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This article describes two Monte Carlo methods for calculating confidence intervals on cumulative density function (CDF) based multivariate normal quantiles that allows for controlling the tail regions of a multivariate distribution where…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-11 Adam Watts , Thomas Thompson , Dustin Harvey

Conditional Monte Carlo (CMC) has been widely used for sensitivity estimation with discontinuous integrands as a standard simulation technique. A major limitation of using CMC in this context is that finding conditioning variables to ensure…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-22 Guiyun Feng , Guangwu Liu

In low-temperature high-density plasmas quantum effects of the electrons are becoming increasingly important. This requires the development of new theoretical and computational tools. Quantum Monte Carlo methods are among the most…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-08-12 T. Schoof , S. Groth , M. Bonitz

Complex scientific models where the likelihood cannot be evaluated present a challenge for statistical inference. Over the past two decades, a wide range of algorithms have been proposed for learning parameters in computationally feasible…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-16 Aden Forrow , Ruth E. Baker

Intractable generative models are models for which the likelihood is unavailable but sampling is possible. Most approaches to parameter inference in this setting require the computation of some discrepancy between the data and the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-07-05 Ziang Niu , Johanna Meier , François-Xavier Briol

Monte Carlo simulations are an essential tool in particle physics data analysis. Events are typically generated alongside weights that redistribute the cross section of the simulated process across the phase space. These weights can be…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-05-13 Benjamin Nachman , Dennis Noll

The linear micro-instabilities driving turbulent transport in magnetized fusion plasmas (as well as the respective nonlinear saturation mechanisms) are known to be sensitive with respect to various physical parameters characterizing the…

Orthogonal Monte Carlo (OMC) is a very effective sampling algorithm imposing structural geometric conditions (orthogonality) on samples for variance reduction. Due to its simplicity and superior performance as compared to its Quasi Monte…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-29 Han Lin , Haoxian Chen , Tianyi Zhang , Clement Laroche , Krzysztof Choromanski

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are employed to sample from a given distribution of interest, whenever either the distribution does not exist in closed form, or, if it does, no efficient method to simulate an independent sample from…

Computation · Statistics 2008-07-22 Ioana A. Cosma , Masoud Asgharian

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are primarily used for sampling from a given probability distribution and estimating multi-dimensional integrals based on the information contained in the generated samples. Whenever it is possible, more…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-22 Manuel Athènes , Pierre Terrier

Counting experiments often rely on Monte Carlo simulations for predictions of Poisson expectations. The accompanying uncertainty from the finite Monte Carlo sample size can be incorporated into parameter estimation by modifying the Poisson…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-22 Thorsten Glüsenkamp

Equality-constrained models naturally arise in problems in which measurements are taken at different levels of resolution. The challenge in this setting is that the models usually induce a joint distribution which is intractable. Resorting…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-28 Shenggang Hu , Hongsheng Dai , Fanlin Meng , Louis Aslett , Murray Pollock , Gareth O. Roberts

In this article we present our state of the art of fitting helioseismic p-mode spectra. We give a step by step recipe for fitting the spectra: statistics of the spectra both for spatially unresolved and resolved data, the use of Maximum…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-30 T. Appourchaux , L. Gizon , M. C. Rabello-Soares

The simulation of the expectation of a stochastic quantity E[Y] by Monte Carlo methods is known to be computationally expensive especially if the stochastic quantity or its approximation Y_n is expensive to simulate, e.g., the solution of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Annika Lang , Andreas Petersson

Design of experiments has traditionally relied on the frequentist hypothesis testing framework where the optimal size of the experiment is specified as the minimum sample size that guarantees a required level of power. Sample size…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-07 Shirin Golchi , Luke Hagar

In this manuscript, we describe a new configurational bias Monte Carlo technique for the simulation of peptides. We focus on the biologically relevant cases of linear and cyclic peptides. Our approach leads to an efficient,…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-25 Michael W. Deem , Joel Bader

The Markov chain Monte Carlo method is a versatile tool in statistical physics to evaluate multi-dimensional integrals numerically. For the method to work effectively, we must consider the following key issues: the choice of ensemble, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-07 Synge Todo , Hidemaro Suwa

We present an exact Monte Carlo algorithm designed to sample theories where the energy is a sum of many couplings of decreasing strength. The algorithm avoids the computation of almost all non-leading terms. Its use is illustrated by…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2009-10-31 T. Bakeyev , Ph. de Forcrand

A method for the multifidelity Monte Carlo (MFMC) estimation of statistical quantities is proposed which is applicable to computational budgets of any size. Based on a sequence of optimization problems each with a globally minimizing…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Anthony Gruber , Max Gunzburger , Lili Ju , Zhu Wang

In complicated/nonlinear parametric models, it is generally hard to know whether the model parameters are point identified. We provide computationally attractive procedures to construct confidence sets (CSs) for identified sets of full…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-06 Xiaohong Chen , Timothy Christensen , Elie Tamer
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