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Prior distributions for high-dimensional linear regression require specifying a joint distribution for the unobserved regression coefficients, which is inherently difficult. We instead propose a new class of shrinkage priors for linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-09 Yan Dora Zhang , Brian P. Naughton , Howard D. Bondell , Brian J. Reich

We introduce the Group-R2 decomposition prior, a hierarchical shrinkage prior that extends R2-based priors to structured regression settings with known groups of predictors. By decomposing the prior distribution of the coefficient of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-28 Javier Enrique Aguilar , David Kohns , Aki Vehtari , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Shrinkage priors are a popular Bayesian paradigm to handle sparsity in high-dimensional regression. Still limited, however, is a flexible class of shrinkage priors to handle grouped sparsity, where covariates exhibit some natural grouping…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Eric Yanchenko , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

We present the ARR2 prior, a joint prior over the auto-regressive components in Bayesian time-series models and their induced $R^2$. Compared to other priors designed for times-series models, the ARR2 prior allows for flexible and intuitive…

Computation · Statistics 2025-03-06 David Kohns , Noa Kallioinen , Yann McLatchie , Aki Vehtari

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) treat neural network weights as random variables, which aim to provide posterior uncertainty estimates and avoid overfitting by performing inference on the posterior weights. However, the selection of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Tsai Hor Chan , Dora Yan Zhang , Guosheng Yin , Lequan Yu

In Bayesian analysis, the selection of a prior distribution is typically done by considering each parameter in the model. While this can be convenient, in many scenarios it may be desirable to place a prior on a summary measure of the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Eric Yanchenko , Howard D. Bondell , Brian J. Reich

The adoption of continuous shrinkage priors in high-dimensional linear models has gained widespread attention due to their practical and theoretical advantages. Among them, the R2D2 prior has gained popularity for its intuitive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-28 Javier Enrique Aguilar , Paul-Christian Bürkner

In Bayesian regression models with categorical predictors, constraints are needed to ensure identifiability when using all $K$ levels of a factor. The sum-to-zero constraint is particularly useful as it allows coefficients to represent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Zhi Ling , Shozen Dan

In all areas of human knowledge, datasets are increasing in both size and complexity, creating the need for richer statistical models. This trend is also true for economic data, where high-dimensional and nonlinear/nonparametric inference…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-23 Dimitris Korobilis , Kenichi Shimizu

Most estimates for penalised linear regression can be viewed as posterior modes for an appropriate choice of prior distribution. Bayesian shrinkage methods, particularly the horseshoe estimator, have recently attracted a great deal of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-06 Zemei Xu , Daniel F. Schmidt , Enes Makalic , Guoqi Qian , John L. Hopper

Factor models are widely used for dimension reduction. Bayesian approaches to these models often place a prior on the factor loadings that allows for infinitely many factors, with loadings increasingly shrunk toward zero as the column index…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Shicheng Liu , Qingping Zhou , Yanan Fan , Xiongwen Ke

We propose a generalized double Pareto prior for Bayesian shrinkage estimation and inferences in linear models. The prior can be obtained via a scale mixture of Laplace or normal distributions, forming a bridge between the Laplace and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-19 Artin Armagan , David Dunson , Jaeyong Lee

Global-local shrinkage hierarchies are an important innovation in Bayesian estimation. We propose the use of log-scale distributions as a novel basis for generating familes of prior distributions for local shrinkage hyperparameters. By…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-31 Daniel F. Schmidt , Enes Makalic

This paper addresses the weak instruments problem in linear instrumental variable models from a Bayesian perspective. The new approach has two components. First, a novel predictor-dependent shrinkage prior is developed for the many…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-05 P. Richard Hahn , Hedibert Lopes

Priors allow us to robustify inference and to incorporate expert knowledge in Bayesian hierarchical models. This is particularly important when there are random effects that are hard to identify based on observed data. The challenge lies in…

Computation · Statistics 2022-03-21 Ingeborg Gullikstad Hem , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Andrea Riebler

In recent years, shrinkage priors have received much attention in high-dimensional data analysis from a Bayesian perspective. Compared with widely used spike-and-slab priors, shrinkage priors have better computational efficiency. But the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-16 Ruoyang Zhang , Malay Ghosh

Global-local shrinkage prior has been recognized as useful class of priors which can strongly shrink small signals towards prior means while keeping large signals unshrunk. Although such priors have been extensively discussed under Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-18 Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

This article introduces two absolutely continuous global-local shrinkage priors to enable stochastic variable selection in the context of high-dimensional matrix exponential spatial specifications. Existing approaches as a means to dealing…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-02-06 Michael Pfarrhofer , Philipp Piribauer

We consider sparse Bayesian estimation in the classical multivariate linear regression model with $p$ regressors and $q$ response variables. In univariate Bayesian linear regression with a single response $y$, shrinkage priors which can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-21 Ray Bai , Malay Ghosh

It is common to hold prior beliefs that are not characterized by points in the parameter space but instead are relational in nature and can be described by a linear subspace. While some previous work has been done to account for such prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Daniel K. Sewell
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