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Related papers: Transformation models for ROC analysis

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We investigate a long-debated question, which is how to create predictive models of recidivism that are sufficiently accurate, transparent, and interpretable to use for decision-making. This question is complicated as these models are used…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-20 Jiaming Zeng , Berk Ustun , Cynthia Rudin

Covariate-adaptive randomization (CAR) procedures are frequently used in comparative studies to increase the covariate balance across treatment groups. However, because randomization inevitably uses the covariate information when forming…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-08 Wei Ma , Yichen Qin , Yang Li , Feifang Hu

A common problem in numerous research areas, particularly in clinical trials, is to test whether the effect of an explanatory variable on an outcome variable is equivalent across different groups. In practice, these tests are frequently…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-03 Niklas Hagemann , Kathrin Möllenhoff

We present a deep transformation model for probabilistic regression. Deep learning is known for outstandingly accurate predictions on complex data but in regression tasks, it is predominantly used to just predict a single number. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-02 Beate Sick , Torsten Hothorn , Oliver Dürr

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves are widely used as a measure of accuracy of diagnostic tests and can be summarized using the area under the ROC curve (AUC). Often, it is useful to construct a confidence intervals for the AUC,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-18 Hunyong Cho , Gregory J. Matthews , Ofer Harel

Many inference techniques for multivariate data analysis assume that the rows of the data matrix are realizations of independent and identically distributed random vectors. Such an assumption will be met, for example, if the rows of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-31 Peter D. Hoff

Graph classification in medical imaging and drug discovery requires accuracy and robust uncertainty quantification. To address this need, we introduce Conditional Prediction ROC (CP-ROC) bands, offering uncertainty quantification for ROC…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Yujia Wu , Bo Yang , Elynn Chen , Yuzhou Chen , Zheshi Zheng

This paper studies inference in randomized controlled trials with covariate-adaptive randomization when there are multiple treatments. More specifically, we study inference about the average effect of one or more treatments relative to…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-21 Federico A. Bugni , Ivan A. Canay , Azeem M. Shaikh

Verification bias is a well known problem when the predictive ability of a diagnostic test has to be evaluated. In this paper, we discuss how to assess the accuracy of continuous-scale diagnostic tests in the presence of verification bias,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-19 Khanh To Duc , Monica Chiogna , Gianfranco Adimari

Two commonly used methods for improving precision and power in clinical trials are stratified randomization and covariate adjustment. However, many trials do not fully capitalize on the combined precision gains from these two methods, which…

In randomized clinical trials, adjustments for baseline covariates at both design and analysis stages are highly encouraged by regulatory agencies. A recent trend is to use a model-assisted approach for covariate adjustment to gain…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-14 Ting Ye , Jun Shao , Yanyao Yi , Qingyuan Zhao

Free-response observer performance studies are of great importance for accuracy evaluation and comparison in tasks related to the detection and localization of multiple targets or signals. The free-response receiver operating characteristic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-25 Jiarui Sun , Kaiyuan Liu , Xiao-Hua Zhou

Multiple diagnostic tests are frequently used to determine the presence of a disease condition in patients. In this paper, we use bivariate copulas to examine the properties of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves formed when two…

Statistical integration of diverse data sources is an essential step in the building of generalizable prediction tools, especially in precision health. The invariant features model is a new paradigm for multi-source data integration which…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Parker Knight , Ndey Isatou Jobe , Rui Duan

Regression analyses based on transformations of cumulative incidence functions are often adopted when modeling and testing for treatment effects in clinical trial settings involving competing and semi-competing risks. Common frameworks…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-11 Alexandra Bühler , Richard J Cook , Jerald F Lawless

Over the last five decades, we have seen strong methodological advances in survival analysis, mainly in two separate strands: One strand is based on a parametric approach that assumes some response distribution. More prominent, however, is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Sandra Siegfried , Bálint Tamási , Torsten Hothorn

We present methods for estimating loss-based measures of the performance of a prediction model in a target population that differs from the source population in which the model was developed, in settings where outcome and covariate data are…

Methods for the evaluation of the predictive accuracy of biomarkers with respect to survival outcomes subject to right censoring have been discussed extensively in the literature. In cancer and other diseases, survival outcomes are commonly…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-06 Yuan Wu , Xiaofei Wang , Jiaxing Lin , Beilin Jia , Kouros Owzar

Randomization, as a key technique in clinical trials, can eliminate sources of bias and produce comparable treatment groups. In randomized experiments, the treatment effect is a parameter of general interest. Researchers have explored the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-05 Fuyi Tu , Wei Ma , Hanzhong Liu

The summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) curve has been recommended as one important meta-analytical summary to represent the accuracy of a diagnostic test in the presence of heterogeneous cutoff values. However, selective…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-11 Yi Zhou , Ao Huang , Satoshi Hattori