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This paper studies identification and estimation of a class of dynamic models in which the decision maker (DM) is uncertain about the data-generating process. The DM surrounds a benchmark model that he or she fears is misspecified by a set…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-30 Timothy M. Christensen

We explore the influence of framing on decision-making, where some products are framed (e.g., displayed, recommended, endorsed, or labeled). We introduce a novel choice function that captures observed variations in framed alternatives.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-02-04 Paul H. Y. Cheung , Yusufcan Masatlioglu

This paper introduces the RUMBoost model, a novel discrete choice modelling approach that combines the interpretability and behavioural robustness of Random Utility Models (RUMs) with the generalisation and predictive ability of deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Nicolas Salvadé , Tim Hillel

The use of multiple Decision Models (DMs) enables to enhance the accuracy in decisions and at the same time allows users to evaluate the confidence in decision making. In this paper we explore the ability of multiple DMs to learn from a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2008-05-27 Vitaly Schetinin , Dayou Li , Carsten Maple

Recommender systems predict personalized item rankings based on user preference distributions derived from historical behavior data. Recently, diffusion models (DMs) have gained attention in recommendation for their ability to model complex…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Shuo Liu , An Zhang , Guoqing Hu , Hong Qian , Tat-seng Chua

This paper provides nonparametric identification results for random coefficient distributions in perturbed utility models. We cover discrete and continuous choice models. We establish identification using variation in mean quantities, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-03-03 Roy Allen , John Rehbeck

Utility preference robust optimization (PRO) has recently been proposed to deal with optimal decision making problems where the decision maker's (DM) preference over gains and losses is ambiguous. In this paper, we take a step further to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-11 Jian Hu , Dali Zhang , Huifu Xu , Sainan Zhang

Motivated by the successes of deep learning, we propose a class of neural network-based discrete choice models, called RUMnets, inspired by the random utility maximization (RUM) framework. This model formulates the agents' random utility…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Ali Aouad , Antoine Désir

Deep Generative Models (DGMs) are versatile tools for learning data representations while adequately incorporating domain knowledge such as the specification of conditional probability distributions. Recently proposed DGMs tackle the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Romain Lopez , Jan-Christian Huetter , Ehsan Hajiramezanali , Jonathan Pritchard , Aviv Regev

Selective inference aims at providing valid inference after a data-driven selection of models or hypotheses. It is essential to avoid overconfident results and replicability issues. While significant advances have been made in this area for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-14 Matteo D'Alessandro , Magne Thoresen

Collaborative Metric Learning (CML) has recently emerged as a popular method in recommendation systems (RS), closing the gap between metric learning and Collaborative Filtering. Following the convention of RS, existing methods exploit…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-10-03 Shilong Bao , Qianqian Xu , Zhiyong Yang , Yuan He , Xiaochun Cao , Qingming Huang

We propose a general method for distributed Bayesian model choice, using the marginal likelihood, where a data set is split in non-overlapping subsets. These subsets are only accessed locally by individual workers and no data is shared…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-18 Alexander Buchholz , Daniel Ahfock , Sylvia Richardson

Understanding the effect of uncertainty and noise in data on machine learning models (MLM) is crucial in developing trust and measuring performance. In this paper, a new model is proposed to quantify uncertainties and noise in data on MLMs.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Usman Anjum , Chris Trentman , Elrod Caden , Justin Zhan

Recent years have seen a resurgence in interest in marketing mix models (MMMs), which are aggregate-level models of marketing effectiveness. Often these models incorporate nonlinear effects, and either implicitly or explicitly assume that…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-15 Ryan Dew , Nicolas Padilla , Anya Shchetkina

Predicting future consumer behaviour is one of the most challenging problems for large scale retail firms. Accurate prediction of consumer purchase pattern enables better inventory planning and efficient personalized marketing strategies.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-15 Ankur Verma

The Class Activation Map (CAM) lookup of a neural network tells us to which regions the neural network focuses when it makes a decision. In the past, the CAM search method was dependent upon a specific internal module of the network. It has…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Yitao Peng , Longzhen Yang , Yihang Liu , Lianghua He

Discrete choice models are essential for modelling various decision-making processes in human behaviour. However, the specification of these models has depended heavily on domain knowledge from experts, and the fully automated but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Fumiyasu Makinoshima , Tatsuya Mitomi , Fumiya Makihara , Eigo Segawa

To avoid specification of the error distribution in a regression model, we propose a general nonparametric scale mixture model for the error distribution. For fitting such mixtures, the predictive recursion method is a simple and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-03 Ryan Martin , Zhen Han

The drift diffusion model (DDM) is a model of sequential sampling with diffusion (Brownian) signals, where the decision maker accumulates evidence until the process hits a stopping boundary, and then stops and chooses the alternative that…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-12 Drew Fudenberg , Whitney K. Newey , Philipp Strack , Tomasz Strzalecki

In the signal processing and statistics literature, the minimum description length (MDL) principle is a popular tool for choosing model complexity. Successful examples include signal denoising and variable selection in linear regression,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-28 Zhenyu Wei , Raymond K. W. Wong , Thomas C. M. Lee