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We consider machine learning, particularly regression, using locally-differentially private datasets. The Wasserstein distance is used to define an ambiguity set centered at the empirical distribution of the dataset corrupted by local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Farhad Farokhi

This paper investigates arbitrage properties of financial markets under distributional uncertainty using Wasserstein distance as the ambiguity measure. The weak and strong forms of the classical arbitrage conditions are considered. A…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-21 Derek Singh , Shuzhong Zhang

Wasserstein distributionally robust control (WDRC) is an effective method for addressing inaccurate distribution information about disturbances in stochastic systems. It provides various salient features, such as an out-of-sample…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-08 Astghik Hakobyan , Insoon Yang

This paper addresses the transmission network expansion planning problem under uncertain demand and generation capacity. A two-stage adaptive robust optimization framework is adopted whereby the worst-case operating cost is accounted for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-04-04 Cristina Roldán , Roberto Mínguez , Raquel García-Bertrand , José Manuel Arroyo

In this study we consider the shortest path problem, where the arc costs are subject to distributional uncertainty. Basically, the decision-maker attempts to minimize her worst-case expected loss over an ambiguity set (or a family) of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Sergey S. Ketkov , Oleg A. Prokopyev , Evgenii P. Burashnikov

Uncertainties from deepening penetration of renewable energy resources have posed critical challenges to the secure and reliable operations of future electric grids. Among various approaches for decision making in uncertain environments,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Xinbo Geng , Le Xie

We consider a two-stage distributionally robust optimization (DRO) model with multimodal uncertainty, where both the mode probabilities and uncertainty distributions could be affected by the first-stage decisions. To address this setting,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Xian Yu , Beste Basciftci

This paper addresses the transmission network expansion planning problem considering storage units under uncertain demand and generation capacity. A two-stage adaptive robust optimization framework is adopted whereby short- and long-term…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Álvaro García-Cerezo , Luis Baringo , Raquel García-Bertrand

Decision making under uncertainty is challenging since the data-generating process (DGP) is often unknown. Bayesian inference proceeds by estimating the DGP through posterior beliefs about the model's parameters. However, minimising the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-06 Charita Dellaporta , Patrick O'Hara , Theodoros Damoulas

Despite of its importance for safe machine learning, uncertainty quantification for neural networks is far from being solved. State-of-the-art approaches to estimate neural uncertainties are often hybrid, combining parametric models with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Joachim Sicking , Maram Akila , Maximilian Pintz , Tim Wirtz , Asja Fischer , Stefan Wrobel

Stochastic programs where the uncertainty distribution must be inferred from noisy data samples are considered. The stochastic programs are approximated with distributionally-robust optimizations that minimize the worst-case expected cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-04 Farhad Farokhi

We study the cyclic inventory routing problem that involves joint decisions on vehicle routing and inventory replenishment on an infinite, cyclic horizon. It considers a single warehouse and a set of geographically dispersed retailers. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Menglei Jia , Albert H. Schrotenboer , Ahmadreza Marandi , Feng Chen

We study distributionally robust online learning, where a risk-averse learner updates decisions sequentially to guard against worst-case distributions drawn from a Wasserstein ambiguity set centered at past observations. While this paradigm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Guixian Chen , Salar Fattahi , Soroosh Shafiee

This paper addresses the energy management of a grid-connected renewable generation plant coupled with a battery energy storage device in the capacity firming market, designed to promote renewable power generation facilities in small…

This paper considers structural optimization under a reliability constraint, where the input distribution is only partially known. Specifically, when we only know that the expected value vector and the variance-covariance matrix of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-19 Yoshihiro Kanno

How should researchers select experimental sites when the deployment population differs from observed data? I formulate the problem of experimental site selection as an optimal transport problem, developing methods to minimize downstream…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-07 Adam Bouyamourn

This paper addresses a central challenge of jointly considering shorter-term (e.g. hourly) and longer-term (e.g. yearly) uncertainties in power system planning with increasing penetration of renewable and storage resources. In conventional…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-13 Chao Yan , Xinbo Geng , Zhaohong Bie , Le Xie

We study decision dependent distributionally robust optimization models, where the ambiguity sets of probability distributions can depend on the decision variables. These models arise in situations with endogenous uncertainty. The developed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-26 Fengqiao Luo , Sanjay Mehrotra

In this paper, by proposing two new kinds of distributional uncertainty sets, we explore robustness of distortion risk measures against distributional uncertainty. To be precise, we first consider a distributional uncertainty set which is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-15 Xiangyu Han , Yijun Hu , Ran Wang , Linxiao Wei

We study the problem of estimating a sequence of evolving probability distributions from historical data, where the underlying distribution changes over time in a nonstationary and nonparametric manner. To capture gradual changes, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Edward J. Anderson , Dominic S. T. Keehan