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Related papers: Risk aggregation with FGM copulas

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The study of sums of possibly associated Bernoulli random variables has been hampered by an asymmetry between positive correlation and negative correlation. The Conway-Maxwell Binomial (COMB) distribution and its multivariate extension, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-08 Joseph B. Kadane

We propose a novel distributional regression model for a multivariate response vector based on a copula process over the covariate space. It uses the implicit copula of a Gaussian multivariate regression, which we call a ``regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-06 Nadja Klein , Michael Stanley Smith , David Nott , Ryan Chisholm

Using a family of modified Weibull distributions, encompassing both sub-exponentials and super-exponentials, to parameterize the marginal distributions of asset returns and their natural multivariate generalizations, we give exact formulas…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette

Understanding variable dependence, particularly eliciting their statistical properties given a set of covariates, provides the mathematical foundation in practical operations management such as risk analysis and decision-making given…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Yunyun Wang , Tatsushi Oka , Dan Zhu

Several collective risk models have recently been proposed by relaxing the widely used but controversial assumption of independence between claim frequency and severity. Approaches include the bivariate copula model, random effect model,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-11 Rosy Oh , Jae Youn Ahn , Woojoo Lee

In this paper we propose a Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern (FGM) family of bivariate linear exponential distributions generated from given marginal's. Therefore, properties of FGM are analogous to properties of bivariate distributions. We study…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-23 M. A. El-Damcese , Dina. A. Ramadan

Thanks to their ability to capture complex dependence structures, copulas are frequently used to glue random variables into a joint model with arbitrary marginal distributions. More recently, they have been applied to solve statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-22 Thomas Nagler , Thibault Vatter

We propose a semiparametric family of copulas based on a set of orthonormal functions and a matrix. This new copula permits to reach values of Spearman's Rho arbitrarily close to one without introducing a singular component. Moreover, it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-22 Cécile Amblard , Stephane Girard , Ludovic Menneteau

In order to properly manage risk, practitioners must understand the aggregate risks they are exposed to. Additionally, to properly price policies and calculate bonuses the relative riskiness of individual business units must be well…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-22 Andrew Fleck , Edward Furman , Yang Shen

Aggregation sets, which represent model uncertainty due to unknown dependence, are an important object in the study of robust risk aggregation. In this paper, we investigate ordering relations between two aggregation sets for which the sets…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-08 Yuyu Chen , Peng Liu , Yang Liu , Ruodu Wang

In this paper, we consider the multivariate Bernoulli distribution as a model to estimate the structure of graphs with binary nodes. This distribution is discussed in the framework of the exponential family, and its statistical properties…

Applications · Statistics 2013-11-13 Bin Dai , Shilin Ding , Grace Wahba

In this paper we obtain closed expressions for the probability distribution function, when we consider aggregated risks with multivariate dependent Pareto distributions. We work with the dependent multivariate Pareto type II proposed by…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-02 José María Sarabia , Emilio Gómez-Déniz , Faustino Prieto , Vanesa Jordá

We present a constructive and self-contained approach to data driven infinite partition-of-unity copulas that were recently introduced in the literature. In particular, we consider negative binomial and Poisson copulas and present a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-17 Dietmar Pfeifer , Andreas Mändle , Olena Ragulina

We construct new multivariate copulas on the basis of a generalized infinite partition-of-unity approach. This approach allows - in contrast to finite partition-of-unity copulas - for tail-dependence as well as for asymmetry. A possibility…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-17 Dietmar Pfeifer , Hervé Awoumlac Tsatedem , Andreas Mändle , Côme Girschig

Distributional regression aims at estimating the conditional distribution of a targetvariable given explanatory co-variates. It is a crucial tool for forecasting whena precise uncertainty quantification is required. A popular methodology…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Clément Dombry , Ahmed Zaoui

This paper investigates Gaussian copula mixture models (GCMM), which are an extension of Gaussian mixture models (GMM) that incorporate copula concepts. The paper presents the mathematical definition of GCMM and explores the properties of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Ke Wan , Alain Kornhauser

We show an analytic method to construct a bivariate distribution function (DF) with given marginal distributions and correlation coefficient. We introduce a convenient mathematical tool, called a copula, to connect two DFs with any…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 Tsutomu T. Takeuchi

This paper presents comparison results and establishes risk bounds for credit portfolios within classes of Bernoulli mixture models, assuming conditionally independent defaults that are stochastically increasing with a common risk factor.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-24 Jonathan Ansari , Eva Lütkebohmert

The inf-convolution of risk measures is directly related to risk sharing and general equilibrium, and it has attracted considerable attention in mathematical finance and insurance problems. However, the theory is restricted to finite sets…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-22 Marcelo Brutti Righi , Marlon Ruoso Moresco

Copulas are a powerful tool for modeling multivariate distributions as they allow to separately estimate the univariate marginal distributions and the joint dependency structure. However, known parametric copulas offer limited flexibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-11 Tim Janke , Mohamed Ghanmi , Florian Steinke