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Machine learning models have prevalent applications in many real-world problems, which increases the importance of correctness in the behaviour of these trained models. Finding a good test case that can reveal the potential failure in these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Harsh Vardhan , Janos Sztipanovits

In this paper, a sample-based procedure for obtaining simple and computable approximations of chance-constrained sets is proposed. The procedure allows to control the complexity of the approximating set, by defining families of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-19 Martina Mammarella , Victor Mirasierra , Matthias Lorenzen , Teodoro Alamo , Fabrizio Dabbene

We propose a multi-level method to increase the accuracy of machine learning algorithms for approximating observables in scientific computing, particularly those that arise in systems modeled by differential equations. The algorithm relies…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-06 Kjetil O. Lye , Siddhartha Mishra , Roberto Molinaro

Cr\'epey, Frikha, and Louzi (2025) introduced a multilevel stochastic approximation scheme to compute the value-at-risk of a financial loss that is only simulatable by Monte Carlo. The best complexity of the scheme is in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-14 Stéphane Crépey , Noufel Frikha , Azar Louzi , Jonathan Spence

This article provides a critical review of the main methods used to produce conservative estimators of probabilities of rare events, or critical failures, for reliability and certification studies in the broadest sense. These probabilities…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Nicolas Bousquet

This paper presents a physics and data co-driven surrogate modeling method for efficient rare event simulation of civil and mechanical systems with high-dimensional input uncertainties. The method fuses interpretable low-fidelity physical…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-10 Jianhua Xian , Ziqi Wang

A model hierarchy that is based on the one-dimensional isothermal Euler equations of fluid dynamics is used for the simulation and optimisation of gas flow through a pipeline network. Adaptive refinement strategies have the aim of bringing…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-02-01 Pia Domschke , Aseem Dua , Jeroen J. Stolwijk , Jens Lang , Volker Mehrmann

An ensemble method is introduced that utilizes randomization and loss function gradients to compute a prediction. Multiple weakly-correlated estimators approximate the gradient at randomly sampled points on the error surface and are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Nicholas Smith

In a general setting, we study a posteriori estimates used in finite element analysis to measure the error between a solution and its approximation. The latter is not necessarily generated by a finite element method. We show that the error…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-09 Thomas Führer , Sergio Rojas

Weighted least squares polynomial approximation uses random samples to determine projections of functions onto spaces of polynomials. It has been shown that, using an optimal distribution of sample locations, the number of samples required…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-10-10 Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Fabio Nobile , Raúl Tempone , Sören Wolfers

A framework is introduced for solving a sequence of slowly changing optimization problems, including those arising in regression and classification applications, using optimization algorithms such as stochastic gradient descent (SGD). The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-25 Craig Wilson , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Continuous level Monte Carlo is an unbiased, continuous version of the celebrated multilevel Monte Carlo method. The approximation level is assumed to be continuous resulting in a stochastic process describing the quantity of interest.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-19 Cedric Aaron Beschle , Andrea Barth

Subsampling is a widely used and effective approach for addressing the computational challenges posed by massive datasets. Substantial progress has been made in developing non-uniform, probability-based subsampling schemes that prioritize…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Dingyi Wang , Haiying Wang , Qingpei Hu

State-of-the-art methods for rare event simulation of non-Markovian models face practical or theoretical limits if observing the event of interest requires prior knowledge or information on the timed behavior of the system. In this paper,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Gabriel Dengler , Carlos E. Budde , Laura Carnevali , Arnd Hartmanns

A multi-fidelity regression model is proposed for combining multiple datasets with different fidelities, particularly abundant low-fidelity data and scarce high-fidelity observations. The model builds upon recent multi-fidelity frameworks…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-11-21 Mohammad Hossein Saadat

We consider a linear stochastic fluid network under Markov modulation, with a focus on the probability that the joint storage level attains a value in a rare set at a given point in time. The main objective is to develop efficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-09 Onno Boxma , Ewan Cahen , David Koops , Michel Mandjes

We study the problem of evaluating the excess risk of large-scale empirical risk minimization under the square loss. Leveraging the idea of wild refitting and resampling, we assume only black-box access to the training algorithm and develop…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Haichen Hu , David Simchi-Levi

We introduce a theoretical and practical framework for efficient importance sampling of mini-batch samples for gradient estimation from single and multiple probability distributions. To handle noisy gradients, our framework dynamically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Corentin Salaün , Xingchang Huang , Iliyan Georgiev , Niloy J. Mitra , Gurprit Singh

We propose a new estimator for the high-dimensional linear regression model with observation error in the design where the number of coefficients is potentially larger than the sample size. The main novelty of our procedure is that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-09 Alexandre Belloni , Abhishek Kaul , Mathieu Rosenbaum

We consider the setting of distributed empirical risk minimization where multiple machines compute the gradients in parallel and a centralized server updates the model parameters. In order to reduce the number of communications required to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-26 Hadrien Hendrikx , Lin Xiao , Sebastien Bubeck , Francis Bach , Laurent Massoulie