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Parameter identification for marine ecosystem models is important for the assessment and validation of marine ecosystem models against observational data. The surrogate-based optimization (SBO) is a computationally efficient method to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-12-01 Markus Pfeil , Thomas Slawig

Data assimilation is widely used to improve flood forecasting capability, especially through parameter inference requiring statistical information on the uncertain input parameters (upstream discharge, friction coefficient) as well as on…

We present a hybrid sampling-surrogate approach for reducing the computational expense of uncertainty quantification in nonlinear dynamical systems. Our motivation is to enable rapid uncertainty quantification in complex mechanical systems…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-27 Hang Yang , Yuji Fujii , K. W. Wang , Alex A. Gorodetsky

Bayesian posterior distributions arising in modern applications, including inverse problems in partial differential equation models in tomography and subsurface flow, are often computationally intractable due to the large computational cost…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-10 Tapio Helin , Andrew Stuart , Aretha Teckentrup , Konstantinos Zygalakis

We consider the task of data-driven identification of dynamical systems, specifically for systems whose behavior at large frequencies is non-standard, as encoded by a non-trivial relative degree of the transfer function or, alternatively, a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Davide Pradovera , Ion Victor Gosea , Jan Heiland

Bayesian inverse design provides a principled framework for inferring aerodynamic geometries from sparse flow observations while quantifying uncertainty. However, its practical use in computational fluid dynamics (CFD) is severely limited…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-26 Bipin Tiwari , Omer San

We propose GNN-Surrogate, a graph neural network-based surrogate model to explore the parameter space of ocean climate simulations. Parameter space exploration is important for domain scientists to understand the influence of input…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-02-23 Neng Shi , Jiayi Xu , Skylar W. Wurster , Hanqi Guo , Jonathan Woodring , Luke P. Van Roekel , Han-Wei Shen

Patient-reported outcome (PRO) measures are increasingly collected as a means of measuring healthcare quality and value. The capability to predict such measures enables patient-provider shared decision making and the delivery of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-01 Jaeyoung Park , Muxuan Liang , Ying-Qi Zhao , Xiang Zhong

A machine-learning-based framework for modeling the error introduced by surrogate models of parameterized dynamical systems is proposed. The framework entails the use of high-dimensional regression techniques (e.g., random forests, LASSO)…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2017-06-02 Sumeet Trehan , Kevin Carlberg , Louis J. Durlofsky

The method of constrained randomisation is applied to three-dimensional simulated galaxy distributions. With this technique we generate for a given data set surrogate data sets which have the same linear properties as the original data…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 C. Raeth , W. Bunk , M. Huber , G. Morfill , J. Retzlaff , P. Schuecker

This paper introduces a practical sampling method for training surrogate models in the context of uncertainty propagation. We propose a heuristic method to uniformly draw samples within highest density regions of the density given by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Jocelyn Minini , Micha Wasem

Adaptive experimental designs have gained increasing attention across a range of domains. In this paper, we propose a new methodological framework, surrogate-leveraged online adaptive causal inference (SLOACI), which integrates predictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-09 Yingying Fan , Zihan Wang , Waverly Wei

A deep-learning-based surrogate model is developed and applied for predicting dynamic subsurface flow in channelized geological models. The surrogate model is based on deep convolutional and recurrent neural network architectures,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-20 Meng Tang , Yimin Liu , Louis J. Durlofsky

One method to solve expensive black-box optimization problems is to use a surrogate model that approximates the objective based on previous observed evaluations. The surrogate, which is cheaper to evaluate, is optimized instead to find an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-28 Rickard Karlsson , Laurens Bliek , Sicco Verwer , Mathijs de Weerdt

In many fields of science, comprehensive and realistic computational models are available nowadays. Often, the respective numerical calculations call for the use of powerful supercomputers, and therefore only a limited number of cases can…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-11-22 Ionut-Gabriel Farcas , Gabriele Merlo , Frank Jenko

Surrogate models are used to predict the behavior of complex energy systems that are too expensive to simulate with traditional numerical methods. Our work introduces the use of language descriptions, which we call ``system captions'' or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-21 Patrick Emami , Zhaonan Li , Saumya Sinha , Truc Nguyen

Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) is used to assist in designing artificial valves and planning procedures, focusing on local flow features. However, assessing the impact on overall cardiovascular function or predicting longer-term…

Despite the progress in high performance computing, Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations are still computationally expensive for many practical engineering applications such as simulating large computational domains and highly…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-10-26 Botros N Hanna , Nam T. Dinh , Robert W. Youngblood , Igor A. Bolotnov

Physics simulations have become fundamental tools to study myriad engineering systems. As physics simulations often involve simplifications, their outputs should be calibrated using real-world data. In this paper, we present a…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-25 Naichen Shi , Hao Yan , Shenghan Guo , Raed Al Kontar

Data-driven surrogate models are widely used for applications such as design optimization and uncertainty quantification, where repeated evaluations of an expensive simulator are required. For most partial differential equation (PDE)…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-10-18 Wei Xing , Robert M. Kirby , Shandian Zhe
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