Related papers: Statistical parameters for assessing environmental…
Random effects model can account for the lack of fitting a regression model and increase precision of estimating area-level means. However, in case that the synthetic mean provides accurate estimates, the prior distribution may inflate an…
Throughout the life sciences we routinely seek to interpret measurements and observations using parameterised mechanistic mathematical models. A fundamental and often overlooked choice in this approach involves relating the solution of a…
In parameter estimation, assumptions about the model are typically considered which allow us to build optimal estimation methods under many statistical senses. However, it is usually the case where such models are inaccurately known or not…
Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…
Air pollution constitutes a global problem of paramount importance that affects not only human health, but also the environment. The existence of spatial and temporal data regarding the concentrations of pollutants is crucial for performing…
Satellite product validation is key to ensure the delivery of quality products for climate and weather applications. To do this, a fundamental step is the comparison with other instruments, such us radiosonde. This is specially true for…
Evaluation in scientific reconstruction is dominated by pointwise metrics - RMSE, MAE, per-event resolution - under the implicit assumption that lower error means better reconstruction. We show that this assumption fails structurally for…
Mean squared error (MSE) is one of the most widely used metrics to expression differences between multi-dimensional entities, including images. However, MSE is not locally sensitive as it does not take into account the spatial arrangement…
In many practical parameter estimation problems, prescreening and parameter selection are performed prior to estimation. In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating a preselected unknown deterministic parameter chosen from a…
The sparse signal processing literature often uses random sensing matrices to obtain performance guarantees. Unfortunately, in the real world, sensing matrices do not always come from random processes. It is therefore desirable to evaluate…
Ensemble learning is widely applied in Machine Learning (ML) to improve model performance and to mitigate decision risks. In this approach, predictions from a diverse set of learners are combined to obtain a joint decision. Recently,…
Among the many ways to model signals, a recent approach that draws considerable attention is sparse representation modeling. In this model, the signal is assumed to be generated as a random linear combination of a few atoms from a…
We consider the estimation of an n-dimensional vector s from the noisy element-wise measurements of $\mathbf{s}\mathbf{s}^T$, a generic problem that arises in statistics and machine learning. We study a mismatched Bayesian inference…
Sea surface temperature (SST) is an essential climate variable that can be measured via ground truth, remote sensing, or hybrid model methodologies. Here, we celebrate SST surveillance progress via the application of a few relevant…
We apply the sample average approximation (SAA) method to risk-neutral optimization problems governed by nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) with random inputs. We analyze the consistency of the SAA optimal values and SAA…
Despite the simplicity and intuitive interpretation of Minimum Mean Squared Error (MMSE) estimators, their effectiveness in certain scenarios is questionable. Indeed, minimizing squared errors on average does not provide any form of…
Learning-based radio map estimation (RME) plays a critical role in UAV-assisted wireless sensing, enabling tasks such as coverage prediction and network optimization. Most current methods assume an independently and identically distributed…
In this paper, we study joint state and parameter estimation for general nonlinear systems with uncertain parameters and persistent process and measurement noise. In particular, we are interested in stability properties of the resulting…
Climate models are complicated software systems that approximate atmospheric and oceanic fluid mechanics at a coarse spatial resolution. Typical climate forecasts only explicitly resolve processes larger than 100 km and approximate any…
We adopt and expand McDonald's (2011) regression framework for measurement precision, integrating two key perspectives: (a) reliability of observed scores and (b) optimal prediction of latent scores. Reliability arises from a measurement…