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Understanding the mutual relationships between information flows and social activity in society today is one of the cornerstones of the social sciences. In financial economics, the key issue in this regard is understanding and quantifying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-11 Ryohei Hisano , Didier Sornette , Takayuki Mizuno , Takaaki Ohnishi , Tsutomu Watanabe

We introduce a new class of latent process models for dynamic relational network data with the goal of detecting time-dependent structure. Network data are often observed over time, and static network models for such data may fail to…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-15 Lucy F. Robinson , Carey E. Priebe

Knowing the structure of an offline social network facilitates a variety of analyses, including studying the rate at which infectious diseases may spread and identifying a subset of actors to immunize in order to reduce, as much as…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-06-27 Naghmeh Momeni , Michael Rabbat

Networks of financial exposures are the key propagators of risk and distress among banks, but their empirical structure is not publicly available because of confidentiality. This limitation has triggered the development of methods of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-07 Valentina Macchiati , Piero Mazzarisi , Diego Garlaschelli

A stock market is considered as one of the highly complex systems, which consists of many components whose prices move up and down without having a clear pattern. The complex nature of a stock market challenges us on making a reliable…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-09-27 Minjun Kim , Hiroki Sayama

In order to use the advanced inference techniques available for Ising models, we transform complex data (real vectors) into binary strings, by local averaging and thresholding. This transformation introduces parameters, which must be varied…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-17 Hongli Zeng , Rémi Lemoy , Mikko Alava

In order to maintain consistent quality of service, computer network engineers face the task of monitoring the traffic fluctuations on the individual links making up the network. However, due to resource constraints and limited access, it…

Applications · Statistics 2010-05-26 Joel Vaughan , Stilian A. Stoev , George Michailidis

Trend change prediction in complex systems with a large number of noisy time series is a problem with many applications for real-world phenomena, with stock markets as a notoriously difficult to predict example of such systems. We approach…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-30 Ben Moews , J. Michael Herrmann , Gbenga Ibikunle

Many economic activities are embedded in networks: sets of agents and the (often) rivalrous relationships connecting them to one another. Input sourcing by firms, interbank lending, scientific research, and job search are four examples,…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-16 Bryan S. Graham

We explore the use of deep learning hierarchical models for problems in financial prediction and classification. Financial prediction problems -- such as those presented in designing and pricing securities, constructing portfolios, and risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-16 J. B. Heaton , N. G. Polson , J. H. Witte

We demonstrate that future market correlation structure can be predicted with high out-of-sample accuracy using a multiplex network approach that combines information from social media and financial data. Market structure is measured by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-04 Thársis T. P. Souza , Tomaso Aste

In this perspective, we introduce recent research into the structure and function of complex investor networks supporting sustainability efforts. Using the case of solar, wind and hydro energy technologies, this perspective explores the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-09-29 Alexander P. Kartun-Giles , Nadia Ameli

A financial system contains many elements networked by their relationships. Extensive works show that topological structure of the network stores rich information on evolutionary behaviors of the system such as early warning signals of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-09 Li Zhou , Lu Qiu , Changgui Gu , Huijie Yang

In the wake of the ongoing global financial crisis, interdependencies among banks have come into focus in trying to assess systemic risk. To date, such analysis has largely been based on numerical data. By contrast, this study attempts to…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-26 Samuel Rönnqvist , Peter Sarlin

Training a practical and effective model for stock selection has been a greatly concerned problem in the field of artificial intelligence. Even though some of the models from previous works have achieved good performance in the U.S. market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-07 Junming Yang , Yaoqi Li , Xuanyu Chen , Jiahang Cao , Kangkang Jiang

A minimal stochastic dynamical model of the interbank network is introduced, with linear interactions mediated by an integral of recent variations. Defining stress as the variance over the banks' states, the interaction correction to the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-30 Andrea Auconi

Traders adopt different trading strategies to maximize their returns in financial markets. These trading strategies not only results in specific topological structures in trading networks, which connect the traders with the pairwise…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-29 Ming-Xia Li , Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wen-Jie Xie , Xiong Xiong , Wei Zhang , Wei-Xing Zhou

Financial stock returns correlations have been studied in the prism of random matrix theory, to distinguish the signal from the "noise". Eigenvalues of the matrix that are above the rescaled Marchenko Pastur distribution can be interpreted…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-19 Ixandra Achitouv

Financial markets are difficult to predict due to its complex systems dynamics. Although there have been some recent studies that use machine learning techniques for financial markets prediction, they do not offer satisfactory performance…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-31 Jia Wang , Tong Sun , Benyuan Liu , Yu Cao , Degang Wang

We propose a framework to study optimal trading policies in a one-tick pro-rata limit order book, as typically arises in short-term interest rate futures contracts. The high-frequency trader has the choice to trade via market orders or…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-15 Fabien Guilbaud , Huyên Pham
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