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Post-stratification is frequently used to improve the precision of survey estimators when categorical auxiliary information is available from sources outside the survey. In natural resource surveys, such information is often obtained from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 F. Jay Breidt , Jean D. Opsomer

Estimating the expectation of a real-valued function of a random variable from sample data is a critical aspect of statistical analysis, with far-reaching implications in various applications. Current methodologies typically assume…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Paweł Lorek , Rafał Nowak , Rafał Topolnicki , Tomasz Trzciński , Maciej Zięba , Aleksandra Krystecka

We present a general mathematical framework for trajectory stratification for simulating rare events. Trajectory stratification involves decomposing trajectories of the underlying process into fragments limited to restricted regions of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-11-15 Aaron R. Dinner , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Jeremy O. B. Tempkin , Brian Van Koten , Jonathan Weare

Risk-limiting audits (RLAs) offer a statistical guarantee: if a full manual tally of the paper ballots would show that the reported election outcome is wrong, an RLA has a known minimum chance of leading to a full manual tally. RLAs…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-13 Kellie Ottoboni , Philip B. Stark , Mark Lindeman , Neal McBurnett

Quantifying the effect of uncertainties in systems where only point evaluations in the stochastic domain but no regularity conditions are available is limited to sampling-based techniques. This work presents an adaptive sequential…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-14 Sebastian Krumscheid , Per Pettersson

We study the problem of efficiently estimating counts for queries involving complex filters, such as user-defined functions, or predicates involving self-joins and correlated subqueries. For such queries, traditional sampling techniques may…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Brett Walenz , Stavros Sintos , Sudeepa Roy , Jun Yang

The stratified proportional hazards model represents a simple solution to account for heterogeneity within the data while keeping the multiplicative effect on the hazard function. Strata are typically defined a priori by resorting to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-18 Riccardo Corradin , Luis Enrique Nieto-Barajas , Bernardo Nipoti

Online advertising has been introduced as one of the most efficient methods of advertising throughout the recent years. Yet, advertisers are concerned about the efficiency of their online advertising campaigns and consequently, would like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-05-15 Ali Jalali , Santanu Kolay , Peter Foldes , Ali Dasdan

Sampling methods such as Stratified Random Sampling can be used to select representative samples of schools for randomized controlled trials of educational interventions. However, these methods may still yield external validity bias when…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2023-04-25 Robert B. Olsen , Maria L. Vasquez-Rossi

The paper delineates a proper statistical setting for defining the sampling design for a small area estimation problem. This problem is often treated only via indirect estimation using the values of the variable of interest also from…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-16 Piero Demetrio Falorsi , Stefano Falorsi , Vincenzo Nardelli , Paolo Righi

Propensity score weighting is widely used to improve the representativeness and correct the selection bias in the voluntary sample. The propensity score is often developed using a model for the sampling probability, which can be subject to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-20 Hengfang Wang , Jae Kwang Kim

Optimal propensity score matching has emerged as one of the most ubiquitous approaches for causal inference studies on observational data; However, outstanding critiques of the statistical properties of propensity score matching have cast…

Datasets for training crowd counting deep networks are typically heavy-tailed in count distribution and exhibit discontinuities across the count range. As a result, the de facto statistical measures (MSE, MAE) exhibit large variance and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-20 Sravya Vardhani Shivapuja , Mansi Pradeep Khamkar , Divij Bajaj , Ganesh Ramakrishnan , Ravi Kiran Sarvadevabhatla

Science and engineering problems subject to uncertainty are frequently both computationally expensive and feature nonsmooth parameter dependence, making standard Monte Carlo too slow, and excluding efficient use of accelerated uncertainty…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Per Pettersson , Sebastian Krumscheid

We report a new optimal resolution for the statistical stratification problem under proportional sampling allocation among strata. Consider a finite population of N units, a random sample of n units selected from this population and a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-02-24 Jose Brito , Mauricio Lila , Flavio Montenegro , Nelson Maculan

Informative gradients are often lost in large batch updates. We propose a robust mechanism to reinforce the sparse components within a random batch of data points. A finite queue of online gradients is used to determine their expected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Irfan Mohammad Al Hasib

In low and middle income countries, household surveys are a valuable source of information for a range of health and demographic indicators. Increasingly, subnational estimates are required for targeting interventions and evaluating…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-21 Katie Wilson , Jon Wakefield

Performance-based engineering for natural hazards facilitates the design and appraisal of structures with rigorous evaluation of their uncertain structural behavior under potentially extreme stochastic loads expressed in terms of failure…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Srinivasan Arunachalam , Seymour M. J. Spence

Marginal imputation, which consists of imputing each item requiring imputation separately, is often used in surveys. This type of imputation procedures leads to asymptotically unbiased estimators of simple parameters such as population…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-04 Hélène Chaput , Guillaume Chauvet , David Haziza , Laurianne Salembier , Julie Solard

Bayesian aggregation lets election forecasters combine diverse sources of information, such as state polls and economic and political indicators: as in our collaboration with The Economist magazine. However, the demands of real-time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-23 Geonhee Han , Andrew Gelman , Aki Vehtari