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Statistical inference for non-stationary data is hindered by the failure of classical central limit theorems (CLTs), not least because there is no fixed Gaussian limit to converge to. To resolve this, we introduce relative weak convergence,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Nicolai Palm , Thomas Nagler

This article is concerned with moderate deviation principles of a general class of mean eld type interacting particle models. We discuss functional moderate deviations of the occupation measures for both the strong -topology on the space of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-17 Pierre Del Moral , Shulan Hu , Liming Wu

We prove that moderate deviations for empirical measures for countable nonhomogeneous Markov chains hold under the assumption of uniform convergence of transition probability matrices for countable nonhomogeneous Markov chains in Ces\`aro…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Mingzhou Xu , Kun Cheng

This work defines two classes of processes, that we term {\it tempered fractional multistable motion} and {\it tempered multifractional stable motion}. They are extensions of fractional multistable motion and multifractional stable motion,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Xiequan Fan , Jacques Lévy Véhel

In this paper, we use the framework of mod-$\phi$ convergence to prove precise large or moderate deviations for quite general sequences of real valued random variables $(X_{n})_{n \in \mathbb{N}}$, which can be lattice or non-lattice…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Valentin Féray , Pierre-Loïc Méliot , Ashkan Nikeghbali

Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) are studied in a general framework. First, different constructions are proven to be equivalent. Second, we introduce a coupling between two PDMPs following the same differential flow which…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Alain Durmus , Arnaud Guillin , Pierre Monmarché

In this paper, we study large and moderate deviation principles for stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) on metric graphs and their associated multiscale models via the weak convergence approach, providing a refined…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Jianbo Cui , Derui Sheng

Poisson-like behavior for event count data is ubiquitous in nature. At the same time, differencing of such counts arises in the course of data processing in a variety of areas of application. As a result, the Skellam distribution -- defined…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-04 H. L. Gan , Eric D. Kolaczyk

Many problems arising in applications result in the need to probe a probability distribution for functions. Examples include Bayesian nonparametric statistics and conditioned diffusion processes. Standard MCMC algorithms typically become…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-20 S. L. Cotter , G. O. Roberts , A. M. Stuart , D. White

Second-order partial differential equations in non-divergence form are considered. Equations of this kind typically arise as subproblems for the solution of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations in the context of stochastic optimal control, or…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-13 Jan Blechschmidt , Roland Herzog , Max Winkler

We study mesoscopic linear statistics for a class of determinantal point processes which interpolates between Poisson and Gaussian Unitary Ensemble statistics. These processes are obtained by modifying the spectrum of the correlation kernel…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Kurt Johansson , Gaultier Lambert

The Moderate Deviations Principle (MDP) is well-understood for sums of independent random variables, worse understood for stationary random sequences, and scantily understood for random fields. Here it is established for some planary random…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Boris Tsirelson

In this paper we obtain the limit distribution for partial sums with a random number of terms following a class of mixed Poisson distributions. The resulting weak limit is a mixing between a normal distribution and an exponential family,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-08 Wagner Barreto-Souza , Gabriela Oliveira , Roger W. C. Silva

The $L^p$ maximal inequalities for martingales are one of the classical results in the theory of stochastic processes. Here we establish the sharp moderate maximal inequalities for one-dimensional diffusion processes, which include the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Xian Chen , Yong Chen , Mumien Cheng , Chen Jia

The main results in this paper concern large deviations for families of non-Gaussian processes obtained as suitable perturbations of continuous centered multivariate Gaussian processes which satisfy a large deviation principle. We present…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-06 C. Macci , B. Pacchiarotti

Affine point processes are a class of simple point processes with self- and mutually-exciting properties, and they have found useful applications in several areas. In this paper, we obtain large-time asymptotic expansions in large…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-26 Xuefeng Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

Large deviation principles are established for the two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet distribution and two-parameter Dirichlet process when parameter $\theta$ approaches infinity. The motivation for these results is to understand the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Shui Feng

We prove moderate deviation principles for the tagged particle position and current in one-dimensional symmetric simple exclusion processes. There is at most one particle per site. A particle jumps to one of its two neighbors at rate $1/2$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-11 Xiaofeng Xue , Linjie Zhao

In this article, we quantify the functional convergence of the rescaled random walk with heavy tails to a stable process.This generalizes the Generalized Central Limit Theorem for stable random variables infinite dimension. We show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Lorick Huang , Laurent Decreusefond , Laure Coutin

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the deviation inequalities and the moderate deviation principle of the least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of general $p$th-order bifurcating autoregressive processes, under…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-12 Hacène Djellout , Valère Bitseki Penda
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