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Fitting probabilistic models to data is often difficult, due to the general intractability of the partition function and its derivatives. Here we propose a new parameter estimation technique that does not require computing an intractable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Jascha Sohl-Dickstein , Peter Battaglino , Michael R. DeWeese

Sequential prediction problems such as imitation learning, where future observations depend on previous predictions (actions), violate the common i.i.d. assumptions made in statistical learning. This leads to poor performance in theory and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Stephane Ross , Geoffrey J. Gordon , J. Andrew Bagnell

Semiparametric regression offers a flexible framework for modeling non-linear relationships between a response and covariates. A prime example are generalized additive models where splines (say) are used to approximate non-linear functional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-05 Francis K. C. Hui , Chong You , Han Lin Shang , Samuel Müller

This work addresses inverse linear optimization where the goal is to infer the unknown cost vector of a linear program. Specifically, we consider the data-driven setting in which the available data are noisy observations of optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Rishabh Gupta , Qi Zhang

We suggest a general oracle-based framework that captures different parallel stochastic optimization settings described by a dependency graph, and derive generic lower bounds in terms of this graph. We then use the framework and derive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-02-12 Blake Woodworth , Jialei Wang , Adam Smith , Brendan McMahan , Nathan Srebro

Maximum entropy estimation is of broad interest for inferring properties of systems across many different disciplines. In this work, we significantly extend a technique we previously introduced for estimating the maximum entropy of a set of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-01-05 Elliot A. Martin , Jaroslav Hlinka , Alexander Meinke , Filip Děchtěrenko , Jörn Davidsen

Motivated by display advertising on the internet, the online stochastic matching problem is proposed by Feldman, Mehta, Mirrokni, and Muthukrishnan (FOCS 2009). Consider a stochastic bipartite graph with offline vertices on one side and…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Zhihao Gavin Tang , Hongxun Wu , Jinzhao Wu

We analyze convergence of decentralized cooperative online estimation algorithms by a network of multiple nodes via information exchanging in an uncertain environment. Each node has a linear observation of an unknown parameter with randomly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-08 Jiexiang Wang , Tao Li , Xiwei Zhang

We propose a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) framework for linear systems subject to joint-in-time chance constraints under unknown disturbance distributions. Unlike existing approaches that rely on parametric or Gaussian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Lukas Vogel , Andrea Carron , Eleftherios E. Vlahakis , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

We consider the reduction of parametric families of linear dynamical systems having an affine parameter dependence that differ from one another by a low-rank variation in the state matrix. Usual approaches for parametric model reduction…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-25 Christopher Beattie , Serkan Gugercin , Zoran Tomljanovic

In this work, an adaptive predictive control scheme for linear systems with unknown parameters and bounded additive disturbances is proposed. In contrast to related adaptive control approaches that robustly consider the parametric…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-03 Johannes Teutsch , Christopher Narr , Sebastian Kerz , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

This research attempts to model the stochastic process of trades in a limit order book market as a marked point process. We propose a semi-parametric model for the conditional distribution given the past, attempting to capture the effect of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-06 Mingyu Tang , Mark Schervish

Offline evaluation of information retrieval and recommendation has traditionally focused on distilling the quality of a ranking into a scalar metric such as average precision or normalized discounted cumulative gain. We can use this metric…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Fernando Diaz , Andres Ferraro

Existing online continuous-time parameter estimation laws provide exact (asymptotic/exponential or finite/fixed time) identification of dynamical linear/nonlinear systems parameters only if the external perturbations are equaled to zero or…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-08 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

We study an online linear programming (OLP) problem under a random input model in which the columns of the constraint matrix along with the corresponding coefficients in the objective function are generated i.i.d. from an unknown…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Xiaocheng Li , Yinyu Ye

We consider a retailer selling a single product with limited on-hand inventory over a finite selling season. Customer demand arrives according to a Poisson process, the rate of which is influenced by a single action taken by the retailer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-06-28 Zizhuo Wang , Shiming Deng , Yinyu Ye

Large scale, streaming datasets are ubiquitous in modern machine learning. Streaming algorithms must be scalable, amenable to incremental training and robust to the presence of non-stationarity. In this work consider the problem of learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-15 Ricardo Pio Monti , Christoforos Anagnostopoulos , Giovanni Montana

This study aims to address the pervasive challenge of quantifying uncertainty in large language models (LLMs) without logit-access. Conformal Prediction (CP), known for its model-agnostic and distribution-free features, is a desired…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Jiayuan Su , Jing Luo , Hongwei Wang , Lu Cheng

In the research field of big data, one of important issues is how to recover the sequentially changing sets of true features when the data sets arrive sequentially. The paper presents a general framework for online updating variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-22 Xiaoyu Ma , Lu Lin , Yujie Gai

Trustworthy decision making in networked, dynamic environments calls for innovative uncertainty quantification substrates in predictive models for graph time series. Existing conformal prediction (CP) methods have been applied separately to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Sonakshi Dua , Gonzalo Mateos , Sundeep Prabhakar Chepuri