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Adaptive precision molecular dynamics simulations have developed along energy- and force-coupling approaches, which allow for a continuous transition between different particle descriptions or interaction potentials. Most approaches…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-12-09 David Immel , Ralf Drautz , Godehard Sutmann

Phase diagrams serve as a highly informative tool for materials design, encapsulating information about the phases that a material can manifest under specific conditions. In this work, we develop a method in which Bayesian inference is…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-09-06 Timofei Miryashkin , Olga Klimanova , Vladimir Ladygin , Alexander Shapeev

Efficient parameter identification of electrochemical models is crucial for accurate monitoring and control of lithium-ion cells. This process becomes challenging when applied to complex models that rely on a considerable number of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-20 Jianzong Pi , Samuel Filgueira da Silva , Mehmet Fatih Ozkan , Abhishek Gupta , Marcello Canova

The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is a commonly used method for finding the maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters in a mixture model via coordinate ascent. A serious pitfall with the algorithm is that in the case of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-31 Adrian O'Hagan , Arthur White

We consider the Bayesian calibration of models describing the phenomenon of block copolymer (BCP) self-assembly using image data produced by microscopy or X-ray scattering techniques. To account for the random long-range disorder in BCP…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-06-24 Ricardo Baptista , Lianghao Cao , Joshua Chen , Omar Ghattas , Fengyi Li , Youssef M. Marzouk , J. Tinsley Oden

Calculation of phase diagrams is one of the fundamental tools in alloy design---more specifically under the framework of Integrated Computational Materials Engineering. Uncertainty quantification of phase diagrams is the first step required…

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-28 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

Bayesian model selection provides a powerful and mathematically transparent framework to tackle hypothesis testing, such as detection tests of gravitational waves emitted during the coalescence of binary systems using ground-based laser…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-13 John Veitch , Alberto Vecchio

Large-scale computer simulations of chemical atoms are used in a wide range of applications, including batteries, drugs, and more. However, there is a problem with efficiency as it takes a long time due to the large amount of calculation.…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-02-28 Hyun Gyu Park , Soohaeng Yoo Willow , D. ChangMo Yang , Chang Woo Myung

Ensemble learning is a mainstay in modern data science practice. Conventional ensemble algorithms assign to base models a set of deterministic, constant model weights that (1) do not fully account for individual models' varying accuracy…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent A. Coull

Machine learning (ML) has become widely used in the development of interatomic potentials for molecular dynamics simulations. However, most ML potentials are still much slower than classical interatomic potentials and are usually trained…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-08-29 Aslak Fellman , Jesper Byggmästar , Fredric Granberg , Kai Nordlund , Flyura Djurabekova

We propose a modification of the embedded-atom method-type potential aiming at reconciling simulated melting and ground-state properties of metals by means of classical molecular dynamics. Considering titanium, magnesium, gold, and platinum…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2016-04-15 Gennady Sushko , Alexey Verkhovtsev , Christian Kexel , Andrei V. Korol , Stefan Schramm , Andrey V. Solov'yov

Machine-learned interatomic potentials (MLIPs) are revolutionizing computational materials science and chemistry by offering an efficient alternative to {\em ab initio} molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. However, fitting high-quality…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-12-12 Ilgar Baghishov , Jan Janssen , Graeme Henkelman , Danny Perez

Scientific machine learning increasingly uses spectral methods to understand physical systems. Current spectral learning approaches provide only point estimates without uncertainty quantification, limiting their use in safety-critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Mohammad Nooraiepour

The use of machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) in simulations of materials is a state-of-the-art approach, which allows achieving nearly \textit{ab initio} accuracy with orders of magnitude less computational cost.…

Materials Science · Physics 2021-10-28 R. E. Ryltsev , N. M. Chtchelkatchev

Bayesian Model Calibration is used to revisit the problem of scaling factor calibration for semi-empirical correction of ab initio calculations. A particular attention is devoted to uncertainty evaluation for scaling factors, and to their…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-01-12 Pascal Pernot

Reliable uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for developing machine-learned interatomic potentials (MLIPs) in predictive atomistic simulations. Conformal prediction (CP) is a statistical framework that constructs prediction…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-10-02 Cheuk Hin Ho , Christoph Ortner , Yangshuai Wang

Count outcomes in longitudinal studies are frequent in clinical and engineering studies. In frequentist and Bayesian statistical analysis, methods such as Mixed linear models allow the variability or correlation within individuals to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-15 Alejandra Estefanía Patiño Hoyos , Johnatan Cardona Jiménez

Bayesian inference allows machine learning models to express uncertainty. Current machine learning models use only a single learnable parameter combination when making predictions, and as a result are highly overconfident when their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Andrew Wood , Moshik Hershcovitch , Daniel Waddington , Sarel Cohen , Peter Chin

Machine-learned interatomic potentials (MLIPs) and force fields (i.e. interaction laws for atoms and molecules) are typically trained on limited data-sets that cover only a very small section of the full space of possible input structures.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Christoph Ortner , Yangshuai Wang