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This paper describes a Bayesian method for learning causal networks using samples that were selected in a non-random manner from a population of interest. Examples of data obtained by non-random sampling include convenience samples and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Gregory F. Cooper

We present a tutorial on Bayesian optimization, a method of finding the maximum of expensive cost functions. Bayesian optimization employs the Bayesian technique of setting a prior over the objective function and combining it with evidence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-12-14 Eric Brochu , Vlad M. Cora , Nando de Freitas

For a Bayesian, real-time forecasting with the posterior predictive distribution can be challenging for a variety of time series models. First, estimating the parameters of a time series model can be difficult with sample-based approaches…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-08 Taylor R. Brown

Bayesian optimization has been successfully applied throughout Chemical Engineering for the optimization of functions that are expensive-to-evaluate, or where gradients are not easily obtainable. However, domain experts often possess…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-04-18 Tom Savage , Ehecatl Antonio del Rio Chanona

We consider the Bayesian estimation of the parameters of a finite mixture model from independent order statistics arising from imperfect ranked set sampling designs. As a cost-effective method, ranked set sampling enables us to incorporate…

Societies often rely on human experts to take a wide variety of decisions affecting their members, from jail-or-release decisions taken by judges and stop-and-frisk decisions taken by police officers to accept-or-reject decisions taken by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-29 Isabel Valera , Adish Singla , Manuel Gomez Rodriguez

Based on the success of recommender systems in e-commerce, there is growing interest in their use in matching markets (e.g., labor). While this holds potential for improving market fluidity and fairness, we show in this paper that naively…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Yi Su , Magd Bayoumi , Thorsten Joachims

The research area of algorithms with predictions has seen recent success showing how to incorporate machine learning into algorithm design to improve performance when the predictions are correct, while retaining worst-case guarantees when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Michael Dinitz , Sungjin Im , Thomas Lavastida , Benjamin Moseley , Sergei Vassilvitskii

The problem of sequentially maximizing the expectation of a function seeks to maximize the expected value of a function of interest without having direct control on its features. Instead, the distribution of such features depends on a given…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-26 Diego Martinez-Taboada , Dino Sejdinovic

Clustering is widely studied in statistics and machine learning, with applications in a variety of fields. As opposed to classical algorithms which return a single clustering solution, Bayesian nonparametric models provide a posterior over…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-11 Sara Wade , Zoubin Ghahramani

Numerous Bayesian Network (BN) structure learning algorithms have been proposed in the literature over the past few decades. Each publication makes an empirical or theoretical case for the algorithm proposed in that publication and results…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-14 Anthony C. Constantinou , Yang Liu , Kiattikun Chobtham , Zhigao Guo , Neville K. Kitson

Subset selection is a valuable tool for interpretable learning, scientific discovery, and data compression. However, classical subset selection is often avoided due to selection instability, lack of regularization, and difficulties with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-17 Daniel R. Kowal

Motivated by the applications of rental services in e-commerce, we consider revenue maximization in online assortment of reusable resources for a stream of arriving consumers with different types. We design competitive online algorithms…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Yiding Feng , Rad Niazadeh , Amin Saberi

We propose a new method for conducting Bayesian prediction that delivers accurate predictions without correctly specifying the unknown true data generating process. A prior is defined over a class of plausible predictive models. After…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-24 Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Gael M. Martin , David T. Frazier

We consider chance constrained optimization where it is sought to optimize a function while complying with constraints, both of which are affected by uncertainties. The high computational cost of realistic simulations strongly limits the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-18 Julien Pelamatti , Rodolphe Le Riche , Céline Helbert , Christophette Blanchet-Scalliet

This article describes a robust algorithm to estimate a conditional probability density f(t|x) as a non-parametric smooth regression function. It is based on a neural network and the Bayesian interpretation of the network output as a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael Feindt

Researchers have typically concentrated on analyzing what happens internally in a complex network and using this to distinguish between nodes. However, there has been less effort towards comparing between different networks. In this paper,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-03-03 Zeynab Bahrami Bidoni , Roy George

Unsupervised aggregation of independently built univariate predictors is explored as an alternative regularization approach for noisy, sparse datasets. Bipartite ranking algorithm Smooth Rank implementing this approach is introduced. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-12-12 Marina Sapir

Owing to the advancement of deep learning, artificial systems are now rival to humans in several pattern recognition tasks, such as visual recognition of object categories. However, this is only the case with the tasks for which correct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Xing Liu , Takayuki Okatani

In this work, we leverage a generative data model considering comparison noise to develop a fast, precise, and informative ranking algorithm from pairwise comparisons that produces a measure of confidence on each comparison. The problem of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Filipa Valdeira , Cláudia Soares