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In the present work, we collect solar irradiance and atmospheric condition data from several products, obtained from both numerical models (ERA5 and NORA3) and satellite observations (CMSAF-SARAH3). We then train simple supervised Machine…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-23 J Rabault , ML Sætra , A Dobler , S Eastwood , E Berge

This study proposes an approximate model to estimate the solar radiation spectrum intensity in Seoul, Republic of Korea, for the year 2024, aiming to analyze optimal conditions related to energy generation. Since the solar radiation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-14 Jeonggyu Hwang

With the increasing penetration of solar power into power systems, forecasting becomes critical in power system operations. In this paper, an hourly-similarity (HS) based method is developed for 1-hour-ahead (1HA) global horizontal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-12 Cong Feng , Jie Zhang

Bias correction is a common pre-processing step applied to climate model data before it is used for further analysis. This article introduces an efficient adaptation of a well-established bias-correction method - quantile mapping - for…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-03 Maggie D. Bailey , Douglas W. Nychka , Manajit Sengupta , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

Renewable energy forecasting is attaining greater importance due to its constant increase in contribution to the electrical power grids. Solar energy is one of the most significant contributors to renewable energy and is dependent on solar…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 V. Gunasekaran , K. K. Kovi , S. Arja , R. Chimata

Solar irradiance is fundamental data crucial for analyses related to weather and climate. High-precision estimation models are necessary to create areal data for solar irradiance. In this study, we developed a novel estimation model by…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-08 Jun Sasaki , Maki Okada , Kenji Utsunomiya , Koji Yamaguchi

Knowing the behavior of solar radiation at a geographic location is essential for the use of energy from the sun using photovoltaic systems; however, the number of stations for measuring meteorological parameters and for determining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Luis Eduardo Ordoñez Palacios , Víctor Bucheli Guerrero , Hugo Ordoñez

Solar forecasting accuracy is affected by weather conditions, and weather awareness forecasting models are expected to improve the performance. However, it may not be available and reliable to classify different forecasting tasks by using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-14 Cong Feng , Mingjian Cui , Bri-Mathias Hodge , Siyuan Lu , Hendrik F. Hamann , Jie Zhang

Gridded satellite precipitation datasets are useful in hydrological applications as they cover large regions with high density. However, they are not accurate in the sense that they do not agree with ground-based measurements. An…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-03-06 Georgia Papacharalampous , Hristos Tyralis , Anastasios Doulamis , Nikolaos Doulamis

Accurate estimates of surface solar irradiance (SSI) are essential for solar resource assessments and solar energy forecasts in grid integration and building control applications. SSI estimates for spatially extended regions can be…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-09 K. R. Schuurman , A. Meyer

Solar power harbors immense potential in mitigating climate change by substantially reducing CO$_{2}$ emissions. Nonetheless, the inherent variability of solar irradiance poses a significant challenge for seamlessly integrating solar power…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Oussama Boussif , Ghait Boukachab , Dan Assouline , Stefano Massaroli , Tianle Yuan , Loubna Benabbou , Yoshua Bengio

This paper presents an online platform showing Thailand solar irradiance map every 30 minutes, available at https://www.cusolarforecast.com. The methodology for estimating global horizontal irradiance (GHI) across Thailand relies on cloud…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-06 Suwichaya Suwanwimolkul , Natanon Tongamrak , Nuttamon Thungka , Naebboon Hoonchareon , Jitkomut Songsiri

The energy output a photo voltaic(PV) panel is a function of solar irradiation and weather parameters like temperature and wind speed etc. A general measure for solar irradiation called Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI), customarily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-01 Bhaskar Pratim Mukhoty , Vikas Maurya , Sandeep Kumar Shukla

Accurate surface solar irradiance (SSI) forecasting is essential for optimizing renewable energy systems, particularly in the context of long-term energy planning on a global scale. This paper presents a pioneering approach to solar…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-14 Alberto Carpentieri , Jussi Leinonen , Jeff Adie , Boris Bonev , Doris Folini , Farah Hariri

This study predicts hourly solar irradiance components, Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI), Direct Normal Irradiance (DNI), and Diffuse Horizontal Irradiance (DHI) using meteorological data to forecast solar energy output in Ibadan,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-12 Obarotu Peter Urhuerhi , Christopher Udomboso , Caston Sigauke

As the use of solar power increases, having accurate and timely forecasts will be essential for smooth grid operators. There are many proposed methods for forecasting solar irradiance / solar power production. However, many of these methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Timothy Cargan , Dario Landa-Silva , Isaac Triguero

Site-specific weather forecasts are essential to accurate prediction of power demand and are consequently of great interest to energy operators. However, weather forecasts from current numerical weather prediction (NWP) models lack the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-02 MengMeng Han , Tennessee Leeuwenburg , Brad Murphy

Accurate soil moisture (SM) estimation is critical for precision agriculture, water resources management and climate monitoring. Yet, existing satellite SM products are too coarse (>1km) for farm-level applications. We present a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Ioannis Kontogiorgakis , Athanasios Askitopoulos , Iason Tsardanidis , Dimitrios Bormpoudakis , Ilias Tsoumas , Fotios Balampanis , Charalampos Kontoes

Ahead-of-time forecasting of the output power of power plants is essential for the stability of the electricity grid and ensuring uninterrupted service. However, forecasting renewable energy sources is difficult due to the chaotic behavior…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Anas Al-lahham , Obaidah Theeb , Khaled Elalem , Tariq A. Alshawi , Saleh A. Alshebeili

In this paper, we consider incorporating data associated with the sun's north and south polar field strengths to improve solar flare prediction performance using machine learning models. When used to supplement local data from active…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-06 Mehmet Aktukmak , Zeyu Sun , Monica Bobra , Tamas Gombosi , Ward B. Manchester , Yang Chen , Alfred Hero
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