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Data subsampling has become widely recognized as a tool to overcome computational and economic bottlenecks in analyzing massive datasets. We contribute to the development of adaptive design for estimation of finite population…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Henrik Imberg , Xiaomi Yang , Carol Flannagan , Jonas Bärgman

The equations of complex dynamical systems may not be identified by expert knowledge, especially if the underlying mechanisms are unknown. Data-driven discovery methods address this challenge by inferring governing equations from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Amit K. Chakraborty , Hao Wang , Pouria Ramazi

When sample data are governed by an unknown sequence of independent but possibly non-identical distributions, the data-generating process (DGP) in general cannot be perfectly identified from the data. For making decisions facing such…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-05-11 Xiaoyu Cheng

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

Data-driven science is an emerging paradigm where scientific discoveries depend on the execution of computational AI models against rich, discipline-specific datasets. With modern machine learning frameworks, anyone can develop and execute…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Seth Ockerman , John Wu , Christopher Stewart

We consider a generic empirical composition optimization problem, where there are empirical averages present both outside and inside nonlinear loss functions. Such a problem is of interest in various machine learning applications, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-04 Adithya M. Devraj , Jianshu Chen

Stochastic programming is often challenged by epistemic uncertainty, where critical probability distributions are poorly characterized or unknown due to a lack of data. To address this, we pioneer a novel framework for stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Shixin Liu , Ming Gao , Jian Hu

Survey sampling plays an important role in the efficient allocation and management of resources. The essence of survey sampling lies in acquiring a sample of data points from a population and subsequently using this sample to estimate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Jonne Pohjankukka , Sakari Tuominen , Jukka Heikkonen

Exploring the intersection of deterministic and stochastic dynamics, this paper delves into Lagrangian discovery for conservative and non-conservative systems under stochastic excitation. Traditional Lagrangian frameworks, adept at…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Tapas Tripura , Satyam Panda , Budhaditya Hazra , Souvik Chakraborty

This paper proposes a data-adaptive factor model (DAFM), a novel framework for extracting common factors that explain the structures of high-dimensional data. DAFM adopts a composite quantile strategy to adaptively capture the full…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-02 Seeun Park , Hee-Seok Oh

Both the level of conservativeness and the computational burden in robust optimization are critically influenced by uncertainty set design. However, contextual side information is rarely exploited in robust dispatch of power systems…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Zhaojun Ruan , Yulin Liu , Le Fu , Libao Shi

Causal influence measures for machine learnt classifiers shed light on the reasons behind classification, and aid in identifying influential input features and revealing their biases. However, such analyses involve evaluating the classifier…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-10 Shayak Sen , Piotr Mardziel , Anupam Datta , Matthew Fredrikson

Estimating causal effects from observational data is not always possible due to confounding. Identifying a set of appropriate covariates (adjustment set) and adjusting for their influence can remove confounding bias; however, such a set is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-19 Sofia Triantafillou , Gregory Cooper

Causal effect estimation from observational data is a crucial but challenging task. Currently, only a limited number of data-driven causal effect estimation methods are available. These methods either provide only a bound estimation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-10 Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Kui Yu , Thuc Duy Lee , Jixue Liu

Decision-makers often encounter uncertainty, and the distribution of uncertain parameters plays a crucial role in making reliable decisions. However, complete information is rarely available. The sample average approximation (SAA) approach…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-27 Ziliang Jin , Jianqiang Cheng , Daniel Zhuoyu Long , Kai Pan

A common assumption in semi-supervised learning is that the labeled, unlabeled, and test data are drawn from the same distribution. However, this assumption is not satisfied in many applications. In many scenarios, the data is collected…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-02-25 Gholamali Aminian , Mahed Abroshan , Mohammad Mahdi Khalili , Laura Toni , Miguel R. D. Rodrigues

Forecasting a time series from multivariate predictors constitutes a challenging problem, especially using model-free approaches. Most techniques, such as nearest-neighbor prediction, quickly suffer from the curse of dimensionality and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-22 Jakob Runge , Reik V. Donner , Jürgen Kurths

We study problem-dependent rates, i.e., generalization errors that scale near-optimally with the variance, the effective loss, or the gradient norms evaluated at the "best hypothesis." We introduce a principled framework dubbed "uniform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-25 Yunbei Xu , Assaf Zeevi

The last decade witnessed an explosion in the availability of data for operations research applications. Motivated by this growing availability, we propose a novel schema for utilizing data to design uncertainty sets for robust optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-11-25 Dimitris Bertsimas , Vishal Gupta , Nathan Kallus

We address the problem of prescribing an optimal decision in a framework where the cost function depends on uncertain problem parameters that need to be learned from data. Earlier work proposed prescriptive formulations based on supervised…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Dimitris Bertsimas , Bart Van Parys
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