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This paper develops a methodology for approximating the posterior first two moments of the posterior distribution in Bayesian inference. Partially specified probability models, which are defined only by specifying means and variances, are…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-27 K. Triantafyllopoulos , P. J. Harrison

It is a common phenomenon that for high-dimensional and nonparametric statistical models, rate-optimal estimators balance squared bias and variance. Although this balancing is widely observed, little is known whether methods exist that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Alexis Derumigny , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Fitting parametric models by optimizing frequency domain objective functions is an attractive approach of parameter estimation in time series analysis. Whittle estimators are a prominent example in this context. Under weak conditions and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-26 Jens-Peter Kreiss , Efstathios Paparoditis

We study the problem of nonparametric two-sample testing using the sliced Wasserstein (SW) distance. While prior theoretical and empirical work indicates that the SW distance offers a promising balance between strong statistical guarantees…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-03 Binh Thuan Tran , Nicolas Schreuder

A new method called "variational sampling" is proposed to estimate integrals under probability distributions that can be evaluated up to a normalizing constant. The key idea is to fit the target distribution with an exponential family model…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-15 Alexis Roche

Consider the Gaussian vector model with mean value {\theta}. We study the twin problems of estimating the number |{\theta}|_0 of non-zero components of {\theta} and testing whether |{\theta}|_0 is smaller than some value. For testing, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-02 Alexandra Carpentier , Nicolas Verzelen

After rejecting the null hypothesis in the analysis of variance, the next step is to make the pairwise comparisons to find out differences in means. The purpose of this paper is threefold. The foremost aim is to suggest expression for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-22 Elsayed A. H. Elamir

Parameter estimation is one of the most important tasks in statistics, and is key to helping people understand the distribution behind a sample of observations. Traditionally parameter estimation is done either by closed-form solutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-04 Xiaoxin Yin , David S. Yin

A variance reduction technique in nonparametric smoothing is proposed: at each point of estimation, form a linear combination of a preliminary estimator evaluated at nearby points with the coefficients specified so that the asymptotic bias…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Ming-Yen Cheng , Liang Peng , Jyh-Shyang Wu

In this paper we introduce a robust to outliers Wilcoxon change-point testing procedure, for distinguishing between short-range dependent time series with a change in mean at unknown time and stationary long-range dependent time series. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-07 Carina Gerstenberger

Given data drawn from a collection of Gaussian variables with a common mean but different and unknown variances, what is the best algorithm for estimating their common mean? We present an intuitive and efficient algorithm for this task. As…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Spencer Compton , Gregory Valiant

We consider the problem of estimating the common mean of independently sampled data, where samples are drawn in a possibly non-identical manner from symmetric, unimodal distributions with a common mean. This generalizes the setting of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-09 Ankit Pensia , Varun Jog , Po-Ling Loh

Variance estimation is important for statistical inference. It becomes non-trivial when observations are masked by serial dependence structures and time-varying mean structures. Existing methods either ignore or sub-optimally handle these…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-03 Kin Wai Chan

First, we analyze the variance of the Cross Validation (CV)-based estimators used for estimating the performance of classification rules. Second, we propose a novel estimator to estimate this variance using the Influence Function (IF)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-10 Waleed A. Yousef

We propose a testing procedure based on the Wilcoxon two-sample test statistic in order to test for change-points in the mean of long-range dependent data. We show that the corresponding self-normalized test statistic converges in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-10 Annika Betken

In this paper, we consider the estimation of a mean vector of a multivariate normal population where the mean vector is suspected to be nearly equal to mean vectors of $k-1$ other populations. As an alternative to the preliminary test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-10 Ryo Imai , Tatsuya Kubokawa , Malay Ghosh

We revisit the problem of estimating the mean of a real-valued distribution, presenting a novel estimator with sub-Gaussian convergence: intuitively, "our estimator, on any distribution, is as accurate as the sample mean is for the Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-18 Jasper C. H. Lee , Paul Valiant

Given $n$ samples from a population of individuals belonging to different types with unknown proportions, how do we estimate the probability of discovering a new type at the $(n+1)$-th draw? This is a classical problem in statistics,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-27 Fadhel Ayed , Marco Battiston , Federico Camerlenghi , Stefano Favaro

Background: Measurement errors in terms of quantification or classification frequently occur in epidemiologic data and can strongly impact inference. Measurement errors may occur when ascertaining, recording or extracting data. Although the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Walter K Kremers

In order to adapt the Wasserstein distance to the large sample multivariate non-parametric two-sample problem, making its application computationally feasible, permutation tests based on the Sinkhorn divergence between probability vectors…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-30 E. del Barrio , J. S. Osorio , A. J. Quiroz
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