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We bound features of counterfactual choices in the nonparametric random utility model of demand, i.e. if observable choices are repeated cross-sections and one allows for unrestricted, unobserved heterogeneity. In this setting, tight bounds…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-21 Yuichi Kitamura , Jörg Stoye

Probabilistic Manifold Decomposition (PMD)\cite{doi:10.1137/25M1738863}, developed in our earlier work, provides a nonlinear model reduction by embedding high-dimensional dynamics onto low-dimensional probabilistic manifolds. The PMD has…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Jiaming Guo , Dunhui Xiao

It is common to address the curse of dimensionality in Markov decision processes (MDPs) by exploiting low-rank representations. This motivates much of the recent theoretical study on linear MDPs. However, most approaches require a given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-09 Tianjun Zhang , Tongzheng Ren , Mengjiao Yang , Joseph E. Gonzalez , Dale Schuurmans , Bo Dai

In performative stochastic optimization, decisions can influence the distribution of random parameters, rendering the data-generating process itself decision-dependent. In practice, decision-makers rarely have access to the true…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-27 Zhuangzhuang Jia , Yijie Wang , Roy Dong , Grani A. Hanasusanto

We consider a distributionally robust Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (DR-POMDP), where the distribution of the transition-observation probabilities is unknown at the beginning of each decision period, but their realizations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-09 Hideaki Nakao , Ruiwei Jiang , Siqian Shen

We study the identification and estimation of a multidimensional screening model, where a monopolist sells a multi-attribute product to consumers with private information about their multidimensional preferences. Under optimal screening,…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-18 Gaurab Aryal , Federico Zincenko

Diffusion models have shown significant potential in generating oracle items that best match user preference with guidance from user historical interaction sequences. However, the quality of guidance is often compromised by unpredictable…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Wenyu Mao , Zhengyi Yang , Jiancan Wu , Haozhe Liu , Yancheng Yuan , Xiang Wang , Xiangnan He

Limited by cognitive abilities, decision-makers (DMs) may struggle to evaluate decision alternatives based on all criteria in multiple criteria decision-making problems. This paper proposes an embedded criteria selection method derived from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Kun Zhou , Zaiwu Gong , Guo Wei , Roman Slowinski

Statistical shape models enhance machine learning algorithms providing prior information about deformation. A Point Distribution Model (PDM) is a popular landmark-based statistical shape model for segmentation. It requires choosing a model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-02 Alma Eguizabal , Peter J. Schreier , David Ramírez

Assortment optimization is a fundamental challenge in modern retail and recommendation systems, where the goal is to select a subset of products that maximizes expected revenue under complex customer choice behaviors. While recent advances…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-11 Miao Lu , Yuxuan Han , Han Zhong , Zhengyuan Zhou , Jose Blanchet

LLMs can generate a wealth of data, ranging from simulated personas imitating human valuations and preferences, to demand forecasts based on world knowledge. But how well do such LLM-generated distributions support downstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Jackie Baek , Yunhan Chen , Ziyu Chi , Will Ma

The performance of machine learning models can be impacted by changes in data over time. A promising approach to address this challenge is invariant learning, with a particular focus on a method known as invariant risk minimization (IRM).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Wenlu Tang , Zicheng Liu

The EM (Expectation-Maximization) algorithm is regarded as an MM (Majorization-Minimization) algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation of statistical models. Expanding this view, this paper demonstrates that by choosing an appropriate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Kensuke Asai , Jun-ya Gotoh

We introduce the nonparametric metadata dependent relational (NMDR) model, a Bayesian nonparametric stochastic block model for network data. The NMDR allows the entities associated with each node to have mixed membership in an unbounded…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Dae Il Kim , Michael Hughes , Erik Sudderth

We propose a general methodology for recovering preference parameters from data on choices and response times. Our methods yield estimates with fast ($1/n$ for $n$ data points) convergence rates when specialized to the popular Drift…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-04 Federico Echenique , Alireza Fallah , Michael I. Jordan

Masked diffusion models (MDM) are powerful generative models for discrete data that generate samples by progressively unmasking tokens in a sequence. Each token can take one of two states: masked or unmasked. We observe that token sequences…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Chen-Hao Chao , Wei-Fang Sun , Hanwen Liang , Chun-Yi Lee , Rahul G. Krishnan

Many applications in preference learning assume that decisions come from the maximization of a stable utility function. Yet a large experimental literature shows that individual choices and judgements can be affected by "irrelevant" aspects…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-04 Arjun Seshadri , Alexander Peysakhovich , Johan Ugander

When building recommendation systems, we seek to output a helpful set of items to the user. Under the hood, a ranking model predicts which of two candidate items is better, and we must distill these pairwise comparisons into the user-facing…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Karl Krauth , Stephen Bates , Yixin Wang , Michael I. Jordan

Probabilistic model checking can provide formal guarantees on the behavior of stochastic models relating to a wide range of quantitative properties, such as runtime, energy consumption or cost. But decision making is typically with respect…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Ingy Elsayed-Aly , David Parker , Lu Feng

Firms typically cannot observe key consumer actions: whether customers buy from a competitor, choose not to buy, or even fully consider the firm's offer. This missing outside-option information makes market-size and preference estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Jiangkai Xiong , Kalyan Talluri , Hanzhao Wang