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Related papers: Exploring Generative Neural Temporal Point Process

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Deep learning models such as MLP, Transformer, and TCN have achieved remarkable success in univariate time series forecasting, typically relying on sliding window samples from historical data for training. However, while these models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Dazhao Du , Tao Han , Song Guo

Generative models have demonstrated remarkable potential in time series analysis tasks, like synthesis, forecasting, imputation, etc. However, offering limited coverage for generative models, existing time series libraries are mainly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Chenxi Wang , Xiaorong Wang , Peiyang Li , Yi Wang

Temporally indexed data are essential in a wide range of fields and of interest to machine learning researchers. Time series data, however, are often scarce or highly sensitive, which precludes the sharing of data between researchers and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-10 Alexander Nikitin , Letizia Iannucci , Samuel Kaski

In recent years, there has been an increasing interest in the use of graph neural networks (GNNs) for analyzing dynamic graphs, which are graphs that evolve over time. However, there is still a lack of understanding of how different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Rishu Verma , Ashmita Bhattacharya , Sai Naveen Katla

Realistic crowd simulations are essential for immersive virtual environments, relying on both individual behaviors (microscopic dynamics) and overall crowd patterns (macroscopic characteristics). While recent data-driven methods like deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Thomas Kreutz , Max Mühlhäuser , Alejandro Sanchez Guinea

The recent deep generative models for static graphs that are now being actively developed have achieved significant success in areas such as molecule design. However, many real-world problems involve temporal graphs whose topology and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Liming Zhang , Liang Zhao , Shan Qin , Dieter Pfoser

We explore whether useful temporal neural generative models can be learned from sequential data without back-propagation through time. We investigate the viability of a more neurocognitively-grounded approach in the context of unsupervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-01 Alexander G. Ororbia , Patrick Haffner , David Reitter , C. Lee Giles

Real-world event sequences are often generated by different temporal point processes (TPPs) and thus have clustering structures. Nonetheless, in the modeling and prediction of event sequences, most existing TPPs ignore the inherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Qingmei Wang , Fanmeng Wang , Bing Su , Hongteng Xu

Many events occur in the world. Some event types are stochastically excited or inhibited---in the sense of having their probabilities elevated or decreased---by patterns in the sequence of previous events. Discovering such patterns can help…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-22 Hongyuan Mei , Jason Eisner

Recent advancements in graph representation learning have shifted attention towards dynamic graphs, which exhibit evolving topologies and features over time. The increased use of such graphs creates a paramount need for generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Ryien Hosseini , Filippo Simini , Venkatram Vishwanath , Henry Hoffmann

A variety of real-world processes (over networks) produce sequences of data whose complex temporal dynamics need to be studied. More especially, the event timestamps can carry important information about the underlying network dynamics,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-27 Shuai Xiao , Junchi Yan , Mehrdad Farajtabar , Le Song , Xiaokang Yang , Hongyuan Zha

Existing neural ranking models follow the text matching paradigm, where document-to-query relevance is estimated through predicting the matching score. Drawing from the rich literature of classical generative retrieval models, we introduce…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Oleg Lesota , Navid Rekabsaz , Daniel Cohen , Klaus Antonius Grasserbauer , Carsten Eickhoff , Markus Schedl

Marked temporal point processes (MTPPs) model sequences of events occurring at irregular time intervals, with wide-ranging applications in fields such as healthcare, finance and social networks. We propose the state-space point process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-24 Yuxin Chang , Alex Boyd , Cao Xiao , Taha Kass-Hout , Parminder Bhatia , Padhraic Smyth , Andrew Warrington

To improve the performance of long text generation, recent studies have leveraged automatically planned event structures (i.e. storylines) to guide story generation. Such prior works mostly employ end-to-end neural generation models to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-20 Chen Tang , Zhihao Zhang , Tyler Loakman , Chenghua Lin , Frank Guerin

We propose TPP-SD, a novel approach that accelerates Transformer temporal point process (TPP) sampling by adapting speculative decoding (SD) techniques from language models. By identifying the structural similarities between thinning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Shukai Gong , Yiyang Fu , Fengyuan Ran , Quyu Kong , Feng Zhou

In recent years, there has been a rapid development of spatio-temporal prediction techniques in response to the increasing demands of traffic management and travel planning. While advanced end-to-end models have achieved notable success in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Zhonghang Li , Lianghao Xia , Yong Xu , Chao Huang

Foundational marked temporal point process (MTPP) models, such as the Hawkes process, often use inexpressive model families in order to offer interpretable parameterizations of event data. On the other hand, neural MTPPs models forego this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-04 Alex Boyd , Andrew Warrington , Taha Kass-Hout , Parminder Bhatia , Danica Xiao

Events in spatiotemporal domains arise in numerous real-world applications, where uncovering event relationships and enabling accurate prediction are central challenges. Classical Poisson and Hawkes processes rely on restrictive parametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Zhitong Xu , Qiwei Yuan , Yinghao Chen , Yan Sun , Bin Shen , Shandian Zhe

We investigate spatio-temporal event analysis using point processes. Inferring the dynamics of event sequences spatiotemporally has many practical applications including crime prediction, social media analysis, and traffic forecasting. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Fatih Ilhan , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Machine learning models based on temporal point processes are the state of the art in a wide variety of applications involving discrete events in continuous time. However, these models lack the ability to answer counterfactual questions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-23 Kimia Noorbakhsh , Manuel Gomez Rodriguez
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