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Hawkes process provides an effective statistical framework for analyzing the time-dependent interaction of neuronal spiking activities. Although utilized in many real applications, the classic Hawkes process is incapable of modelling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-23 Feng Zhou , Yixuan Zhang , Jun Zhu

We develop a Bayesian nonparametric framework for inference in spatio-temporal Hawkes processes, extending existing theoretical results beyond the purely temporal setting. Our framework encompasses modelling both the background and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-08 Xenia Miscouridou , Deborah Sulem

Diferentially private (DP) synthetic datasets are a powerful approach for training machine learning models while respecting the privacy of individual data providers. The effect of DP on the fairness of the resulting trained models is not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-21 Mayana Pereira , Meghana Kshirsagar , Sumit Mukherjee , Rahul Dodhia , Juan Lavista Ferres

The Hawkes process (HP) is commonly used to model event sequences with self-reinforcing dynamics, including electronic health records (EHRs). Traditional HPs capture self-reinforcement via parametric impact functions that can be inspected…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-23 Yuankang Zhao , Matthew Engelhard

Many machine learning applications are based on data collected from people, such as their tastes and behaviour as well as biological traits and genetic data. Regardless of how important the application might be, one has to make sure…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-11 Joonas Jälkö , Onur Dikmen , Antti Honkela

We are interested in the problem of classifying Multivariate Hawkes Processes (MHP) paths coming from several classes. MHP form a versatile family of point processes that models interactions between connected individuals within a network.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Charlotte Dion-Blanc , Christophe Denis , Laure Sansonnet , Romain Edmond Lacoste

Differential Privacy (DP) is an important privacy-enhancing technology for private machine learning systems. It allows to measure and bound the risk associated with an individual participation in a computation. However, it was recently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Cuong Tran , My H. Dinh , Ferdinando Fioretto

Numerous studies grounded on Hawkes processes have been carried out in many fields including finance, biology and social network. Hawkes processes form a class of selfexciting simple point processes. In this article, we consider a general…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Bartholomé Vieille , Rachid Senoussi , Samuel Soubeyrand

Bayesian inference provides a principled framework for learning from complex data and reasoning under uncertainty. It has been widely applied in machine learning tasks such as medical diagnosis, drug design, and policymaking. In these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Wanrong Zhang , Ruqi Zhang

Hawkes processes are often applied to model dependence and interaction phenomena in multivariate event data sets, such as neuronal spike trains, social interactions, and financial transactions. In the nonparametric setting, learning the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-04 Deborah Sulem , Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau

The order flow in high-frequency financial markets has been of particular research interest in recent years, as it provides insights into trading and order execution strategies and leads to better understanding of the supply-demand…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-26 Alex Ziyu Jiang , Abel Rodriguez

Collaborative machine learning involves training models on data from multiple parties but must incentivize their participation. Existing data valuation methods fairly value and reward each party based on shared data or model parameters but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Rachael Hwee Ling Sim , Yehong Zhang , Trong Nghia Hoang , Xinyi Xu , Bryan Kian Hsiang Low , Patrick Jaillet

The process of data mining with differential privacy produces results that are affected by two types of noise: sampling noise due to data collection and privacy noise that is designed to prevent the reconstruction of sensitive information.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-12 Yue Wang , Daniel Kifer , Jaewoo Lee

The discrete-time Hawkes process (DTHP) is a sub-class of $g$-functions that serves as a discrete-time version of the continuous-time Hawkes process (CTHP). Like the CTHP, the DTHP also has the self-exciting property and its intensity…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-24 Utpal Jyoti Deba Sarma , Dharmaraja Selvamuthu

Differential privacy is a mathematical framework for privacy-preserving data analysis. Changing the hyperparameters of a differentially private algorithm allows one to trade off privacy and utility in a principled way. Quantifying this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-23 Brendan Avent , Javier Gonzalez , Tom Diethe , Andrei Paleyes , Borja Balle

This study proposes a versatile model for the dynamics of the best bid and ask prices using an extended Hawkes process. The model incorporates the zero intensities of the spread-narrowing processes at the minimum bid-ask spread,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-26 Kyungsub Lee , Byoung Ki Seo

Differential privacy (DP) has been accepted as a rigorous criterion for measuring the privacy protection offered by random mechanisms used to obtain statistics or, as we will study here, synthetic datasets from confidential data. Methods to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-09 Leila Nombo , Anne-Sophie Charest

In this paper we introduce a new model named CARMA(p,q)-Hawkes process as the Hawkes model with exponential kernel implies a strictly decreasing behaviour of the autocorrelation function and empirically evidences reject the monotonicity…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-23 Lorenzo Mercuri , Andrea Perchiazzo , Edit Rroji

Differential privacy has emerged as an significant cornerstone in the realm of scientific hypothesis testing utilizing confidential data. In reporting scientific discoveries, Bayesian tests are widely adopted since they effectively…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Abhisek Chakraborty , Saptati Datta

Privacy-preserving machine learning algorithms are crucial for the increasingly common setting in which personal data, such as medical or financial records, are analyzed. We provide general techniques to produce privacy-preserving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-02-18 Kamalika Chaudhuri , Claire Monteleoni , Anand D. Sarwate