Related papers: Partial autocorrelation parameterisation of models…
This paper studies system identification of high-dimensional ARMA models with binary-valued observations. The existing paper can only deal with the case where the regression term is only one-dimensional. In this paper, the ARMA model with…
An analytically simple and tractable formula for the start-up autocovariances of periodic ARMA (PARMA) models is provided.
Spatial unilateral autoregressive model $X_{k,\ell}=\alpha X_{k-1,\ell}+\beta X_{k,\ell-1}+\gamma X_{k-1,\ell-1}+\epsilon_{k,\ell}$ is investigated in the unit root case, that is when the parameters are on the boundary of the domain of…
A class of continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) process driven by simple semi-Levy measure is defined and its properties are studied. We discuss some new insights on the structure of the semi-Levy measure which is described…
We derive a closed-form expression for the finite predictor coefficients of multivariate ARMA (autoregressive moving-average) processes. The expression is given in terms of several explicit matrices that are of fixed sizes independent of…
In this work we introduce the class of unit-Weibull Autoregressive Moving Average models for continuous random variables taking values in $(0,1)$. The proposed model is an observation driven one, for which, conditionally on a set of…
The object of this paper is to study the asymptotic dependence structure of the linear time series models with infinitely divisible innovations by the use of their characteristic functions. Autoregressive moving-average (ARMA) models and…
This is a survey of some recent results on the rational circulant covariance extension problem: Given a partial sequence $(c_0,c_1,\dots,c_n)$ of covariance lags $c_k=\mathbb{E}\{y(t+k)\overline{y(t)}\}$ emanating from a stationary periodic…
Automatic amortized resource analysis (AARA) is a type-based technique for inferring concrete (non-asymptotic) bounds on a program's resource usage. Existing work on AARA has focused on bounds that are polynomial in the sizes of the inputs.…
We study properties of eigenvalues of a matrix associated with a randomly chosen partial automorphism of a regular rooted tree. We show that asymptotically, as the numbers of levels goes to infinity, the fraction of non-zero eigenvalues…
Autoregressive models (ARMs) have become the workhorse for sequence generation tasks, since many problems can be modeled as next-token prediction. While there appears to be a natural ordering for text (i.e., left-to-right), for many data…
We prove a representation of the partial autocorrelation function (PACF), or the Verblunsky coefficients, of a stationary process in terms of the AR and MA coefficients. We apply it to show the asymptotic behaviour of the PACF. We also…
Spatial correlation in areal unit count data is typically modelled by a set of random effects that are assigned a conditional autoregressive (CAR) prior distribution. The spatial correlation structure implied by this model depends on a…
The class of autoregressive (AR) processes is extensively used to model temporal dependence in observed time series. Such models are easily available and routinely fitted using freely available statistical software like R. A potential…
We introduce a recursive algorithm of conveniently general form for estimating the coefficient of a moving average model of order one and obtain convergence results for both correct and misspecified MA(1) models. The algorithm encompasses…
We study asymptotics of the spectral measure of a randomly chosen partial automorphism of a rooted tree. To every partial automorphism $x$ we assign its action matrix $A_x$. It is shown that the uniform distribution on eigenvalues of $A_x$…
We construct rational all-pass matrix functions with real-valued coefficients for mirroring pairs of complex-conjugated determinantal roots of a rational matrix. This problem appears, for example, when proving the spectral factorization…
A random coefficient autoregressive process is deeply investigated in which the coefficients are correlated. First we look at the existence of a strictly stationary causal solution, we give the second-order stationarity conditions and the…
Fractionally integrated autoregressive moving average (FIARMA) processes have been widely and successfully used to model and predict univariate time series exhibiting long range dependence. Vector and functional extensions of these…
We investigate the estimation of parameters in the random coefficient autoregressive model. We consider a nonstationary RCA process and show that the innovation variance parameter cannot be estimated by the quasi-maximum likelihood method.…