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We develop a deep learning model of multi-period mortgage risk and use it to analyze an unprecedented dataset of origination and monthly performance records for over 120 million mortgages originated across the US between 1995 and 2014. Our…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-13 Justin Sirignano , Apaar Sadhwani , Kay Giesecke

This paper investigates the trade-off between short-term revenue generation and long-term social welfare optimization in online food delivery platforms. We first develop a static model that captures the equilibrium interactions among…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Yukun Zhang , Qi Dong

This study evaluated post traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) among frontline US physicians (treating COVID-19 patients) in comparison with second-line physicians (not treating COVID-19 patients), and identified the significance and patterns…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Sayanti Mukherjee , Lance Rintamaki , Janet L. Shucard , Zhiyuan Wei , Lindsey E. Carlasare , Christine A. Sinsky

The continuously growing number of COVID-19 cases pressures healthcare services worldwide. Accurate short-term forecasting is thus vital to support country-level policy making. The strategies adopted by countries to combat the pandemic…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-07 Thiago de Paula Oliveira , Rafael de Andrade Moral

Microservices are a popular architectural style adopted by the industry when it comes to deploying software that requires scalability, maintainability, and agile development. There is an increasing demand for improving the sustainability of…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Xingwen Xiao

In the absence of data from a randomized trial, researchers often aim to use observational data to draw causal inference about the effect of a treatment on a time-to-event outcome. In this context, interest often focuses on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-15 Ted Westling , Alex Luedtke , Peter Gilbert , Marco Carone

A four-pronged approach to dealing with Social Science Phenomenon is outlined. This methodology is applied to Financial Services, Economic Growth and Well-Being. The four prongs are like the four directions for an army general looking for…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-10 Ravi Kashyap

Disadvantaged groups around the world have suffered and endured higher mortality during the current COVID-19 pandemic. This contrast disparity suggests that socioeconomic and health-related factors may drive inequality in disease outcome.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Behzad Javaheri

Economic complexity methods, and in particular relatedness measures, lack a systematic evaluation and comparison framework. We argue that out-of-sample forecast exercises should play this role, and we compare various machine learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Giambattista Albora , Luciano Pietronero , Andrea Tacchella , Andrea Zaccaria

Evidence-based policy-making requires reliable, spatially disaggregated indicators. The framework of mixed effects random forests leverages the advantages of random forests and hierarchical data in small area estimation. These methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-19 Patrick Krennmair , Nora Würz , Timo Schmid

An employer contracts with a worker to incentivize efforts whose productivity depends on ability; the worker then enters a market that pays him contingent on ability evaluation. With non-additive monitoring technology, the interdependence…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-31 Tan Gan , Hongcheng Li

We have conducted an empirical investigation into the long term survival rates of some small but representative samples of the 30,000 largest UK limited companies. These companies were either a control or known to have used, or been…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2012-07-10 Grenville J. Croll

The U.S. Child Welfare System (CWS) is charged with improving outcomes for foster youth; yet, they are overburdened and underfunded. To overcome this limitation, several states have turned towards algorithmic decision-making systems to…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Devansh Saxena , Karla Badillo-Urquiola , Pamela J. Wisniewski , Shion Guha

Comparing how different populations have suffered under COVID-19 is a core part of ongoing investigations into how public policy and social inequalities influence the number of and severity of COVID-19 cases. But COVID-19 incidence can vary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-17 Ryan Wilkinson , Marcus Roper

Credit scoring plays a vital role in the field of consumer finance. Survival analysis provides an advanced solution to the credit-scoring problem by quantifying the probability of survival time. In order to deal with highly heterogeneous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-06 Miaojun Bai , Yan Zheng , Yun Shen

Labor market institutions are central for modern economies, and their polices can directly affect unemployment rates and economic growth. At the individual level, unemployment often has a detrimental impact on people's well-being and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-09-07 Abdullah Almaatouq

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has caused significant mortality and morbidity worldwide, sparing almost no community. As the disease will likely remain a threat for years to come, an understanding of the precise influences of human demographics…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-02 Niayesh Afshordi , Benjamin Holder , Mohammad Bahrami , Daniel Lichtblau

How do matching of spouses and the nature of work jointly shape the distribution of COVID-19 health risks? To address this question, I study the association between the incidence of COVID-19 and the degree of spousal sorting into…

General Economics · Economics 2021-09-06 Egor Malkov

The popularity of 3D printed assistive technology has led to the emergence of new ecosystems of care, where multiple stakeholders (makers, clinicians, and recipients with disabilities) work toward creating new upper limb prosthetic devices.…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-10-28 Saiph Savage , Claudia Flores-Saviaga , Rachel Rodney , Liliana Savage , Jon Schull , Jennifer Mankoff

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused a massive economic shock across the world due to business interruptions and shutdowns from social-distancing measures. To evaluate the socio-economic impact of COVID-19 on individuals, a micro-economic model…

General Economics · Economics 2020-08-06 Amory Martin , Maryia Markhvida , Stéphane Hallegatte , Brian Walsh