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The efficacy of mathematical models heavily depends on the quality of the training data, yet collecting sufficient data is often expensive and challenging. Many modeling applications require inferring parameters only as a means to predict…

The Bayesian decision-theoretic approach to design of experiments involves specifying a design (values of all controllable variables) to maximise the expected utility function (expectation with respect to the distribution of responses and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-24 Antony M. Overstall

Information-theoretic approaches to active learning have traditionally focused on maximising the information gathered about the model parameters, most commonly by optimising the BALD score. We highlight that this can be suboptimal from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-18 Freddie Bickford Smith , Andreas Kirsch , Sebastian Farquhar , Yarin Gal , Adam Foster , Tom Rainforth

Science and Engineering applications are typically associated with expensive optimization problems to identify optimal design solutions and states of the system of interest. Bayesian optimization and active learning compute surrogate models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Francesco Di Fiore , Michela Nardelli , Laura Mainini

Bayesian active learning is based on information theoretical approaches that focus on maximising the information that new observations provide to the model parameters. This is commonly done by maximising the Bayesian Active Learning by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Frederik Boe Hüttel , Christoffer Riis , Filipe Rodrigues , Francisco Câmara Pereira

Expanding on MacKay (1992), we argue that conventional model-based methods for active learning - like BALD - have a fundamental shortfall: they fail to directly account for the test-time distribution of the input variables. This can lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Andreas Kirsch , Tom Rainforth , Yarin Gal

High-dimensional deep neural network representations of images and concepts can be aligned to predict human annotations of diverse stimuli. However, such alignment requires the costly collection of behavioral responses, such that, in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Yangyang Yu , Jordan W. Suchow

Active learning is usually applied to acquire labels of informative data points in supervised learning, to maximize accuracy in a sample-efficient way. However, maximizing the accuracy is not the end goal when the results are used for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-22 Louis Filstroff , Iiris Sundin , Petrus Mikkola , Aleksei Tiulpin , Juuso Kylmäoja , Samuel Kaski

Branching Time Active Inference (Champion et al., 2021b,a) is a framework proposing to look at planning as a form of Bayesian model expansion. Its root can be found in Active Inference (Friston et al., 2016; Da Costa et al., 2020; Champion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-15 Théophile Champion , Marek Grześ , Howard Bowman

Forecasting techniques for assessing the power of future experiments to discriminate between theories or discover new laws of nature are of great interest in many areas of science. In this paper, we introduce a Bayesian forecasting method…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-09-24 Mohammad Hossein Namjoo

Information theory is a powerful framework to capture aspects of dynamical systems with multiple degrees of freedom. Mathematically, the dynamics can be represented as a continuous curve $\mathcal{C}$ on a suitable hyperplane in flat space…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Mattia Carrino , Stefan Hohenegger

Deep active learning (AL) seeks to minimize the annotation costs for training deep neural networks. BAIT, a recently proposed AL strategy based on the Fisher Information, has demonstrated impressive performance across various datasets.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Denis Huseljic , Paul Hahn , Marek Herde , Lukas Rauch , Bernhard Sick

Information theoretic active learning has been widely studied for probabilistic models. For simple regression an optimal myopic policy is easily tractable. However, for other tasks and with more complex models, such as classification with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-12-30 Neil Houlsby , Ferenc Huszár , Zoubin Ghahramani , Máté Lengyel

Leveraging the wealth of unlabeled data produced in recent years provides great potential for improving supervised models. When the cost of acquiring labels is high, probabilistic active learning methods can be used to greedily select the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-09 Robert Pinsler , Jonathan Gordon , Eric Nalisnick , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Fully supervised models are predominant in Bayesian active learning. We argue that their neglect of the information present in unlabelled data harms not just predictive performance but also decisions about what data to acquire. Our proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Freddie Bickford Smith , Adam Foster , Tom Rainforth

In many statistical applications that concern mathematical psychologists, the concept of Fisher information plays an important role. In this tutorial we clarify the concept of Fisher information as it manifests itself across three different…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-18 Alexander Ly , Maarten Marsman , Josine Verhagen , Raoul Grasman , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

Bayesian neural networks have successfully designed and optimized a robust neural network model in many application problems, including uncertainty quantification. However, with its recent success, information-theoretic understanding about…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Jae Oh Woo

Many statistical models require an estimation of unknown (co)-variance parameter(s) in a model. The estimation usually obtained by maximizing a log-likelihood which involves log determinant terms. In principle, one requires the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-05 Shengxin Zhu , Tongxiang Gu , Xiaowen Xu , Zeyao Mo

Due to the privacy protection or the difficulty of data collection, we cannot observe individual outputs for each instance, but we can observe aggregated outputs that are summed over multiple instances in a set in some real-world…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-05 Tomoharu Iwata

This technical note considers the sampling of outcomes that provide the greatest amount of information about the structure of underlying world models. This generalisation furnishes a principled approach to structure learning under a…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-25 Karl Friston , Lancelot Da Costa , Alexander Tschantz , Conor Heins , Christopher Buckley , Tim Verbelen , Thomas Parr
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