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Due to developments in instruments and computers, functional observations are increasingly popular. However, effective methodologies for flexibly estimating the underlying trends with valid uncertainty quantification for a sequence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-22 Tomoya Wakayama , Shonosuke Sugasawa

We develop an adaptive monotone shrinkage estimator for regression models with the following characteristics: i) dense coefficients with small but important effects; ii) a priori ordering that indicates the probable predictive importance of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-08 Zhuang Ma , Dean Foster , Robert Stine

Isotonic regression provides a flexible, tuning-free approach to estimating monotonic functions without imposing global curvature constraints, yet the estimated regression function is inherently a step function. This paper addresses a key…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Timo Kuosmanen , Juan F. Monge , José L. Ruiz , Xun Zhou

Shape restrictions such as monotonicity on functions often arise naturally in statistical modeling. We consider a Bayesian approach to the problem of estimation of a monotone regression function and testing for monotonicity. We construct a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Moumita Chakraborty , Subhashis Ghosal

Although linear regression models are fundamental tools in statistical science, the estimation results can be sensitive to outliers. While several robust methods have been proposed in frequentist frameworks, statistical inference is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-15 Shintaro Hashimoto , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Global-local shrinkage prior has been recognized as useful class of priors which can strongly shrink small signals towards prior means while keeping large signals unshrunk. Although such priors have been extensively discussed under Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-18 Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

We propose a novel class of dynamic shrinkage processes for Bayesian time series and regression analysis. Building upon a global-local framework of prior construction, in which continuous scale mixtures of Gaussian distributions are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-02 Daniel R. Kowal , David S. Matteson , David Ruppert

We consider the nonparametric regression problem with multiple predictors and an additive error, where the regression function is assumed to be coordinatewise nondecreasing. We propose a Bayesian approach to make an inference on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Kang Wang , Subhashis Ghosal

This paper addresses the weak instruments problem in linear instrumental variable models from a Bayesian perspective. The new approach has two components. First, a novel predictor-dependent shrinkage prior is developed for the many…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-05 P. Richard Hahn , Hedibert Lopes

Modern approaches to perform Bayesian variable selection rely mostly on the use of shrinkage priors. That said, an ideal shrinkage prior should be adaptive to different signal levels, ensuring that small effects are ruled out, while keeping…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Santiago Marin , Bronwyn Loong , Anton H. Westveld

Motivated by the goal of improving the efficiency of small sample design, we propose a novel Bayesian stochastic approximation method to estimate the root of a regression function. The method features adaptive local modelling and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-08 Jin Xu , Cui Xiong , Rongji Mu

In this paper, we consider Bayesian variable selection problem of linear regression model with global-local shrinkage priors on the regression coefficients. We propose a variable selection procedure that select a variable if the ratio of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-26 Xueying Tang , Xiaofan Xu , Malay Ghosh , Prasenjit Ghosh

This article introduces two absolutely continuous global-local shrinkage priors to enable stochastic variable selection in the context of high-dimensional matrix exponential spatial specifications. Existing approaches as a means to dealing…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-02-06 Michael Pfarrhofer , Philipp Piribauer

Many real-life applications involve estimation of curves that exhibit complicated shapes including jumps or varying-frequency oscillations. Practical methods have been devised that can adapt to a locally varying complexity of an unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-28 Veronika Rockova , Judith Rousseau

Estimating boundary curves has many applications such as economics, climate science, and medicine. Bayesian trend filtering has been developed as one of locally adaptive smoothing methods to estimate the non-stationary trend of data. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-13 Takahiro Onizuka , Fumiya Iwashige , Shintaro Hashimoto

We consider a general monotone regression estimation where we allow for independent and dependent regressors. We propose a modification of the classical isotonic least squares estimator and establish its rate of convergence for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Konstantinos Fokianos , Anne Leucht , Michael H. Neumann

Factor models are widely used for dimension reduction. Bayesian approaches to these models often place a prior on the factor loadings that allows for infinitely many factors, with loadings increasingly shrunk toward zero as the column index…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Shicheng Liu , Qingping Zhou , Yanan Fan , Xiongwen Ke

We study the problem of estimating piecewise monotone vectors. This problem can be seen as a generalization of the isotonic regression that allows a small number of order-violating changepoints. We focus mainly on the performance of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Kentaro Minami

We consider the nonparametric multivariate isotonic regression problem, where the regression function is assumed to be nondecreasing with respect to each predictor. Our goal is to construct a Bayesian credible interval for the function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Kang Wang , Subhashis Ghosal

Most estimates for penalised linear regression can be viewed as posterior modes for an appropriate choice of prior distribution. Bayesian shrinkage methods, particularly the horseshoe estimator, have recently attracted a great deal of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-06 Zemei Xu , Daniel F. Schmidt , Enes Makalic , Guoqi Qian , John L. Hopper
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