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Additive isotonic regression attempts to determine the relationship between a multi-dimensional observation variable and a response, under the constraint that the estimate is the additive sum of univariate component effects that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-16 Zhou Fang , Nicolai Meinshausen

This paper focuses on Bayesian shrinkage for covariance matrix estimation. We examine posterior properties and frequentist risks of Bayesian estimators based on new hierarchical inverse-Wishart priors. More precisely, we give the existence…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-17 Mathilde Bouriga , Olivier Féron

There is a wide range of applications where the local extrema of a function are the key quantity of interest. However, there is surprisingly little work on methods to infer local extrema with uncertainty quantification in the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-28 Meng Li , Zejian Liu , Cheng-Han Yu , Marina Vannucci

In this paper, we propose a new horseshoe-type prior hierarchy for adaptively shrinking spline-based functional effects towards a predefined vector space of parametric functions. Instead of shrinking each spline coefficient towards zero, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-15 Paul Wiemann , Thomas Kneib

A novel approach to improve prediction and inference in M-estimation by integrating external information from heterogeneous populations is proposed. Our method leverages joint asymptotics to combine estimates from external and internal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-08 Walter Dempsey , Jeremy M. G. Taylor

The semivarying coefficient models are widely used in the application of finance, economics, medical science and many other areas. The functional coefficients are commonly estimated by local smoothing methods, e.g. local linear estimator.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-01 Heng Peng , Chuanlong Xie , Jingxin Zhao

This paper presents a fast algorithm for estimating hidden states of Bayesian state space models. The algorithm is a variation of amortized simulation-based inference algorithms, where a large number of artificial datasets are generated at…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-14 Ramis Khabibullin , Sergei Seleznev

Given a directed acyclic graph $G,$ and a set of values $y$ on the vertices, the Isotonic Regression of $y$ is a vector $x$ that respects the partial order described by $G,$ and minimizes $||x-y||,$ for a specified norm. This paper gives…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-12 Rasmus Kyng , Anup Rao , Sushant Sachdeva

We develop a new Bayesian framework based on deep neural networks to be able to extrapolate in space-time using historical data and to quantify uncertainties arising from both noisy and gappy data in physical problems. Specifically, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-14 Xuhui Meng , Liu Yang , Zhiping Mao , Jose del Aguila Ferrandis , George Em Karniadakis

Monotone inclusions have a wide range of applications, including minimization, saddle-point, and equilibria problems. We introduce new stochastic algorithms, with or without variance reduction, to estimate a root of the expectation of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Abdurakhmon Sadiev , Laurent Condat , Peter Richtárik

Small area estimation (SAE) plays a central role in survey statistics and epidemiology, providing reliable estimates for domains with limited sample sizes. The multivariate Fay-Herriot model has been extensively used for this purpose,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Shushi Nishina , Takahiro Onizuka , Shintaro Hashimoto

In many scientific applications the aim is to infer a function which is smooth in some areas, but rough or even discontinuous in other areas of its domain. Such spatially inhomogeneous functions can be modelled in Besov spaces with suitable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-30 Sergios Agapiou , Aimilia Savva

We study weighted Tikhonov regularization for large-scale linear discrete ill-posed problems with random noise. Under a polynomial upper-bound assumption on the generalized eigenvalues of the discrete forward operator, we derive stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Duan-Peng Ling , Wenlong Zhang

In Bayesian regression models with categorical predictors, constraints are needed to ensure identifiability when using all $K$ levels of a factor. The sum-to-zero constraint is particularly useful as it allows coefficients to represent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Zhi Ling , Shozen Dan

We consider the problem of model selection when grouping structure is inherent within the regressors. Using a Bayesian approach, we model the mean vector by a one-group global-local shrinkage prior belonging to a broad class of such priors…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Sayantan Paul , Prasenjit Ghosh , Arijit Chakrabarti

We propose a method to improve the efficiency and accuracy of amortized Bayesian inference by leveraging universal symmetries in the joint probabilistic model of parameters and data. In a nutshell, we invert Bayes' theorem and estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Marvin Schmitt , Desi R. Ivanova , Daniel Habermann , Ullrich Köthe , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev

In Bayesian theory, calculating a posterior probability distribution is highly important but usually difficult. Therefore, some methods have been put forward to deal with such problem, among which, the most popular one is the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-20 Zai-Ying Zhou

We propose a novel Bayesian wavelet regression approach using a three-component spike-and-slab prior for wavelet coefficients, combining a point mass at zero, a moment (MOM) prior, and an inverse moment (IMOM) prior. This flexible prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Nilotpal Sanyal

Motivated by the desire to numerically calculate rigorous upper and lower bounds on deviation probabilities over large classes of probability distributions, we present an adaptive algorithm for the reconstruction of increasing real-valued…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-12 L. Bonnet , J. -L. Akian , É. Savin , T. J. Sullivan

The present work describes simulation studies to compare the performances of bayesian wavelet shrinkage methods in estimating component curves from aggregated functional data. To do so, five methods were considered: the bayesian shrinkage…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-12 Alex Rodrigo dos Santos Sousa