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We address the practical construction of asymptotic confidence intervals for smooth (i.e., path-wise differentiable), real-valued statistical parameters by targeted learning from independent and identically distributed data in contexts…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-01 Patrice Bertail , Antoine Chambaz , Emilien Joly

We compute the integral of a function or the expectation of a random variable with minimal cost and use, for our new algorithm and for upper bounds of the complexity, i.i.d. samples. Under certain assumptions it is possible to select a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-24 Robert J. Kunsch , Erich Novak , Daniel Rudolf

We propose a fast and scalable optimization method to solve chance or probabilistic constrained optimization problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) with high-dimensional random parameters. To address the critical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-20 Peng Chen , Omar Ghattas

We study the averaging behavior of nonlinear uniformly elliptic partial differential equations with random Dirichlet or Neumann boundary data oscillating on a small scale. Under conditions on the operator, the data and the random media…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-08-04 William M. Feldman , Inwon Kim , Panagiotis E. Souganidis

We study optimization for data-driven decision-making when we have observations of the uncertain parameters within the optimization model together with concurrent observations of covariates. Given a new covariate observation, the goal is to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-28 Rohit Kannan , Güzin Bayraksan , James R. Luedtke

In this work we introduce a novel approach, based on sampling, for finding assignments that are likely to be solutions to stochastic constraint satisfaction problems and constraint optimisation problems. Our approach reduces the size of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-09-22 Roberto Rossi , Brahim Hnich , S. Armagan Tarim , Steven Prestwich

This paper provides a finite-time analysis of linear stochastic approximation (LSA) algorithms with fixed step size, a core method in statistics and machine learning. LSA is used to compute approximate solutions of a $d$-dimensional linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-30 Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Alexey Naumov , Sergey Samsonov

We study a class of importance sampling methods for stochastic differential equations (SDEs). A small-noise analysis is performed, and the results suggest that a simple symmetrization procedure can significantly improve the performance of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Andrew Leach , Kevin K. Lin , Matthias Morzfeld

We consider the solution of finite-sum minimization problems, such as those appearing in nonlinear least-squares or general empirical risk minimization problems. We are motivated by problems in which the summand functions are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-21 Matt Menickelly , Stefan M. Wild

Principal component analysis (PCA) is one of the most commonly used statistical procedures with a wide range of applications. This paper considers both minimax and adaptive estimation of the principal subspace in the high dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-08 T. Tony Cai , Zongming Ma , Yihong Wu

Background: When conducting a meta-analysis of a continuous outcome, estimated means and standard deviations from the selected studies are required in order to obtain an overall estimate of the mean effect and its confidence interval. If…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-07 Deukwoo Kwon , Isildinha M. Reis

In this paper, we develop an analytical framework for the partial differential equation underlying the consensus-based optimization model. The main challenge arises from the nonlinear, nonlocal nature of the consensus point, coupled with a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Jinhuan Wang , Keyu Li , Hui Huang

Importance sampling is a popular variance reduction method for Monte Carlo estimation, where a notorious question is how to design good proposal distributions. While in most cases optimal (zero-variance) estimators are theoretically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-22 Carsten Hartmann , Lorenz Richter

This work proposes an implementable proximal-type method for a broad class of optimization problems involving nonsmooth and nonconvex objective and constraint functions. In contrast to existing methods that rely on an ad hoc model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-26 Gregorio M. Sempere , Welington de Oliveira , Johannes O. Royset

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are widely used to model biological, (bio-)chemical and technical processes. The parameters of these ODEs are often estimated from experimental data using ODE-constrained optimisation. This article…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-06 Anna Fiedler , Fabian J. Theis , Jan Hasenauer

We consider an optimal control problem (OCP) for a partial differential equation (PDE) with random coefficients. The optimal control function is a deterministic, distributed forcing term that minimizes an expected quadratic regularized loss…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Matthieu C. Martin , Fabio Nobile

The dramatic increase of autonomous systems subject to variable environments has given rise to the pressing need to consider risk in both the synthesis and verification of policies for these systems. This paper aims to address a few…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Prithvi Akella , Anushri Dixit , Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Joel W. Burdick , Aaron D. Ames

This work aims at making a comprehensive contribution in the general area of parametric inference for discretely observed diffusion processes. Established approaches for likelihood-based estimation invoke a time-discretisation scheme for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos , Matthew M. Graham

We consider the problem of estimating parameters of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with discrete-time observations that are either completely or partially observed. The transition density between two observations is generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-09 Libo Sun , Chihoon Lee , Jennifer A. Hoeting

When evaluating the performance of a model for individualised risk prediction, the sample size needs to be large enough to precisely estimate the performance measures of interest. Current sample size guidance is based on precisely…