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Related papers: On parameter identifiability in network-based epid…

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Scientists use mathematical modelling to understand and predict the properties of complex physical systems. In highly parameterised models there often exist relationships between parameters over which model predictions are identical, or…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-03-24 Dhruva V. Raman , James Anderson , Antonis Papachristodoulou

The static properties of the fundamental model for epidemics of diseases allowing immunity (susceptible-infected-removed model) are known to be derivable by an exact mapping to bond percolation. Yet when performing numerical simulations of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-16 Claudio Castellano , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

The transmission dynamics of an epidemic are rarely homogeneous. Super-spreading events and super-spreading individuals are two types of heterogeneous transmissibility. Inference of super-spreading is commonly carried out on secondary case…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-23 Hannah Craddock , Simon EF Spencer , Xavier Didelot

Identifiability concerns finding which unknown parameters of a model can be estimated from given input-output data. If some subset of the parameters of a model cannot be determined given input-output data, then we say the model is…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2014-11-03 Nicolette Meshkat , Seth Sullivant , Marisa Eisenberg

Dynamic models of biochemical networks typically consist of sets of non-linear ordinary differential equations involving states (concentrations or amounts of the components of the network) and parameters describing the reaction kinetics.…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-07 Oana-Teodora Chis , Julio R. Banga , Eva Balsa-Canto

Network-based models of epidemic spread have become increasingly popular in recent decades. Despite a rich foundation of such models, few low-dimensional systems for modeling SIS-type diseases have been proposed that manage to capture the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Carl Corcoran , Alan Hastings

Structural parameter identifiability is a property of a differential model with parameters that allows for the parameters to be determined from the model equations in the absence of noise. One of the standard approaches to assessing this…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Alexey Ovchinnikov , Gleb Pogudin , Peter Thompson

Stochasticity and spatial heterogeneity are of great interest recently in studying the spread of an infectious disease. The presented method solves an inverse problem to discover the effectively decisive topology of a heterogeneous network…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Yoshiharu Maeno

Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, there has been a growing interest in studying epidemiological models. Traditional mechanistic models mathematically describe the transmission mechanisms of infectious diseases. However, they often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Zewen Liu , Guancheng Wan , B. Aditya Prakash , Max S. Y. Lau , Wei Jin

Practical parameter identifiability in ODE-based epidemiological models is a known issue, yet one that merits further study. It is essentially ubiquitous due to noise and errors in real data. In this study, to avoid uncertainty stemming…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-27 Q. Y. Chen , Z. Rapti , Y. Drossinos , J. Cuevas-Maraver , G. A. Kevrekidis , P. G. Kevrekidis

Parameter identifiability describes whether, for a given differential model, one can determine parameter values from model equations. Knowing global or local identifiability properties allows construction of better practical experiments to…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2021-07-02 Ilia Ilmer , Alexey Ovchinnikov , Gleb Pogudin

Age-dependent dynamics is an important characteristic of many infectious diseases. Age-group epidemic models describe the infection dynamics in different age-groups by allowing to set distinct parameter values for each. However, such models…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-17 Rami Yaari , Itai Dattner , Amit Huppert

Consider stochastic models for the spread of an infection in a structured community, where this structured community is itself described by a random network model. Some common network models and transmission models are defined and large…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-16 Tom Britton

A statistical model assuming a preferential attachment network, which is generated by adding nodes sequentially according to a few simple rules, usually describes real-life networks better than a model assuming, for example, a Bernoulli…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-01 Clement Lee , Andrew Garbett , Darren J. Wilkinson

Effective containment of spreading processes such as epidemics requires accurate knowledge of several key parameters that govern their dynamics. In this work, we first show that the problem of identifying the underlying parameters of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-03 Chi Ho Leung , William E. Retnaraj , Ashish R. Hota , Philip E. Paré

The problem of targeted network immunization can be defined as the one of finding a subset of nodes in a network to immunize or vaccinate in order to minimize a tradeoff between the cost of vaccination and the final (stationary) expected…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-10 F. Altarelli , A. Braunstein , L. Dall'Asta , J. R. Wakeling , R. Zecchina

Infectious disease modeling is used to forecast epidemics and assess the effectiveness of intervention strategies. Although the core assumption of mass-action models of homogeneously mixed population is often implausible, they are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-29 Thien-Minh Le , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

When employing mechanistic models to study biological phenomena, practical parameter identifiability is important for making accurate predictions across wide range of unseen scenarios, as well as for understanding the underlying mechanisms.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-19 Yue Liu , Kevin Suh , Philip K. Maini , Daniel J. Cohen , Ruth E. Baker

We characterize different cell states, related to cancer and ageing phenotypes, by a measure of entropy of network ensembles, integrating gene expression values and protein interaction networks. The entropy measure estimates the parameter…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-24 G. Menichetti , G. Bianconi , E. Giampieri , G. Castellani , D. Remondini

Compartmental models are widely adopted to describe and predict the spreading of infectious diseases. The unknown parameters of such models need to be estimated from the data. Furthermore, when some of the model variables are not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-18 Luca Gallo , Mattia Frasca , Vito Latora , Giovanni Russo