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The prediction of wind speed is one of the most important aspects when dealing with renewable energy. In this paper we show a new nonparametric model, based on semi-Markov chains, to predict wind speed. Particularly we use an indexed…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-15 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni , Flavio Prattico

Deep neural networks offer an alternative paradigm for modeling weather conditions. The ability of neural models to make a prediction in less than a second once the data is available and to do so with very high temporal and spatial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-07-07 Marcin Andrychowicz , Lasse Espeholt , Di Li , Samier Merchant , Alexander Merose , Fred Zyda , Shreya Agrawal , Nal Kalchbrenner

Due to insufficient local area information, numerical weather prediction (NWP) may yield biases for specific areas. Previous studies correct biases mainly by employing handcrafted features or applying data-driven methods intuitively,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Binqing Wu , Weiqi Chen , Wengwei Wang , Bingqing Peng , Liang Sun , Ling Chen

Wind power prediction is of vital importance in wind power utilization. There have been a lot of researches based on the time series of the wind power or speed, but In fact, these time series cannot express the temporal and spatial changes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-19 Ruiguo Yu , Zhiqiang Liu , Xuewei Li , Wenhuan Lu , Mei Yu , Jianrong Wang , Bin Li

The increasing installation rate of wind power poses great challenges to the global power system. In order to ensure the reliable operation of the power system, it is necessary to accurately forecast the wind speed and power of the wind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Yang Yang , Jin Lang , Jian Wu , Yanyan Zhang , Xiang Zhao

All numerical weather prediction models used for the wind industry need to produce their forecasts starting from the main synoptic hours 00, 06, 12, and 18 UTC, once the analysis becomes available. The six-hour latency time between two…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-01-31 Gabriele Casciaro , Francesco Ferrari , Daniele Lagomarsino Oneto , Andrea Lira-Loarca , Andrea Mazzino

The Weather4cast 2021 competition gave the participants a task of predicting the time evolution of two-dimensional fields of satellite-based meteorological data. This paper describes the author's efforts, after initial success in the first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Jussi Leinonen

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

We study the applicability of GNNs to the problem of wind energy forecasting. We find that certain architectures achieve performance comparable to our best CNN-based benchmark. The study is conducted on three wind power facilities using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Javier Castellano , Ignacio Villanueva

Accurate wind speed and direction forecasting is paramount across many sectors, spanning agriculture, renewable energy generation, and bushfire management. However, conventional forecasting models encounter significant challenges in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-31 Fuling Chen , Kevin Vinsen , Arthur Filoche

Accurately representing surface weather at the sub-kilometer scale is crucial for optimal decision-making in a wide range of applications. This motivates the use of statistical techniques to provide accurate and calibrated probabilistic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-15 Francesco Zanetta , Daniele Nerini , Matteo Buzzi , Henry Moss

Accurate production forecasts are essential to continue facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. This paper illustrates how to obtain probabilistic day-ahead forecasts of wind power generation via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Max Bruninx , Diederik van Binsbergen , Timothy Verstraeten , Ann Nowé , Jan Helsen

The widespread adoption of smartphones in recent years has made it possible for us to collect large amounts of traffic data. Special software installed on the phones of drivers allow us to gather GPS trajectories of their vehicles on the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-09-09 John Boaz Lee , Kardi Teknomo

An evolution of Wireless Communications towards 5G and beyond provides improved user experience in terms of quality of services. Understanding and estimating Channel information plays crucial role in providing better user experience.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-05 A. Sathi Babu , V. Udaya Sankar , Vishnu Ram OV

To forecast wind power generation in the scale of years to decades, outputs from climate models are often used. However, one major limitation of the data projected by these models is their coarse temporal resolution - usually not finer than…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-19 Nina Effenberger , Nicole Ludwig , Rachel H. White

Short- or mid-term rainfall forecasting is a major task with several environmental applications such as agricultural management or flood risk monitoring. Existing data-driven approaches, especially deep learning models, have shown…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-13 Vincent Bouget , Dominique Béréziat , Julien Brajard , Anastase Charantonis , Arthur Filoche

We improve reliable, long-horizon, goal-directed navigation in partially-mapped environments by using non-locally available information to predict the goodness of temporally-extended actions that enter unseen space. Making predictions about…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Raihan Islam Arnob , Gregory J. Stein

Inspired from recent insights into the common ground of machine learning, optimization and decision-making, this paper proposes an easy-to-implement, but effective procedure to enhance both the quality of renewable energy forecasts and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-17 Miguel Á. Muñoz , Juan M. Morales , Salvador Pineda

Driven by climatic processes, wind power generation is inherently variable. Long-term simulated wind power time series are therefore an essential component for understanding the temporal availability of wind power and its integration into…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-20 Johann Baumgartner , Katharina Gruber , Sofia Simoes , Yves-Marie Saint-Drenan , Johannes Schmidt

State-of-the-art forecasting methods using Recurrent Neural Net- works (RNN) based on Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) cells have shown exceptional performance targeting short-horizon forecasts, e.g given a set of predictor features, forecast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-19 Aya Abdelsalam Ismail , Timothy Wood , Héctor Corrada Bravo