susu Xu , Joshua Dimasaka , David J. Wald , Hae Young Noh

In this paper, we develop a numerical approach based on Chaos expansions to analyze the sensitivity and the propagation of epistemic uncertainty through a queueing systems with breakdowns. Here, the quantity of interest is the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-17 Katia Bachi , Cédric Chauvière , Hacène Djellout , Karim Abbas

Frequent significant deviations of the observed magnitude distribution of anthropogenic seismicity from the Gutenberg-Richter relation require alternative estimation methods for probabilistic seismic hazard assessments. We evaluate five…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-12-22 Francis Tong , Stanisław Lasocki , Beata Orlecka-Sikora

Two different way of assessing seismic vulnerability are available nowadays: observed or empirical and calculated vulnerability assessment methods. The first methods are based on observed damage after earthquakes correlated with the…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-10-09 Clotaire Michel , Philippe Guéguen

When a dynamic earthquake rupture propagates on a fault in the Earth's crust, the medium around the fault is dynamically damaged due to stress concentrations around the rupture tip. Recent field observations, laboratory experiments and…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-11-12 Kurama Okubo , Esteban Rougier , Zhou Lei , Harsha S. Bhat

Simulating dynamic rupture propagation is challenging due to the uncertainties involved in the underlying physics of fault slip, stress conditions, and frictional properties of the fault. A trial and error approach is often used to…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-06-17 Sabber Ahamed , Eric G. Daub

The Statistical Finite Element Method (statFEM) offers a Bayesian framework for integrating computational models with observational data, thus providing improved predictions for structural health monitoring and digital twinning. This paper…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Vahab Narouie , Henning Wessels , Fehmi Cirak , Ulrich Römer

Induced seismicity has emerged as a source of a significant earthquake hazard associated with recent development of unconventional energy resources. Therefore, it is imperative to develop stochastic models that can accurately describe the…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-10-08 Robert Shcherbakov

Immediately following a disaster event, such as an earthquake, estimates of the damage extent play a key role in informing the coordination of response and recovery efforts. We develop a novel impact estimation tool that leverages a…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-15 Max Anderson Loake , Hamish Patten , David Steinsaltz

We present an approach to the simulation of quantum systems driven by classical stochastic processes that is based on the polynomial chaos expansion, a well-known technique in the field of uncertainty quantification. The polynomial chaos…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-12-17 Kevin C. Young , Matthew D. Grace

Accurate prediction of structural failure modes under seismic excitations is essential for seismic risk and resilience assessment. Traditional simulation-based approaches often result in imbalanced datasets dominated by non-failure or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Jungho Kim , Taeyong Kim

Earthquake prediction has been a challenging research area for many decades, where the future occurrence of this highly uncertain calamity is predicted. In this paper, several parametric and non-parametric features were calculated, where…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-01-25 Gunbir Singh Baveja , Jaspreet Singh

For earthquake-resistant design, engineering seismologists employ time-history analysis for nonlinear simulations. The nonstationary stochastic method previously developed by Pousse et al. (2006) has been updated. This method has the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-12-18 Aurore Laurendeau , Fabrice Cotton , Luis Fabian Bonilla