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Related papers: Automated Infectious Disease Forecasting: Use-case…

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Infectious disease forecasts can reduce mortality and morbidity by supporting evidence-based public health decision making. Most epidemic models train on surveillance and structured data (e.g. weather, mobility, media), missing contextual…

In this paper, we focus on modelling the timing aspects of binary programs running on architectures featuring caches and pipelines. The objective is to obtain a timed automaton model to compute tight bounds for the worst-case execution time…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2015-11-16 Franck Cassez , Pablo González de Aledo Marugán

For practical reasons, many forecasts of case, hospitalization and death counts in the context of the current COVID-19 pandemic are issued in the form of central predictive intervals at various levels. This is also the case for the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-09 Johannes Bracher , Evan L. Ray , Tilmann Gneiting , Nicholas G. Reich

In this work, we present an approach called Disease Informed Neural Networks (DINNs) that can be employed to effectively predict the spread of infectious diseases. This approach builds on a successful physics informed neural network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Sagi Shaier , Maziar Raissi , Padmanabhan Seshaiyer

Accurate epidemic forecasting is critical for informing public health decisions and timely interventions. While Physics-Informed Neural Networks have shown promise in various scientific domains, their potential application to real-time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-20 Martina Rama , Gabriele Santin , Giulia Cencetti , Michele Tizzoni , Bruno Lepri

Forecasting infectious disease incidence can provide important information to guide public health planning, yet is difficult because epidemic dynamics are complex. Current mechanistic and statistical approaches often struggle to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Joseph Lemaitre , Justin Lessler

A reasonable prediction of infectious diseases transmission process under different disease control strategies is an important reference point for policy makers. Here we established a dynamic transmission model via Python and realized…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-23 Yuxuan Zhang , Chen Gong , Dawei Li , Zhi-Wei Wang , Shengda D Pu , Alex W Robertson , Hong Yu , John Parrington

This study presents a fully automated methodology for early prediction studies in clinical settings, leveraging information extracted from unstructured discharge reports. The proposed pipeline uses discharge reports to support the three…

Pipelines tubes are part of vital mechanical systems largely used in petrochemical industries. They serve to transport natural gases or liquids. They are cylindrical tubes and are submitted to the risks of corrosion due to high PH…

General Physics · Physics 2012-12-31 Abdo Abou Jaoude , Seifedine Kadry , Khaled El-Tawil , Hassan Noura , Mustapha Ouladsine

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has been ongoing for around 3 years, and has infected over 750 million people and caused over 6 million deaths worldwide at the time of writing. Throughout the pandemic, several strategies…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Mohamed Harmanani

Infectious diseases are one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality around the world; thus, forecasting their impact is crucial for planning an effective response strategy. According to the Centers for Disease Control and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-18 Kyle S. Hickmann , Geoffrey Fairchild , Reid Priedhorsky , Nicholas Generous , James M. Hyman , Alina Deshpande , Sara Y. Del Valle

The humanity has been facing a plethora of challenges associated with infectious diseases, which kill more than 6 million people a year. Although continuous efforts have been applied to relieve the potential damages from such misfortunate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-05-07 Cheol Young Park , Shou Matsumoto , Jubyung Ha , YoungWon Park

We develop open source infection risk calculators for patients and healthcare professionals as apps for hospital acquired infections (during child-delivery) and sexually transmitted infections (like HIV). Advanced versions of ehealth in…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-07 Andrzej Jarynowski , Damian Marchewka , Andrzej Buda

Infectious diseases occur when pathogens from other individuals or animals infect a person, resulting in harm to both individuals and society as a whole. The outbreak of such diseases can pose a significant threat to human health. However,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-24 Ghazaleh Babanejaddehaki , Aijun An , Manos Papagelis

Today's AI deployments often require significant human involvement and skill in the operational stages of the model lifecycle, including pre-release testing, monitoring, problem diagnosis and model improvements. We present a set of enabling…

Recent deep learning research based on Transformer model architectures has demonstrated state-of-the-art performance across a variety of domains and tasks, mostly within the computer vision and natural language processing domains. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-11 Benjamin Shickel , Patrick J. Tighe , Azra Bihorac , Parisa Rashidi

Infectious disease forecasting is of great interest to the public health community and policymakers, since forecasts can provide insight into disease dynamics in the near future and inform interventions. Due to delays in case reporting,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-12 Lauren J Beesley , Dave Osthus , Sara Y Del Valle

This contribution analyzes the COVID-19 outbreak by comparably simple mathematical and numerical methods. The final goal is to predict the peak of the epidemic outbreak per country with a reliable technique. This is done by an algorithm…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-15 Robert Schaback

We propose a novel approach that integrates machine learning into compartmental disease modeling to predict the progression of COVID-19. Our model is explainable by design as it explicitly shows how different compartments evolve and it uses…

The seasonal human influenza virus undergoes rapid evolution, leading to significant changes in circulating viral strains from year to year. These changes are typically driven by adaptive mutations, particularly in the antigenic epitopes,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-28 Matthijs Meijers , Denis Ruchnewitz , Jan Eberhardt , Malancha Karmakar , Marta Łuksza , Michael Lässig