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We propose a novel multi-task neural network approach for estimating distributional treatment effects (DTE) in randomized experiments. While DTE provides more granular insights into the experiment outcomes over conventional methods focusing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Tomu Hirata , Undral Byambadalai , Tatsushi Oka , Shota Yasui , Shingo Uto

In pharmaceutical R&D, predicting the efficacy of a pharmaceutical in treating a particular disease prior to clinical testing or any real-world use has been challenging. In this paper, we propose a flexible and modular machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Adrien Couetoux , Thomas Devenyns , Lise Diagne , David Champagne , Pierre-Yves Mousset , Chris Anagnostopoulos

We consider Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (TMLE) of weighted average treatment effects (WATEs), a class of causal estimands that reweight the covariate distribution using a specified function of the propensity score. This class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Yang Liu , Patrick Lopatto , Ivana Malenica

Estimating how a treatment affects units individually, known as heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) estimation, is an essential part of decision-making and policy implementation. The accumulation of large amounts of data in many domains,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Christopher Tran , Elena Zheleva

Clinical diagnosis guidelines aim at specifying the steps that may lead to a diagnosis. Inspired by guidelines, we aim to learn the optimal sequence of actions to perform in order to obtain a correct diagnosis from electronic health…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Lillian Muyama , Antoine Neuraz , Adrien Coulet

Accurate bandwidth estimation (BWE) is critical for real-time communication (RTC) systems. Traditional heuristic approaches offer limited adaptability under dynamic networks, while online reinforcement learning (RL) suffers from high…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-09 Jian Kai , Tianwei Zhang , Zihan Ling , Yang Cao , Can Shen

Large Language Models (LLMs) have been extensively evaluated for general summarization tasks as well as medical research assistance, but they have not been specifically evaluated for the task of summarizing real-world evidence (RWE) from…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Arjun Mukerji , Michael L. Jackson , Jason Jones , Neil Sanghavi

The past few years have seen an increasing number of initiatives aimed at integrating information generated outside of confirmatory randomised clinical trials (RCTs) into drug development. However, data generated non-concurrently and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-04 Cornelia Dunger-Baldauf , Rob Hemmings , Frank Bretz , Byron Jones , Anja Schiel , Chris Holmes

Clinical diagnostic guidelines outline the key questions to answer to reach a diagnosis. Inspired by guidelines, we aim to develop a model that learns from electronic health records to determine the optimal sequence of actions for accurate…

Multi-Task Learning (MTL) has achieved success in various fields. However, how to balance different tasks to achieve good performance is a key problem. To achieve the task balancing, there are many works to carefully design dynamical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-28 Baijiong Lin , Feiyang Ye , Yu Zhang , Ivor W. Tsang

The weighted average treatment effect (WATE) is a causal measure for the comparison of interventions in a specific target population, which may be different from the population where data are sampled from. For instance, when the goal is to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-17 Yebin Tao , Haoda Fu

Despite the wide adoption of Large Language Models (LLM)s, clinical decision support systems face a critical challenge: achieving high predictive accuracy while generating explanations aligned with the predictions. Current approaches suffer…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-07 H M Quamran Hasan , Housam Khalifa Bashier , Jiayi Dai , Mi-Young Kim , Randy Goebel

Observational studies provide the only evidence on the effectiveness of interventions when randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are impractical due to cost, ethical concerns, or time constraints. While many methodologies aim to draw causal…

Observational causal inference is useful for decision making in medicine when randomized clinical trials (RCT) are infeasible or non generalizable. However, traditional approaches fail to deliver unconfounded causal conclusions in practice.…

This article introduces the R package concrete, which implements a recently developed targeted maximum likelihood estimator (TMLE) for the cause-specific absolute risks of time-to-event outcomes measured in continuous time. Cross-validated…

In personalised decision making, evidence is required to determine whether an action (treatment) is suitable for an individual. Such evidence can be obtained by modelling treatment effect heterogeneity in subgroups. The existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-24 Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Shisheng Zhang , Saisai Ma , Thuc Duy Le , Jixue Liu

Randomized controlled experiment has long been accepted as the golden standard for establishing causal link and estimating causal effect in various scientific fields. Average treatment effect is often used to summarize the effect…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-14 Alex Deng , Pengchuan Zhang , Shouyuan Chen , Dong Woo Kim , Jiannan Lu

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for evaluating the effect of new medical treatments. Treatments must pass stringent regulatory conditions in order to be approved for widespread use, yet even after the regulatory…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-13 Omer Noy Klein , Alihan Hüyük , Ron Shamir , Uri Shalit , Mihaela van der Schaar

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the standard for evaluating the effectiveness of clinical interventions. To address the limitations of RCTs on real-world populations, we developed a methodology that uses a large observational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-21 Panayiotis Petousis , David Gordon , Susanne B. Nicholas , Alex A. T. Bui

Recent advances in medical large language models have explored Test-Time Reinforcement Learning (TTRL) to enhance reasoning. However, standard TTRL often relies on majority voting (MV) as a heuristic supervision signal, which can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Kailong Fan , Anqi Pu , Yichen Wu , Wanhua Li , Yicong Li , Hanspeter Pfister , Huafeng Liu , Xiang Li , Quanzheng Li , Ning Guo